Miami Dolphins vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 10/26/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 8

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Falcons (-7.5)

Total-Over-Under: 44.5

The Atlanta Falcons (3-3) are hosting the Miami Dolphins (1-6) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday. Atlanta is 7.5-point favorites. The total is 44.5.

The Miami Dolphins head into this game 1-6 so far this year. In their last game, the Dolphins stepped onto the field against the Cleveland Browns and took a loss by a final of 31-6. De'Von Achane was the rushing leader for the Dolphins with 13 carries for 82 yds (6.3 yards per carry). De'Von Achane had an average of 5.3 yards per catch by accounting for 16 yds on 3 catches. Tua Tagovailoa finished 12-23 with 100 yards passing. He had a QB rating of 24.1 and walked away from the contest with 3 interceptions. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Dolphins gave up 104 yds on 33 tries, which is 3.2 yards per rush surrendered. Miami gave up 13 pass completions on 18 attempts for a total of 102 yds, and a completion percentage of 72.2%. Once the final whistle blew, they had 53 plays which converted into 219 yards. The Miami Dolphins ran the ball 22 times and tallied 99 yds, which earned them an average of 4.5 yards per tote.

When it comes to notching touchdowns, the team repping Miami are sitting at 20.0 points per outing. Collectively, they're sitting at 92.4 rush yards which is good for 29th in football. The Dolphins have amassed 1,953 total yards for the year. Miami has accrued 77 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 49 penalties for 389 yds. They have surrendered the ball 12 times (10 picks and 2 fumbles). If you look at scoring touchdowns, Miami has recorded 11 touchdowns via the pass and 4 rushing TD's.

The Dolphins are ranked 29th in the league in terms of opponents scoring, surrendering 29.3 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.2 yds per rushing attempt and 159.3 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. When you look at passing yards, the Dolphins have given up 1,427 yds, giving them a rank of 13th in football. They have yielded 203.9 yards per outing via the pass, and are relinquishing a completion rate of 74.6%. On the whole, they are conceding 363.1 yds per outing, which has them sitting 26th in football. They have granted 11 touchdowns by way of the pass, in addition to 9 touchdowns via the rush. Altogether, they have given up 1,115 yards via the running game in 7 games for this campaign.

Get all of our NFL Expert Picks

The Falcons head into this matchup 3-3 for the year. In their last game, the Falcons took a defeat with a final score of 20-10 against the San Francisco 49ers. Michael Penix (1 TD) ended the game with 241 yards on 21-38 passing while his QB rating was 83.3. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.3 yds. Bijan Robinson ran the football 14 times for 40 yards, walking away from the game with 2.9 yds per carry for Atlanta. Drake London was one of the featured targets for the Falcons, bringing in 4 footballs for 42 yds (10.5 yds per catch). Atlanta ran the ball for 3.1 yards per tote, finishing the game with 62 yards on 20 carries. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 292 yds while running 58 plays (5.0 yds per play). The Falcons secondary gave up a completion percentage of 65.4%, relinquishing 150 yds on 17 for 26 through the air. Atlanta surrendered 39 rushing attempts for 174 yds (4.5 yds per rush).

The Atlanta Falcons have an average of 364.3 yds per contest, which is 7th in pro football. They hold an average of 136.3 running yards per outing, and have rushed for 818 yards. They have recorded 3 picks while surrendering 3 fumbles, and have earned 69 1st downs as a unit. The Atlanta offense has surrendered 230 yds by way of 33 penalty flags, ranking them 32nd in the league when analyzing making mistakes. Over the course of this season, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 1,368 passing yds and have an average of 228.0 passing yds per game, which has them sitting 10th in the league. When analyzing putting points on the board, the Falcons rank 28th in football, with an average of 18.3 PPG.

They have given up 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 141.2 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 1st in football. Atlanta has allowed a total of 744 running yards (124.0 yards per outing), as well as 4 touchdowns via the ground game on the season. The defense has collected 9 turnovers (3 forced fumbles and 6 interceptions) over the course of this season. On the whole, they have relinquished 120 total points. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 328 plays, ranking this team at 1st in the NFL. The Falcons are granting 20.0 PPG, which is good for 8th in football.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins-Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -7.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NFL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.