Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, 11/17/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders

Date: Monday, November 17, 2025

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ABC

Odds-Point Spread: Raiders (+3.5)

Total-Over-Under: 50.5

The Dallas Cowboys (3-5) are en route to Allegiant Stadium on Monday where they will play the Las Vegas Raiders (2-7). Las Vegas opens this contest as 3.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over-under has been set at 50.5.

The Dallas Cowboys step on the gridiron 3-5 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Cowboys played the Arizona Cardinals and took a loss by a final of 27-17. Dak Prescott went 24-39 with 250 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 77.9 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Javonte Williams was the best rusher for the Cowboys with 15 carries for 83 yards (5.5 yds per carry). CeeDee Lamb left with an average of 12.1 yards per reception by totaling 85 yards on 7 receptions. The Dallas Cowboys ran the football 21 times and had 123 yards, which is an average of 5.9 yards per attempt. In all, they had 60 plays which converted into 333 yds. Dallas relinquished 21 pass completions on 31 attempts for a total of 221 yards, and a completion rate of 67.7%. Against the rush, the Cowboys conceded 119 yds on 29 tries, which averages out to 4.1 yards per rush allowed.

The Cowboys currently have 3,406 total yards over the course of this season. Dallas has notched 119 1st downs, and they have been called for 73 penalties for 610 yards. If you analyze scoring touchdowns, Dallas has recorded 18 passing TD's and 10 rushing TD's. They have coughed up the ball 11 times (7 picks and 4 fumbles). As a team, they hold an average of 120.7 running yards ranking this team at 13th in the NFL. When analyzing getting in the endzone, the NFC East members average 29.2 points per game.

If you analyze passing yards, the Cowboys have granted 2,290 total yards, ranking this team at 27th in the NFL. They have conceded 254.4 total yards per contest via the pass, and are yielding a completion% of 68.5%. In total, they have allowed 1,287 yards via the running game in 9 games over the course of the season. They have given up 22 touchdowns through the air, in addition to 11 touchdowns via the rush. Altogether, they are relinquishing 397.4 yards per outing, which ranks them at 31st in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.8 yards per tote and 143.0 running yards per game over the course of this season. The Cowboys are 31st in football if you look at their opponents scoring, allowing 30.8 points per contest.

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The Raiders step on the gridiron with a record of 2-7 over the course of this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Raiders walked away with a loss by a score of 10-7 against the Denver Broncos. Geno Smith ended the game with 143 yards on 16-26 passing while his QB rating was 60.3. He threw 1 pick and his Y-A was 5.5 yds. Brock Bowers was featured in the passing game for the Raiders, catching 1 passes for 31 yards (31.0 yds per reception). Ashton Jeanty ran the ball 19 times for 60 yards, walking away from the game with 3.2 yds per carry for Las Vegas. The Raiders finished the game with 188 yards while they ran 52 plays (3.6 yards per play). Las Vegas ran the ball for 3.0 yds per attempt, totaling 74 yds on 25 carries. Las Vegas surrendered 27 run attempts for 84 yards (3.1 yards per carry). The Raiders secondary conceded a completion percentage of 57.1%, relinquishing 136 yards on 16 for 28 through the air.

If you analyze the points being put on the board, the Raiders are 31st in football, scoring 15.4 points per contest. For the season, the Raiders have thrown for a total of 1,667 yards through the air and are sitting at 185.2 yards through the air per outing, which has them sitting 27th in football. They average 87.4 rush yds per outing, and have carried the football for 787 yds. The Las Vegas Raiders have an average of 272.7 yards per contest, ranking them 30th in professional football. The Las Vegas offense has allowed 502 yards on 63 penalties, which ranks them at 15th in pro football regarding giving up free yards. They have compiled 12 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles lost, and have been able to obtain 89 1st downs offensively.

The Raiders are allowing 24.4 points per game, which has them ranking 22nd in the league. They have granted 12 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 214.2 passing yards per game, ranking this team at 16th in the NFL. Las Vegas has relinquished a total of 959 running yards (106.6 total yards per outing), along with 12 touchdowns to runners over the course of the season. The Raiders defense has been on the field for 568 plays, which has them ranking 17th in the league. The D has attained 10 takeaways (4 fumbles forced and 6 picks) over the course of the season. In total, they have allowed 220 total points.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys-Raiders NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cowboys -3.5

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