Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 12/4/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: Prime Video

Odds-Point Spread: Lions (-3)

Total-Over-Under: 54.5

The Dallas Cowboys (6-5) are en route to Ford Field on Thursday where they will take on the Detroit Lions (7-5). Detroit opens this matchup as 3-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 54.5.

The Dallas Cowboys step onto the field holding a record of 6-5 so far this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Cowboys took the field against the Kansas City Chiefs and took home the win by a score of 31-28. Dak Prescott connected on 27-39 with 320 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 100.4 and finished the contest with 1 pick. CeeDee Lamb held an average of 16.0 yds per reception by accumulating 112 yards on 7 catches. Javonte Williams led the offense in rushing for the Cowboys with 17 carries for 59 yds (3.5 yards per attempt). When all was said and done, they tallied 65 plays which converted into 457 yards. The Dallas Cowboys ran the rock 26 times and had 137 yards, which had them averaging 5.3 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Cowboys gave up 119 yards on 23 tries, which is an average of 5.2 yds per rush allowed. Dallas surrendered 23 pass completions on 34 tries for a total of 243 yds, and a completion rate of 67.6%.

The Cowboys have tallied 4,717 yds this year. Dallas has recorded 166 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 94 penalties for 779 yards. Concerning getting the ball in the endzone, Dallas has tallied 26 passing TD's and 12 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 15 different times (9 picks and 6 fumbles lost). Offensively, they hold an average of 121.8 running yards which has them ranked 13th in pro football. Concerning getting the ball in the endzone, the Cowboys are averaging 29.3 PPG.

If you're looking at passing yds, the Cowboys have conceded 3,018 yds, which is 30th in the NFL. They have granted 251.5 yds per outing by way of the pass, and are granting a completion% of 68.0%. Overall, they have granted 1,496 yards on the ground through 12 outings this year. They have allowed 28 touchdowns by way of the pass, plus 13 touchdowns to rushers. Overall, they are yielding 376.2 yds per outing, which has them ranked 29th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.7 yards per run and 124.7 rushing yards per outing this year. The Cowboys are ranking 31st in the NFL when you look at the opposition scoring, relinquishing 28.5 points per outing.

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The Lions step onto the field with a record of 7-5 this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Lions went home defeated by a final of 31-24 when they faced the Green Bay Packers. Jared Goff (2 TDs) ended the game with 256 yds on 20-26 passing while his quarterback rate was 132.9. He didn't toss any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 9.8 yds. Jahmyr Gibbs ran the ball 20 times for 68 yards, ending the contest with 3.4 yds per carry for Detroit. Jameson Williams was the best receiver for the Lions, snagging 7 balls for 144 yards (20.6 yds per catch). Detroit ran the football for 4.0 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 119 yds on 30 carries. The Lions ended up finishing with 352 yds on 57 plays (6.2 yds per play). The Lions secondary conceded a completion percentage of 60.0%, relinquishing 234 yds on 18 out of 30 passing. Detroit allowed 30 running attempts for 125 yds (4.2 yds per rush).

When you look at their scoring prowess, the Lions are ranked 4th in pro football, scoring 29.2 points per contest. In this season, the Lions have compiled 2,858 passing yards and are sitting at 238.2 passing yards per contest, ranking this team at 7th in pro football. They hold an average of 138.1 rushing yards per contest, and have rushed for 1,657 total yards. The Detroit Lions maintain an average of 376.3 yds per contest, which is 3rd in the league. The Detroit offense has yielded 543 yds by way of 74 penalty flags, which is good for 23rd in pro football when examining making mistakes. They have allowed 5 interceptions while allowing 3 fumbles, and have obtained 149 first downs as a unit.

The Lions are yielding 22.8 points per outing, which has them ranking 15th in the NFL. They have allowed 25 touchdowns through the air in addition to 212.5 yards via the pass per outing, which has them ranked 17th in the NFL. Detroit has relinquished a total of 1,244 rushing yards (103.7 yards per game), and 8 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Lions defense has participated in 732 plays from scrimmage, which is 12th in the NFL. Their defense has racked up 13 takeaways (4 fumbles forced and 9 INTs) for the season. All in all, they have relinquished 274 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys-Lions NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cowboys +3

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