Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans Prediction, 11/2/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Texans (-1.5)

Total-Over-Under: 39.5

NRG Stadium is the site where the Houston Texans (3-4) will attempt to beat the Denver Broncos (6-2) on Sunday. Houston opens this matchup as 1.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 39.5.

The Denver Broncos come into this game holding a record of 6-2 this season. The last time they took the field, the Broncos took on the Dallas Cowboys and notched a win by a score of 44-24. J.K. Dobbins was the leader on the ground for the Broncos with 15 carries for 111 yds (7.4 yds per carry). Troy Franklin averaged 14.8 yards per catch by totaling 89 yds on 6 catches. Bo Nix went 19-29 with 247 yds passing and 4 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 117.4 and ended the contest with 1 interception. In the running game, the Broncos gave up 108 yards on 31 tries, which is 3.5 yards per run allowed. Denver surrendered 22 completions on 35 tries for 231 yds, and a completion percentage of 62.9%. For the game, they had 57 plays which totaled 426 yards. The Denver Broncos ended up running the ball 28 times and recorded 179 yards, earning them an average of 6.4 yards per tote.

In terms of getting the ball into the endzone, the group who plays in Denver are averaging 25.9 points per game. Collectively, they're sitting at 137.8 running yds which is good for 3rd in the NFL. The Broncos have racked up 2,855 yds this season. Denver has accumulated 93 first downs offensively, and they have committed 68 penalties for 617 total yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 8 times (5 interceptions and 3 fumbles). When examining scoring points, Denver has produced 15 touchdowns through the air and 10 touchdowns on the ground.

In terms of passing yards, the Broncos have conceded 1,490 yards, giving them a rank of 12th in the NFL. They have granted 186.3 total yards per game via the pass, and are yielding a completion rate of 56.8%. Altogether, they have granted 761 yards on the ground through 8 outings so far this year. They have yielded 8 touchdowns via the pass, and 6 touchdowns to runners. On the whole, they are yielding 281.4 total yards per game, which has them ranking 5th in the league. They are allowing an average of 3.8 yds per tote and 95.1 rush yards per game this season. The Broncos currently rank 5th in the NFL when it comes to their opponents scoring, yielding 18.9 points per contest.

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The Texans come into this game with a record of 3-4 on the campaign. In their last game, the Texans walked away with a victory by a final of 26-15 when they played the San Francisco 49ers. C.J. Stroud (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 318 yds on 30-39 passing while his quarterback rating was 106.6. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.2 yds. Woody Marks carried the rock 11 times for 62 yards, finishing the contest with 5.6 yards per attempt for Houston. Braxton Berrios was the top contributor in the passing game for the Texans, grabbing 5 passes for 38 yards (7.6 yds per reception). Houston ran the ball for 4.4 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 157 yards on 36 attempts. The Texans finished the game with a total of 475 yards and they ran 75 plays (6.3 yds per play). The Texans pass defense gave up a completion rate of 59.4%, relinquishing 175 yards on 19 out of 32 passing. Houston gave up 10 attempts on the ground for 48 yards (4.8 yards per rush).

The Houston Texans average 328.7 yds per game, putting them 17th in pro football. They average 113.4 rushing yards per contest, and have toted the ball for 794 total yards. They have recorded 5 picks while granting 2 fumbles lost, and have been able to tally 75 first downs. The Houston offense has conceded 427 total yards on 52 penalties, which is good for 19th in professional football if you look at helping out the opposition. So far this season, the Texans have compiled 1,507 yards via the pass and have an average of 215.3 yards via the pass per contest, which has them sitting 16th in the league. If you examine how much they score, the Texans are sitting 19th in professional football, maintaining an average of 21.9 points per game.

They have yielded 6 touchdowns via the pass and 178.4 pass yards per game, which has them ranked 4th in professional football. Houston has granted a total of 619 rush yds (88.4 yds per contest), in addition to 7 touchdowns via the rush on the year. The defense has accumulated 11 turnovers (3 fumbles forced and 8 INTs) this year. On the whole, they have surrendered 103 points. The Texans defense has been on the field for 392 plays, which has them sitting 1st in the league. The Texans are conceding 14.7 points per game, which is good for 1st in professional football.

Who will win tonight's Broncos-Texans NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos +1.5

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