Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction, 11/9/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Texans (-1)

Total-Over-Under: 38

The Jacksonville Jaguars (5-3) are traveling to NRG Stadium on Sunday where they will meet the Houston Texans (3-5). Jacksonville opens this contest as 1-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under is set at 38.

The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this game holding a record of 5-3 on the season. The last time they took the field, the Jaguars played the Las Vegas Raiders and took home the win by a score of 30-29. Trevor Lawrence went 23-34 with 220 yds passing. He had a quarterback rate of 73.2 and ended the game with 1 interception. Parker Washington left with an average of 11.3 yds per catch by totaling 90 yds on 8 receptions. Travis Etienne was the rushing leader for the Jaguars with 22 attempts for 84 yds (3.8 yds per attempt). At the end of the game, they ran 76 plays which gave them a total of 367 yards. The Jacksonville Jaguars ran the football 42 times and accounted for 151 yards, which earned them an average of 3.6 yards per tote. On the ground, the Jaguars gave up 57 yards on 19 attempts, which is an average of 3.0 yds per run allowed. Jacksonville conceded 29 pass completions on 39 attempts for 274 yards, and a completion rate of 74.4%.

If you examine getting the ball in the endzone, the Jacksonville Jaguars have an average of 22.0 points per contest. Collectively, they are averaging 123.6 running yds which ranks them at 11th in football. The Jaguars have notched 2,711 yards over the course of the season. Jacksonville currently has 85 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 74 infractions for 608 total yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 7 different times (6 interceptions and 1 fumble). Regarding scoring touchdowns, Jacksonville has attained 9 touchdowns via the pass and 9 touchdowns via the ground.

The Jaguars are ranked 17th in football if you analyze opponents scoring, yielding 23.0 points per contest. They are giving up 3.8 yards per tote and 86.9 running yards per contest over the course of this year. When examining yards via the pass, the Jaguars have surrendered 1,994 total yards, ranking this team at 23rd in the NFL. They have surrendered 249.3 total yards per outing by way of the pass, and are granting a completion% of 63.5%. On the whole, they are surrendering 336.1 total yards per outing, which ranks them at 22nd in the NFL. They have relinquished 19 touchdowns by way of the pass, and 4 touchdowns to runners. Altogether, they have conceded 695 rushing yards through 8 contests over the course of this year.

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The Texans step onto the field with a record of 3-5 for the year. In their last contest, the Texans went home defeated by a final of 18-15 when they faced the Denver Broncos. Nick Chubb carried the ball 11 times for 34 yds, ending the game with 3.1 yds per carry for Houston. Nico Collins was featured in the passing game for the Texans, bringing in 7 passes for 75 yards (10.7 yards per reception). Davis Mills finished the game with 137 yds on 17-30 through the air while his QB rating was 68.3. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.6 yards. Houston allowed 23 run attempts for 100 yds (4.3 yards per carry). The Texans passing defense conceded a completion rate of 48.6%, surrendering 171 yds on 18 out of 37 through the air. The Texans finished the game with a total of 268 yds and they ran 68 plays (3.9 yds per play). Houston rushed the ball for 2.8 yds per carry, finishing the game with 77 yds on 28 carries.

The Houston Texans hold an average of 321.1 total yards per outing, which ranks them at 19th in football. They hold an average of 108.9 running yds per outing, and have run for 871 total yards. They have recorded 5 picks while allowing 2 fumbles lost, and have been able to obtain 86 first downs as a unit. The Houston offense has surrendered 456 total yards on 56 violations, which has them sitting 16th in the NFL when talking about giving up free yards. For the year, the Texans have racked up 1,698 yards via the pass and have an average of 212.3 yards via the pass per game, which ranks 18th in football. In terms of their scoring prowess, the Texans are ranked 25th in football, scoring 21.0 points per contest.

The Texans are giving up 15.1 points per contest, which is 1st in football. They have allowed 8 touchdowns via the pass plus 177.5 yards via the pass per game, which ranks 4th in football. Houston has yielded a total of 719 running yards (89.9 total yards per outing), along with 7 touchdowns on the ground on the season. The Texans defense has been on the field for 453 plays from the line of scrimmage, giving them a rank of 1st in the NFL. The defense has attained 13 turnovers (4 fumbles forced and 9 picks) this season. On the whole, they have surrendered 121 pts.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars-Texans NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Jaguars +1

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