Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, 10/5/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025

Location: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Ravens (-3.5)

Total-Over-Under: 43.5

The Baltimore Ravens (1-3) will go up against the Houston Texans (1-3) at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday. Baltimore opens this matchup as 3.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 43.5.

The Houston Texans come into this game holding a record of 1-3 for the year. In their last contest, the Texans faced the Tennessee Titans and earned the victory with a final of 26-0. Woody Marks led the offense in rushing for the Texans with 17 carries for 69 yards (4.1 yds per attempt). Dalton Schultz had an average of 6.0 yards per reception by earning 30 yards on 5 receptions. C.J. Stroud finished 22-28 with 233 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 125.1 and ended the game without throwing an interception. In the running game, the Texans conceded 82 yards on 18 attempts, which averages out to 4.6 yds per run allowed. Houston allowed 10 completions on 26 tries for 93 yards, and a completion percentage of 38.5%. At the end of the game, they ran 63 plays which converted into 353 yards. The Houston Texans rushed the ball a total of 35 different times and totaled 129 yds, which is an average of 3.7 yards per attempt.

The Texans have racked up 1,155 yds on the season. Houston has tallied 31 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 30 infractions for 241 total yards. In terms of putting points on the board, Houston currently has 4 passing TD's and 2 touchdowns via the ground. They have coughed up the ball 5 times (3 picks and 2 fumbles lost). Offensively, they maintain an average of 103.5 rushing yards which is 23rd in football. In terms of putting points on the board, the Texans have an average of 16.0 points per outing.

Regarding yards through the air, the Texans have conceded 713 total yards, putting them 7th in the league. They have conceded 178.3 yards per outing via the pass, and are giving up a completion rate of 57.1%. In total, they have conceded 409 yards via the running game in 4 games this year. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns via the pass, in addition to 4 touchdowns via the rush. In total, they are allowing 280.5 total yards per game, putting them 5th in the NFL. The opposition is running for an average of 4.2 yards per rush and 102.3 rushing yds per game for the year. The Texans rank 1st in professional football regarding opponents scoring, relinquishing 12.8 points per outing.

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The Ravens come into this matchup holding a record of 1-3 for the season. In their last contest, the Ravens took a loss by a score of 37-20 when they faced the Kansas City Chiefs. Lamar Jackson (1 TD) ended the contest with 147 yards on 14-20 passing while his quarterback rate was 86.9. He had 1 interception and his Y-A was 7.4 yds. Mark Andrews was the top contributor in the passing game for the Ravens, catching 7 balls for 30 yds (4.3 yds per catch). Derrick Henry ran the football 8 times for 42 yds, finishing the game with 5.3 yds per carry for Baltimore. The Ravens finished the contest with a total of 360 yds on 50 plays (7.2 yards per play). Baltimore rushed for 9.8 yards per tote, totaling 166 yds on 17 carries. Baltimore allowed 32 running attempts for 118 yds (3.7 yds per rush). The Ravens passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 67.6%, relinquishing 264 yds on 25 out of 37 through the air.

In terms of how much they score, the Ravens rank 3rd in professional football, holding an average of 32.8 points per outing. For the season, the Ravens have a total of 818 yards through the air and hold an average of 204.5 yards through the air per game, which is 18th in football. They maintain an average of 133.5 rushing yards per outing, and have toted the ball for 534 total yards. The Baltimore Ravens average 338.0 total yards per game, which is good for 13th in professional football. The Baltimore offense has relinquished 145 total yards on 22 penalties, which is good for 27th in professional football when examining making mistakes. They have thrown 1 interception while granting 3 fumbles lost, and have recorded 42 1st downs as a unit.

The Ravens are relinquishing 33.3 points per game, which is good for 32nd in professional football. They have relinquished 9 touchdowns via the pass and 265.5 yards through the air per game, putting them 31st in the NFL. Baltimore has granted a total of 565 rushing yds (141.3 total yards per game), plus 7 touchdowns to rushers for the season. The Ravens defense has taken the field for 286 plays from scrimmage, which ranks them 32nd in pro football. Their defense currently has 2 takeaways (1 fumble and 1 interception) on the season. Overall, they have allowed 133 total points.

Who will win tonight's Texans-Ravens NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Ravens -3.5

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