Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, 12/27/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: NFL Net

Odds-Point Spread: Chargers (-2)

Total-Over-Under: 39.5

SoFi Stadium is the location where the Los Angeles Chargers (11-4) will take on the Houston Texans (10-5) on Saturday. Los Angeles opens as 2-point favorites. The over-under has been set at 39.5.

The Houston Texans step on the gridiron holding a record of 10-5 for this campaign. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Texans faced the Las Vegas Raiders and notched a win by a score of 23-21. C.J. Stroud went 23-35 with 187 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 88.6 and finished the game without throwing a pick. Jawhar Jordan averaged 3.4 yds per catch by tallying 17 yds on 5 catches. Jawhar Jordan was the leader on the ground for the Texans with 15 totes for 53 yds (3.5 yards per carry). When all was said and done, they ran 61 plays for 270 yards. The Houston Texans ran the ball a total of 26 times and accumulated 83 yds, which came out to an average of 3.2 yds per attempt. Against the rush, the Texans gave up 145 yards on 27 tries, which calculates to 5.4 yards per run allowed. Houston conceded 16 pass completions on 23 attempts for 170 yards, and a completion percentage of 69.6%.

The Texans currently have 4,858 yards on the year. Houston currently has 167 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 103 penalties for 842 yds. When examining putting the ball in the endzone, Houston has earned 21 passing touchdowns and 8 ground TD's. They have given the ball to the opposition 10 times (7 INTs and 3 lost fumbles). As a team, they're averaging 106.7 rushing yards which ranks 23rd in pro football. When you look at getting the ball into the endzone, the Texans hold an average of 23.1 points per game.

When examining yards through the air, the Texans have given up 2,641 yards, which has them sitting 4th in football. They have conceded 176.1 yards per game via the pass, and are conceding a completion percentage of 58.6%. Altogether, they have allowed 1,443 running yards through 15 outings on the year. They have yielded 17 touchdowns by way of the pass, and 11 touchdowns by way of the ground game. In total, they are surrendering 272.3 yds per game, ranking them 1st in the league. They are allowing an average of 4.1 yds per running attempt and 96.2 running yards per game over the course of this season. The Texans are ranked 1st in football if you examine the other team scoring points, allowing 16.6 points per game.

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The Chargers come into this game with a record of 11-4 this season. In their last game, the Chargers went home victorious with a score of 34-17 when they faced the Dallas Cowboys. Omarion Hampton ran the football 16 times for 85 yds, finishing the game with 5.3 yds per attempt for Los Angeles. Keenan Allen was the top contributor in the passing game for the Chargers, snagging 5 balls for 44 yds (8.8 yards per catch). Justin Herbert (2 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 300 yds on 23-29 through the air while his QB rating was 132.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 10.3 yds. Los Angeles relinquished 23 rushing attempts for 91 yds (4.0 yards per carry). The Chargers passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 71.9%, surrendering 249 yards on 23 out of 32 through the air. The Chargers finished with a total of 452 yds and they ran 62 plays (7.3 yards per play). Los Angeles rushed for 4.6 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 152 yds on 33 attempts.

The Los Angeles Chargers maintain an average of 345.5 yards per contest, which is good for 11th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 125.3 rushing yds per game, and have carried the football for 1,880 yards. They have a total of 12 INTs while giving up 6 lost fumbles, and have been able to obtain 167 first downs. The Los Angeles offense has yielded 737 yards by way of 96 violations, which ranks 18th in pro football with reference to making mistakes. On the year, the Chargers have earned 3,303 pass yards and hold an average of 220.2 pass yards per outing, which has them sitting 13th in the league. Concerning putting points on the board, the Chargers currently sit 16th in pro football, averaging 23.3 points per contest.

They have given up 14 touchdowns through the air plus 179.3 yards through the air per game, which has them sitting 6th in football. Los Angeles has granted a total of 1,557 rushing yards (103.8 total yards per game), as well as 16 touchdowns to runners for this campaign. Their defense has amassed 21 turnovers (4 forced fumbles and 17 picks) this season. Overall, they have surrendered 301 points in total. The Chargers defense has participated in 846 plays, which has them sitting 1st in football. The Chargers are surrendering 20.1 points per outing, ranking them 8th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Texans-Chargers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Texans +2

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