Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 11/27/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Date: Thursday, November 27, 2025

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Lions (-2.5)

Total-Over-Under: 49

The Green Bay Packers (7-3) are traveling to Ford Field on Thursday where they will go up against the Detroit Lions (7-4). Green Bay is 2.5-point dogs. The total comes in at 49.

The Green Bay Packers step onto the field holding a record of 7-3 on the year. When they last took the field, the Packers took the field against the Minnesota Vikings and went home with a win by a final score of 23-6. Jordan Love finished 14-21 with 139 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 85.2 and ended the game with no interceptions. Christian Watson left with an average of 9.8 yds per catch by totaling 49 yds on 5 catches. Emanuel Wilson was the leader on the ground for the Packers with 28 carries for 107 yards (3.8 yards per attempt). In the game, they ran 64 plays which totaled 288 yards. The Green Bay Packers ended up rushing 42 different times and accrued 146 yds, which came out to an average of 3.5 yards per tote. In the running game, the Packers gave up 93 yards on 20 attempts, which averages out to 4.7 yds per rush allowed. Green Bay conceded 12 completions on 19 tries for 52 yards, and a completion rate of 63.2%.

The Packers have notched 3,728 yds on the year. Green Bay has compiled 125 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 73 penalties for 546 total yards. If you analyze putting points on the board, Green Bay has accumulated 16 touchdowns via the pass and 14 rushing TD's. They have surrendered the ball 7 different times (3 interceptions and 4 fumbles). As a unit, they maintain an average of 116.5 rushing yards which has them sitting 15th in the NFL. When analyzing scoring touchdowns, the NFC North members are averaging 23.9 points per game.

The Packers are 5th in pro football when talking about their defensive prowess, allowing 18.4 points per contest. The opposition is running for 3.9 yds per rush on the ground and 96.5 rush yards per contest this season. Regarding pass yds, the Packers have relinquished 2,005 yds, which has them sitting 5th in the NFL. They have relinquished 182.3 yds per contest by way of the pass, and are conceding a completion% of 65.8%. All in all, they are relinquishing 278.7 yds per contest, which has them sitting 4th in the NFL. They have granted 13 touchdowns by way of the pass, along with 8 touchdowns on the ground. In total, they have relinquished 1,061 rushing yards through 11 outings for the year.

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The Lions step on the gridiron with a record of 7-4 over the course of this year. In their last contest, the Lions walked away with a victory by a final of 34-27 when they faced the New York Giants. Jahmyr Gibbs ran the ball 15 times for 219 yds, finishing the game with 14.6 yards per carry for Detroit. Jahmyr Gibbs had the best day in terms of receiving for the Lions, hauling in 11 balls for 45 yds (4.1 yards per catch). Jared Goff (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 279 yds on 28-42 through the air while his quarterback rate was 91.3. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.6 yds. Detroit conceded 39 rushing attempts for 122 yards (3.1 yds per rush). The Lions secondary allowed a completion rate of 51.4%, relinquishing 395 yds on 19 out of 37 passing. The Lions finished the contest with a total of 494 yds and they ran 62 plays (8.0 yds per play). Detroit ended up running for 11.9 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 237 yds on 20 attempts.

When analyzing their scoring prowess, the Lions currently sit 2nd in the league, maintaining an average of 29.6 points per game. For the year, the Lions have a total of 2,625 yards via the pass and have an average of 238.6 yards via the pass per contest, which is 8th in pro football. They hold an average of 139.8 running yards per game, and have run for 1,538 yds. The Detroit Lions average 378.5 total yards per outing, which has them sitting 4th in football. The Detroit offense has allowed 521 yds by way of 69 penalty flags, which has them sitting 23rd in the NFL if you're looking at helping out the other team. They have a total of 5 picks while allowing 3 fumbles, and have obtained 137 first downs as an offense.

The Lions are surrendering 22.1 points per outing, which is 12th in professional football. They have conceded 21 touchdowns by way of the pass as well as 210.5 yards through the air per game, which is 15th in the league. Detroit has surrendered a total of 1,119 rushing yds (101.7 yds per game), and 8 touchdowns on the ground this season. The Lions defense has taken part in 672 plays, which is 11th in pro football. The defense has accumulated 13 turnovers (4 forced fumbles and 9 interceptions) this season. On the whole, they have yielded 243 points.

Who will win tonight's Packers-Lions NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Packers +2.5

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