Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 11/9/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025

Location: Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Commanders (+9.5)

Total-Over-Under: 49.5

The Detroit Lions (5-3) are en route to Northwest Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Washington Commanders (3-6). Washington opens this contest as 9.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 49.5.

The Detroit Lions come into this game holding a record of 5-3 on the season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Lions stepped onto the field against the Minnesota Vikings and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 27-24. David Montgomery led the offense in rushing for the Lions with 11 totes for 40 yards (3.6 yds per carry). Amon-Ra St. Brown had an average of 10.8 yards per reception by accounting for 97 yards on 9 catches. Jared Goff connected on 25-37 with 284 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 108.4 and ended the game without throwing a pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Lions conceded 142 yards on 29 tries, which calculates to 4.9 yds per run allowed. Detroit surrendered 14 pass completions on 25 attempts for a total of 116 yds, and a completion percentage of 56.0%. In all, they ran 57 plays which converted into 305 yds. The Detroit Lions ended up running the ball 20 different times and had 65 yards, which earned them an average of 3.3 yards per attempt.

The Lions have notched 2,806 yards over the course of the season. Detroit has produced 95 first downs, and they have been called for 52 penalties for 391 total yards. Regarding scoring touchdowns, Detroit has attained 18 touchdowns via the pass and 11 touchdowns via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 6 different times (3 picks and 3 fumbles). As a team, they hold an average of 125.1 running yds which ranks them at 9th in the NFL. In terms of getting the ball into the endzone, the Lions average 29.9 PPG.

If you look at yards via the pass, the Lions have conceded 1,602 yds, giving them a rank of 9th in the NFL. They have relinquished 200.3 total yards per outing by way of the pass, and are granting a completion% of 62.4%. In total, they have relinquished 756 running yards through 8 outings on the year. They have given up 16 touchdowns by way of the pass, along with 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game. Altogether, they are surrendering 294.8 yds per contest, giving them a rank of 8th in the NFL. The opposition is running for an average of 4.1 yards per tote and 94.5 rushing yards per outing on the year. The Lions are ranking 14th in professional football when examining the opposition scoring, yielding 22.3 PPG.

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The Commanders head into this matchup 3-6 over the course of the season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Commanders walked away with a loss by a score of 38-14 when they played the Seattle Seahawks. Jacory Croskey-Merritt carried the football 12 times for 38 yards, finishing the contest with 3.2 yds per attempt for Washington. Deebo Samuel was one of the featured targets for the Commanders, catching 5 footballs for 41 yds (8.2 yds per catch). Jayden Daniels finished the contest with 153 yards on 16-22 passing while his quarterback rate was 72.7. He tossed 1 interception and his Y-A was 7.0 yds. Washington allowed 24 rushing attempts for 88 yds (3.7 yards per carry). The Commanders secondary conceded a completion rate of 87.5%, surrendering 330 yards on 21 for 24 passing. The Commanders finished with a total of 290 yards while running 58 plays (5.0 yards per play). Washington rushed for 4.4 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 157 yards on 36 attempts.

The Washington Commanders hold an average of 329.4 total yards per outing, which ranks them at 16th in football. They hold an average of 139.9 running yards per outing, and have run for 1,259 total yards. They have recorded 6 picks while giving up 6 lost fumbles, and have been able to earn 81 1st downs offensively. The Washington offense has granted 551 yards on 64 violations, which is 8th in football if you analyze making mistakes. This year, the Commanders have thrown for a total of 1,706 pass yds and are averaging 189.6 pass yds per outing, which has them sitting 27th in the NFL. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Commanders are 20th in the NFL, with 22.3 points per game.

They have relinquished 19 touchdowns by way of the pass and 253.6 yards via the pass per contest, which has them sitting 29th in football. Washington has conceded a total of 1,118 running yards (124.2 yards per contest), and 7 touchdowns to runners for the year. The D has accumulated 6 turnovers (1 fumble and 5 INTs) over the course of the season. On the whole, they have allowed 236 points in total. The Commanders defense has taken the field for 552 plays from the line of scrimmage, putting them 25th in professional football. The Commanders are giving up 26.2 points per contest, which has them sitting 22nd in football.

Who will win tonight's Lions-Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Commanders +9.5

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