Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants Prediction, 11/16/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants

Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Giants (+7.5)

Total-Over-Under: 44.5

MetLife Stadium is the place where the New York Giants (2-8) will try to beat the Green Bay Packers (5-3) on Sunday. Green Bay opens this contest as 7.5-point favorites. The over-under is 44.5.

The Green Bay Packers step on the gridiron holding a record of 5-3 over the course of this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Packers faced off with the Philadelphia Eagles and took a loss by a score of 10-7. Josh Jacobs was the leader on the ground for the Packers with 21 carries for 74 yards (3.5 yards per attempt). Romeo Doubs had an average of 5.0 yds per reception by accounting for 5 yds on 1 catch. Jordan Love went 20-36 with 176 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 68.7 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. In the running game, the Packers conceded 111 yards on 34 tries, which is 3.3 yds per run allowed. Green Bay surrendered 15 pass completions on 26 attempts for a total of 183 yds, and a completion rate of 57.7%. In all, they ran 63 plays which gave them 261 yds. The Green Bay Packers ended up rushing 27 different times and tallied 104 yards, which is an average of 3.9 yds per attempt.

The Packers have produced 3,144 yds this season. Green Bay has amassed 106 first downs, and they have committed 66 infractions for 488 yards. If you analyze putting points on the board, Green Bay has attained 13 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns. They have coughed up the ball 7 times (3 INTs and 4 fumbles). As a team, they're sitting at 111.9 running yds which has them ranking 20th in the league. When you look at getting in the endzone, the Packers have an average of 23.7 PPG.

If you analyze pass yards, the Packers have allowed 1,759 total yards, which ranks them at 9th in football. They have yielded 195.4 yards per contest via the pass, and are allowing a completion percentage of 65.9%. All in all, they have conceded 826 yards on the ground through 9 games on the campaign. They have yielded 13 touchdowns by way of the pass, and 5 touchdowns to rushers. Altogether, they are relinquishing 287.2 yards per outing, which ranks them at 5th in the league. They are giving up 3.8 yards per run and 91.8 rushing yards per contest over the course of this season. The Packers sit 7th in the league with reference to their defensive abilities, allowing 19.6 points per game.

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The Giants come into this game with a record of 2-8 for the season. The last time they took the field, the Giants took a defeat with a final score of 24-20 against the Chicago Bears. Jaxson Dart finished the contest with 242 yds on 19-29 through the air while his QB rate was 91.5. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.3 yards. Tyrone Tracy Jr. ran the football 14 times for 71 yds, ending the game with 5.1 yards per carry for New York. Daniel Bellinger was the top contributor in the passing game for the Giants, bringing in 1 balls for 8 yds (8.0 yards per reception). New York ended up running for 5.6 yards per tote, finishing with 169 yards on 30 attempts. The Giants finished the contest with 431 yards while running 66 plays (6.5 yards per play). The Giants pass defense allowed a completion rate of 55.6%, surrendering 220 yds on 20 out of 36 through the air. New York conceded 28 rushing attempts for 171 yds (6.1 yds per carry).

The New York Giants have an average of 332.9 total yards per contest, which ranks them at 14th in the NFL. They average 123.0 rush yds per outing, and have carried the football for 1,230 yds. They have thrown 6 picks while giving up 4 lost fumbles, and have been able to tally 94 1st downs as an offense. The New York offense has surrendered 652 yds by way of 79 infractions, which is good for 3rd in football if you're looking at making mistakes. In this season, the Giants have thrown for a total of 2,099 yards through the air and hold an average of 209.9 yards through the air per contest, which ranks them at 17th in pro football. When talking about their scoring prowess, the Giants currently sit 24th in professional football, scoring 21.7 points per game.

The Giants are giving up 27.3 PPG, which is good for 27th in football. They have allowed 16 touchdowns through the air and 230.9 pass yds per outing, which has them sitting 23rd in the NFL. New York has relinquished a total of 1,521 rush yds (152.1 yds per outing), and 14 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Giants defense has taken the field for 651 plays, which is good for 32nd in football. The D currently has 6 turnovers (2 forced fumbles and 4 INTs) over the course of this season. In total, they have conceded 273 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Packers-Giants NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Packers -7.5

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