Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 11/30/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025

Location: Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD

TV: NBC

Odds-Point Spread: Commanders (+6.5)

Total-Over-Under: 43.5

Northwest Stadium is the location where the Washington Commanders (3-8) will attempt to defeat the Denver Broncos (9-2) on Sunday. Washington is 6.5-point underdogs. The over-under has been set at 43.5.

The Denver Broncos head into this matchup 9-2 for the year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Broncos went up against the Kansas City Chiefs and went home with a win by a final score of 22-19. RJ Harvey was the best rusher for the Broncos with 11 carries for 30 yards (2.7 yds per carry). Pat Bryant averaged 16.4 yds per reception by totaling 82 yards on 5 receptions. Bo Nix connected on 24-37 with 295 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 89.4 and finished the contest with no picks. Against the rush, the Broncos conceded 62 yds on 14 attempts, which averages out to 4.4 yds per rush allowed. Denver relinquished 29 completions on 45 attempts for 249 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.4%. At the end of the game, they ran 59 plays which converted into 342 yds. The Denver Broncos ran the rock 21 times and accrued 59 yds, which is an average of 2.8 yards per attempt.

The Broncos have compiled 3,688 total yards for the year. Denver has compiled 118 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 93 penalties for 883 total yards. If you analyze putting points on the board, Denver has accumulated 18 touchdowns via the pass and 11 rushing TD's. They have surrendered the football 12 different times (8 interceptions and 4 fumbles lost). As a unit, they maintain an average of 122.3 rushing yds which has them sitting 10th in the league. Regarding getting the ball in the endzone, the AFC West members are sitting at 23.4 points per outing.

When analyzing passing yds, the Broncos have surrendered 2,044 yds, which has them sitting 6th in the league. They have given up 185.8 yds per contest through the air, and are giving up a completion rate of 58.0%. Altogether, they have surrendered 974 yards on the ground through 11 outings this season. They have relinquished 9 touchdowns through the air, along with 8 touchdowns via the rush. Overall, they are giving up 274.4 total yards per outing, which has them sitting 3rd in football. They are giving up an average of 3.6 yds per rush and 88.5 running yds per outing over the course of this season. The Broncos currently sit 3rd in the league when examining the opposition scoring, relinquishing 17.5 points per game.

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The Commanders step onto the field with a record of 3-8 so far this year. In their last contest, the Commanders took a defeat with a final score of 16-13 when they faced the Miami Dolphins. Marcus Mariota (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 213 yards on 20-30 through the air while his quarterback rate was 84.4. He threw 1 interception and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.1 yards. Chris Rodriguez carried the rock 15 times for 79 yds, walking away from the contest with 5.3 yards per attempt for Washington. Deebo Samuel was featured in the passing game for the Commanders, hauling in 7 passes for 74 yds (10.6 yds per catch). Washington ran the ball for 5.2 yards per carry, finishing the game with 172 yds on 33 attempts. The Commanders finished with a total of 379 yards while they ran 63 plays (6.0 yds per play). The Commanders secondary allowed a completion rate of 70.0%, surrendering 142 yds on 14 for 20 passing. Washington surrendered 31 attempts on the ground for 169 yds (5.5 yds per rush).

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Commanders sit 23rd in the league, averaging 21.5 points per outing. In this campaign, the Commanders have compiled 2,108 passing yds and average 191.6 passing yds per outing, which has them sitting 24th in football. They hold an average of 138.5 rushing yards per contest, and have carried the football for 1,524 yds. The Washington Commanders hold an average of 330.2 yds per outing, which ranks 17th in professional football. The Washington offense has conceded 643 total yards by way of 78 violations, which has them sitting 12th in football when you look at helping out the opposition. They have allowed 7 INTs while yielding 7 lost fumbles, and have been able to obtain 100 first downs offensively.

They have allowed 22 touchdowns by way of the pass in addition to 249.5 passing yds per outing, which has them sitting 29th in football. Washington has granted a total of 1,513 rush yds (137.5 total yards per contest), along with 10 touchdowns on the ground on the year. The defense has recorded 6 turnovers (1 fumble and 5 picks) so far this year. In total, they have relinquished 296 points in total. The Commanders defense has taken the field for 674 plays, which has them sitting 13th in the league. The Commanders are surrendering 26.9 points per outing, which is 28th in professional football.

Who will win tonight's Broncos-Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos -6.5

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