Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 12/25/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Prime Video

Odds-Point Spread: Chiefs (+13)

Total-Over-Under: 36.5

The Denver Broncos (12-3) are headed to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday where they will meet the Kansas City Chiefs (6-9). Kansas City opens this matchup as 13-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 36.5.

The Denver Broncos step onto the field holding a record of 12-3 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Broncos took the field against the Jacksonville Jaguars and took a loss by a final of 34-20. RJ Harvey was the rushing leader for the Broncos with 7 carries for 50 yards (7.1 yards per carry). Courtland Sutton had an average of 14.3 yds per reception by recording 86 yds on 6 catches. Bo Nix went 28-47 with 352 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 81.2 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. In the running game, the Broncos conceded 81 yds on 27 tries, which averages out to 3.0 yds per run allowed. Denver relinquished 23 pass completions on 36 attempts for 265 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.9%. On the day, they tallied 64 plays which gave them a total of 445 yds. The Denver Broncos ran the football 17 times and accumulated 101 yds, which is an average of 5.9 yds per attempt.

The Broncos have earned 5,282 yds for the season. Denver has racked up 178 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 118 infractions for 1087 yards. In terms of scoring points, Denver has racked up 24 touchdowns through the air and 17 touchdowns via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 16 times (10 interceptions and 6 fumbles). As a team, they're maintaining an average of 118.3 rush yds which has them ranking 18th in professional football. When it comes to scoring, the squad who plays in Denver are averaging 24.1 points per contest.

The Broncos are ranked 5th in football with reference to their defensive abilities, relinquishing 19.7 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yds per running attempt and 90.2 rushing yds per game this season. With reference to passing yards, the Broncos have surrendered 3,021 yards, which is good for 10th in the NFL. They have surrendered 201.4 yards per contest by way of the pass, and are allowing a completion percentage of 58.8%. Altogether, they are yielding 291.6 yards per game, which has them ranked 4th in the league. They have conceded 17 touchdowns via the pass, as well as 11 touchdowns by way of the ground game. Altogether, they have granted 1,353 rushing yards through 15 matchups this season.

Get all of our NFL Picks

The Chiefs step onto the field with a record of 6-9 for the season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Chiefs walked away with a loss by a score of 26-9 against the Tennessee Titans. Isiah Pacheco ran the football 8 times for 34 yards, ending the contest with 4.3 yds per carry for Kansas City. Isiah Pacheco was a featured target for the Chiefs, grabbing 6 passes for 41 yds (6.8 yards per catch). Chris Oladokun finished the game with 111 yards on 11-16 through the air while his quarterback rate was 88.3. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.9 yds. Kansas City conceded 40 run attempts for 164 yds (4.1 yards per rush). The Chiefs passing defense allowed a completion rate of 75.0%, surrendering 212 yards on 21 out of 28 through the air. The Chiefs finished with a total of 133 yds while they ran 39 plays (3.4 yards per play). Kansas City rushed the ball for 3.4 yds per attempt, totaling 51 yards on 15 carries.

When examining the points being put on the board, the Chiefs rank 20th in the league, with an average of 22.5 points per outing. In this season, the Chiefs have thrown for 3,498 passing yards and are sitting at 233.2 passing yards per contest, which is good for 9th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 109.7 rushing yds per contest, and have carried the football for 1,646 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs average 342.9 yards per game, which has them sitting 13th in football. The Kansas City offense has yielded 896 yds by way of 110 violations, ranking them 6th in the league if you examine hurting your team. They have a total of 12 interceptions while yielding 1 fumble, and have tallied 179 1st downs offensively.

The Chiefs are conceding 19.6 points per outing, which is good for 4th in the NFL. They have allowed 17 touchdowns via the pass plus 204.5 passing yds per contest, which ranks 12th in pro football. Kansas City has granted a total of 1,551 rushing yards (103.4 total yards per game), as well as 13 touchdowns to runners for this campaign. The Chiefs defense has participated in 860 plays, which has them sitting 4th in football. The D has earned 11 turnovers (3 forced fumbles and 8 INTs) on the campaign. In total, they have given up 294 points.

Who will win tonight's Broncos-Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos -13

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NFL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.