Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 11/16/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025

Location: EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Jaguars (+3)

Total-Over-Under: 44

The Los Angeles Chargers (7-3) are en route to EverBank Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4). Los Angeles opens this contest as 3-point favorites. The total is set at 44.

The Los Angeles Chargers step on the gridiron holding a record of 7-3 for the season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Chargers stepped onto the field against the Pittsburgh Steelers and notched a win by a score of 25-10. Justin Herbert went 20-33 with 220 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 90.5 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. Keenan Allen had an average of 9.5 yards per reception by earning 19 yds on 2 catches. Kimani Vidal led the offense in rushing for the Chargers with 25 totes for 95 yds (3.8 yds per attempt). Overall, they ran 64 plays which totaled 314 yds. The Los Angeles Chargers rushed the ball a total of 31 times and accumulated 115 yards, which earned them an average of 3.7 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Chargers gave up 73 yds on 16 attempts, which is an average of 4.6 yards per run allowed. Los Angeles surrendered 16 pass completions on 31 attempts for a total of 148 yds, and a completion percentage of 51.6%.

When examining scoring points, the Los Angeles Chargers average 24.0 points per game. Collectively, they are averaging 123.1 rush yds which ranks them at 10th in the NFL. The Chargers have recorded 3,685 yards on the campaign. Los Angeles currently has 123 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 71 infractions for 500 yards. They have given the ball away 12 different times (8 INTs and 4 fumbles lost). If you analyze putting points on the board, Los Angeles has attained 19 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns.

If you analyze pass yards, the Chargers have conceded 1,742 total yards, which ranks them at 8th in the NFL. They have allowed 174.2 total yards per outing by way of the pass, and are giving up a completion% of 59.9%. In total, they have allowed 1,060 yards via the running game in 10 games over the course of the season. They have allowed 9 touchdowns through the air, and 10 touchdowns on the ground. In total, they are surrendering 280.2 yards per contest, ranking them 4th in professional football. They are allowing 4.9 yds per tote and 106.0 running yds per outing on the campaign. The Chargers currently sit 8th in professional football when analyzing team defense, surrendering 20.3 points per game.

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The Jaguars step on the gridiron with a record of 5-4 on the campaign. When they last took the field, the Jaguars went home defeated by a final of 36-29 against the Houston Texans. Trevor Lawrence (1 touchdown) finished the game with 158 yds on 13-23 through the air while his quarterback rate was 74.2. He had 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 6.9 yards. Travis Etienne carried the football 16 times for 58 yds, finishing the game with 3.6 yards per carry for Jacksonville. LeQuint Allen was one of the featured targets for the Jaguars, snagging 1 balls for 6 yards (6.0 yds per catch). Jacksonville ran the ball for 3.5 yards per tote, finishing with 94 yds on 27 carries. The Jaguars finished the contest with a total of 213 yds and they ran 50 plays (4.3 yds per play). The Jaguars passing defense gave up a completion rate of 60.0%, relinquishing 282 yds on 27 out of 45 through the air. Jacksonville gave up 22 rushing attempts for 130 yds (5.9 yds per rush).

The Jacksonville Jaguars have an average of 324.9 yards per contest, ranking them 19th in professional football. They maintain an average of 120.3 running yds per outing, and have run for 1,083 yards. They have compiled 7 picks while relinquishing 2 fumbles, and have obtained 92 1st downs as a team. The Jacksonville offense has surrendered 698 yds by way of 83 infractions, which is good for 2nd in football if you're looking at making mistakes. In this season, the Jaguars sit at 1,841 pass yds and are averaging 204.6 pass yds per outing, which has them sitting 19th in the NFL. When analyzing their scoring prowess, the Jaguars sit 18th in the league, by tallying 22.8 points per game.

The Jaguars are allowing 24.4 points per game, which has them ranking 20th in the league. They have yielded 21 touchdowns via the pass along with 252.9 yards through the air per contest, which ranks them at 28th in pro football. Jacksonville has allowed a total of 825 running yds (91.7 yards per outing), and 6 touchdowns to runners on the campaign. The Jaguars defense has taken part in 556 plays from scrimmage, ranking them 12th in professional football. The defense has recorded 17 takeaways (5 fumbles forced and 12 INTs) over the course of this season. All in all, they have allowed 220 total points.

Who will win tonight's Chargers-Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chargers -3

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