Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, 11/27/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys

Date: Thursday, November 27, 2025

Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX

TV: CBS Paramount+

Odds-Point Spread: Cowboys (+3)

Total-Over-Under: 52

The Dallas Cowboys (5-5) will try to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs (6-5) at AT&T Stadium on Thursday. Dallas is 3-point underdogs. The over-under comes in at 52.

The Kansas City Chiefs head into this game 6-5 this season. In their last game, the Chiefs faced the Indianapolis Colts and notched a win by a score of 23-20. Kareem Hunt was the rushing leader for the Chiefs with 30 totes for 104 yds (3.5 yds per carry). Rashee Rice left with an average of 17.6 yards per catch by tallying 141 yds on 8 catches. Patrick Mahomes connected on 29-46 with 352 yds passing. He had a quarterback rate of 77.4 and finished the contest with 1 interception. In the running game, the Chiefs conceded 74 yds on 19 tries, which calculates to 3.9 yds per rush allowed. Kansas City gave up 19 pass completions on 31 attempts for a total of 181 yds, and a completion rate of 61.3%. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 87 plays which converted into 494 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball a total of 41 different times and totaled 148 yards, which is an average of 3.6 yds per carry.

The Chiefs have attained 4,136 total yards on the year. Kansas City has accumulated 145 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 76 infractions for 634 total yards. If you analyze putting points on the board, Kansas City has accumulated 18 touchdowns via the pass and 13 rushing TD's. They have surrendered the football 8 different times (7 interceptions and 1 fumble). Offensively, they maintain an average of 118.3 rushing yards which has them sitting 14th in the league. When examining getting in the endzone, the Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 25.2 points per contest.

The Chiefs rank 4th in the league when you look at the other team scoring points, allowing 18.3 points per outing. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yds per rushing attempt and 97.6 rush yds per outing over the course of this year. Regarding pass yds, the Chiefs have relinquished 2,149 yds, which has them sitting 11th in the NFL. They have given up 195.4 yds per outing by way of the pass, and are surrendering a completion rate of 69.5%. All in all, they are granting 293.0 yds per game, which is 6th in the league. They have yielded 11 touchdowns by way of the pass, along with 10 touchdowns to runners. All in all, they have granted 1,074 yards on the ground through 11 outings on the year.

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The Cowboys head into this matchup 5-5 over the course of this season. The last time they took the field, the Cowboys got the win with a final of 24-21 when they faced the Philadelphia Eagles. Dak Prescott (2 TDs) ended the contest with 354 yards on 23-36 passing while his QB rate was 103.2. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.8 yds. George Pickens was one of the featured targets for the Cowboys, grabbing 9 balls for 146 yds (16.2 yds per catch). Javonte Williams carried the football 20 times for 87 yards, finishing the contest with 4.4 yds per attempt for Dallas. The Cowboys finished the contest with a total of 473 yards and they ran 67 plays (7.1 yards per play). Dallas rushed the ball for 4.0 yards per tote, totaling 125 yds on 31 attempts. Dallas gave up 18 running attempts for 63 yards (3.5 yds per rush). The Cowboys secondary gave up a completion rate of 69.2%, surrendering 276 yards on 27 out of 39 passing.

The Dallas Cowboys hold an average of 387.3 yds per game, which is 1st in the league. They average 120.5 rush yds per outing, and have carried the football for 1,325 total yards. They have allowed 8 picks while relinquishing 6 lost fumbles, and have tallied 151 first downs. The Dallas offense has conceded 729 total yards on 87 penalties, which ranks 4th in the league when you look at giving up free yards. In this campaign, the Cowboys have a total of 2,935 yards through the air and are averaging 266.8 yards through the air per contest, which is good for 1st in professional football. Regarding putting points on the board, the Cowboys are 4th in the NFL, with an average of 29.1 points per outing.

The Cowboys are relinquishing 28.5 points per outing, which ranks 31st in the league. They have conceded 24 touchdowns by way of the pass as well as 252.3 yards through the air per game, which is 30th in the league. Dallas has granted a total of 1,377 rush yards (125.2 yards per contest), along with 13 touchdowns on the ground this season. The Cowboys defense has taken the field for 702 plays, which has them sitting 24th in the league. The D currently has 10 turnovers (5 forced fumbles and 5 picks) over the course of this season. In total, they have given up 314 total points.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs-Cowboys NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cowboys +3

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