Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans Prediction, 12/21/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Texans (-14.5)

Total-Over-Under: 38

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-12) are headed to NRG Stadium on Sunday where they will go up against the Houston Texans (9-5). Houston opens as 14.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 38.

The Las Vegas Raiders step onto the field holding a record of 2-12 for this campaign. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Raiders faced off with the Philadelphia Eagles and went home with a loss by a final score of 31-0. Ashton Jeanty was the rushing leader for the Raiders with 9 totes for 35 yds (3.9 yards per carry). Brock Bowers had an average of 4.7 yds per catch by totaling 28 yds on 6 catches. Kenny Pickett went 15-25 with 64 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 47.9 and finished the contest with 1 pick. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Raiders gave up 183 yds on 47 attempts, which calculates to 3.9 yds per run surrendered. Las Vegas relinquished 15 completions on 18 attempts for a total of 204 yards, and a completion percentage of 83.3%. At the end of the game, they ran 38 plays which gave them 75 yds. The Las Vegas Raiders ran the football 13 times and accounted for 46 yds, which earned them an average of 3.5 yards per carry.

The Raiders have earned 3,418 total yards this year. Las Vegas has recorded 140 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 92 infractions for 765 total yards. Regarding scoring points, Las Vegas has attained 17 passing TD's and 4 TD's on the ground. They have given the ball away 18 different times (15 INTs and 3 fumbles). As a team, they're holding an average of 70.8 rush yards ranking this team at 32nd in football. Regarding scoring points, the AFC West representatives have an average of 14.0 points per game.

The Raiders are ranked 25th in professional football with reference to the other team scoring points, allowing 25.9 PPG. The opposition is running for 3.9 yards per running attempt and 118.9 running yards per game on the campaign. When you look at passing yards, the Raiders have surrendered 2,958 total yards, which ranks 16th in the league. They have relinquished 211.3 yds per outing through the air, and are granting a completion% of 69.2%. Altogether, they are surrendering 330.1 yards per game, ranking this team at 16th in pro football. They have surrendered 22 touchdowns via the pass, plus 19 touchdowns to rushers. Altogether, they have conceded 1,664 running yards through 14 contests for this campaign.

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The Texans come into this game with a record of 9-5 on the season. In their last game, the Texans walked away with a victory by a final of 40-20 when they faced the Arizona Cardinals. C.J. Stroud (3 touchdowns) finished the contest with 260 yards on 22-29 through the air while his QB rate was 137.1. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.0 yards. Jawhar Jordan carried the rock 15 times for 101 yards, ending the contest with 6.7 yds per attempt for Houston. Dalton Schultz was a featured target for the Texans, grabbing 8 passes for 76 yds (9.5 yds per catch). Houston rushed the ball for 4.3 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 143 yds on 33 carries. The Texans finished the contest with 399 yards and they ran 62 plays (6.4 yds per play). The Texans secondary gave up a completion percentage of 67.5%, relinquishing 235 yards on 27 out of 40 through the air. Houston conceded 21 rushing attempts for 72 yards (3.4 yds per carry).

When it comes to how much they score, the Texans currently rank 17th in the league, by scoring 23.1 points per game. For the season, the Texans have thrown for a total of 3,071 yards via the pass and hold an average of 219.4 yards via the pass per contest, giving them a rank of 14th in football. They maintain an average of 108.4 running yards per game, and have carried the ball for 1,517 yards. The Houston Texans have an average of 327.7 yds per contest, which is good for 19th in the league. The Houston offense has granted 813 total yards by way of 99 penalty flags, giving them a rank of 10th in football when analyzing making mistakes. They have thrown 7 picks while granting 3 fumbles lost, and have been able to earn 157 first downs as a team.

They have granted 15 touchdowns through the air and 176.5 passing yards per contest, ranking this team at 4th in football. Houston has conceded a total of 1,298 rushing yards (92.7 yards per contest), and 10 touchdowns via the rush on the year. The defense has attained 24 takeaways (8 forced fumbles and 16 interceptions) on the season. Overall, they have allowed 228 total points. The Texans defense has been on the field for 809 plays from the line of scrimmage, giving them a rank of 5th in professional football. The Texans are allowing 16.3 points per game, which is good for 1st in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Raiders-Texans NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Texans -14.5

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