Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Prediction, 11/16/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025

Location: Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Titans (+7.5)

Total-Over-Under: 39.5

Nissan Stadium is the place where the Tennessee Titans (1-8) will try to beat the Houston Texans (4-5) on Sunday. Houston is 7.5-point favorites. The total is set at 39.5.

The Houston Texans step on the gridiron holding a record of 4-5 for the season. In their last game, the Texans played against the Jacksonville Jaguars and went home with a win by a final score of 36-29. Davis Mills went 27-45 with 292 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 84.7 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Woody Marks was the rushing leader for the Texans with 14 carries for 63 yards (4.5 yds per carry). Nick Chubb had an average of 5.0 yards per catch by accounting for 5 yards on 1 catch. The Houston Texans ran the football 22 times and amassed 130 yds, which earned them an average of 5.9 yards per tote. At the end of the game, they ran 67 plays which converted into 412 yds. Houston gave up 13 completions on 23 tries for 119 yds, and a completion percentage of 56.5%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Texans conceded 94 yds on 27 attempts, which averages out to 3.5 yards per run allowed.

The Texans have recorded 2,981 total yards over the course of the season. Houston currently has 103 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 67 infractions for 536 yards. When analyzing getting in the endzone, Houston has recorded 13 touchdowns through the air and 5 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 9 different times (6 picks and 3 fumbles lost). Collectively, they're holding an average of 111.2 rush yds which has them sitting 22nd in the NFL. When talking about scoring, the AFC representatives have an average of 22.7 points per game.

When you look at passing yards, the Texans have surrendered 1,539 yds, which is good for 4th in football. They have conceded 171.0 total yards per contest via the pass, and are yielding a completion% of 56.7%. On the whole, they have allowed 813 yards via the running game in 9 games for the season. They have given up 9 touchdowns through the air, in addition to 8 touchdowns via the rush. All in all, they are giving up 261.3 yds per contest, which is good for 1st in football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.9 yds per attempt on the ground and 90.3 running yds per game for the year. The Texans are sitting 1st in the NFL regarding their defensive prowess, granting 16.7 PPG.

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The Titans step on the gridiron with a record of 1-8 over the course of this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Titans went home defeated by a final of 27-20 when they played the Los Angeles Chargers. Cam Ward ended the game with 145 yds on 12-21 passing while his quarterback rating was 78.5. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.9 yards. Tony Pollard carried the ball 10 times for 56 yards, ending the contest with 5.6 yds per attempt for Tennessee. Elic Ayomanor had the best day in terms of receiving for the Titans, snagging 3 balls for 46 yards (15.3 yards per reception). Tennessee rushed the football for 4.6 yds per attempt, totaling 88 yards on 19 carries. The Titans ended up finishing with 206 yds while running 40 plays (5.2 yds per play). The Titans passing defense gave up a completion rate of 65.5%, surrendering 212 yds on 19 for 29 passing. Tennessee surrendered 30 running attempts for 131 yards (4.4 yards per rush).

When examining the points being put on the board, the Titans are ranked 32nd in the league, by scoring 14.4 points per game. On the season, the Titans have compiled 1,465 pass yards and average 162.8 pass yards per outing, which ranks them at 31st in football. They maintain an average of 81.2 running yds per outing, and have run for 731 yards. The Tennessee Titans hold an average of 244.0 total yards per outing, which ranks them at 32nd in football. The Tennessee offense has relinquished 474 yds by way of 61 infractions, which has them sitting 21st in the NFL regarding helping out the opposition. They have allowed 6 picks while surrendering 7 lost fumbles, and have been able to earn 88 first downs offensively.

The Titans are granting 28.6 points per outing, which has them sitting 30th in the NFL. They have allowed 14 touchdowns by way of the pass along with 215.3 passing yds per game, which has them ranking 17th in the league. Tennessee has allowed a total of 1,272 rushing yards (141.3 yards per contest), along with 15 touchdowns on the ground over the course of this season. The Titans defense has taken part in 550 plays from scrimmage, ranking them 10th in professional football. The D has notched 10 turnovers (5 forced fumbles and 5 INTs) over the course of the season. All in all, they have surrendered 257 pts.

Who will win tonight's Texans-Titans NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Texans -7.5

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