Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 12/20/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Bears (+1)

Total-Over-Under: 46.5

The Green Bay Packers (9-4) are traveling to Soldier Field on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Chicago Bears (10-4). Green Bay opens this game as 1-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under is set at 46.5.

The Green Bay Packers step onto the field holding a record of 9-4 on the year. In their last contest, the Packers faced the Denver Broncos and ended up losing by a score of 34-26. Josh Jacobs was the rushing leader for the Packers with 12 totes for 73 yards (6.1 yards per carry). Jayden Reed had an average of 11.0 yds per catch by accumulating 55 yards on 5 catches. Jordan Love finished 24-40 with 276 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 68.3 and finished the contest with 2 picks. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Packers gave up 89 yards on 31 attempts, which is 2.9 yds per rush allowed. Green Bay gave up 23 pass completions on 34 tries for 302 yds, and a completion percentage of 67.6%. In all, they ran 60 plays which gave them a total of 362 yds. The Green Bay Packers ended up rushing 20 different times and recorded 115 yds, which is an average of 5.8 yards per tote.

The Packers have compiled 4,786 total yards over the course of this year. Green Bay has accumulated 157 first downs offensively, and they have committed 92 infractions for 693 yds. When you look at scoring touchdowns, Green Bay currently has 24 passing TD's and 16 running touchdowns. They have given the ball away 10 times (6 picks and 4 fumbles lost). Collectively, they're maintaining an average of 117.0 running yds giving them a rank of 18th in football. When examining getting the ball into the endzone, the NFC North members are averaging 24.9 points per outing.

The Packers are ranking 8th in professional football if you analyze their defensive prowess, yielding 20.1 points per outing. They are allowing 3.8 yards per run and 100.5 rushing yards per outing on the campaign. If you're looking at yards through the air, the Packers have given up 2,717 yards, ranking this team at 8th in pro football. They have relinquished 194.1 yards per contest via the pass, and are granting a completion rate of 65.5%. Altogether, they are relinquishing 294.6 total yards per contest, giving them a rank of 6th in football. They have allowed 21 touchdowns by way of the pass, along with 10 touchdowns via the ground game. All in all, they have relinquished 1,407 yards on the ground through 14 contests this year.

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The Bears head into this matchup 10-4 on the year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Bears took home the win by a final score of 31-3 when they faced the Cleveland Browns. D'Andre Swift carried the football 18 times for 98 yds, ending the game with 5.4 yards per attempt for Chicago. Luther Burden was one of the featured targets for the Bears, bringing in 6 passes for 84 yds (14.0 yds per reception). Caleb Williams (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 242 yds on 17-28 through the air while his quarterback rate was 112.5. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.6 yards. Chicago gave up 16 running attempts for 50 yards (3.1 yards per carry). The Bears pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 51.4%, relinquishing 142 yards on 18 out of 35 passing. The Bears finished with 361 yards while they ran 61 plays (5.9 yds per play). Chicago ran for 4.3 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 142 yds on 33 attempts.

When it comes to how much they score, the Bears currently rank 9th in the league, by scoring 26.1 points per game. On the campaign, the Bears have earned 3,041 passing yards and have an average of 217.2 passing yards per contest, which is good for 17th in the league. They maintain an average of 151.9 rush yards per contest, and have carried the football for 2,126 total yards. The Chicago Bears have an average of 369.1 total yards per contest, giving them a rank of 5th in football. The Chicago offense has relinquished 801 yds on 99 violations, which is good for 9th in the NFL if you examine hurting your team. They have recorded 6 INTs while giving up 4 fumbles lost, and have been able to obtain 154 first downs offensively.

They have relinquished 27 touchdowns via the pass and 218.9 pass yds per contest, which has them ranked 18th in professional football. Chicago has surrendered a total of 1,773 rush yds (126.6 total yards per contest), along with 12 touchdowns via the ground game on the season. The D has compiled 30 takeaways (9 forced fumbles and 21 picks) this year. In total, they have granted 338 points. The Bears defense has taken part in 815 plays, which ranks 6th in the league. The Bears are surrendering 24.1 points per game, which ranks 21st in the league.

Who will win tonight's Packers-Bears NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bears +1

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