Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction, 12/7/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Jets (+2.5)

Total-Over-Under: 40.5

The Miami Dolphins (5-7) are hitting the road to MetLife Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the New York Jets (3-9). Miami opens as 2.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is 40.5.

The Miami Dolphins head into this matchup 5-7 over the course of this season. When they last took the field, the Dolphins played against the New Orleans Saints and earned the victory with a final of 21-17. Tua Tagovailoa went 12-23 with 157 yds passing. He had a QB rate of 55.9 and finished the game with 1 interception. Darren Waller left with an average of 23.5 yards per reception by recording 47 yds on 2 catches. De'Von Achane was the best rusher for the Dolphins with 22 carries for 134 yards (6.1 yds per carry). In the game, they ran 55 plays for 298 yds. The Miami Dolphins ran the football 32 times and accounted for 164 yds, which came out to an average of 5.1 yards per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Dolphins gave up 81 yds on 27 tries, which averages out to 3.0 yds per rush allowed. Miami gave up 26 pass completions on 38 tries for 213 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.4%.

The Dolphins have accrued 3,602 yards for the season. Miami has tallied 124 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 70 infractions for 577 yds. Regarding scoring touchdowns, Miami has produced 17 touchdowns via the pass and 8 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 18 different times (14 INTs and 4 fumbles lost). Offensively, they are averaging 117.1 rush yds which is good for 17th in pro football. If you're looking at scoring touchdowns, the team from Miami have an average of 20.6 PPG.

If you look at yards through the air, the Dolphins have conceded 2,492 yards, putting them 14th in pro football. They have allowed 207.7 yds per outing through the air, and are allowing a completion rate of 72.4%. Overall, they have surrendered 1,650 yards via the running game in 12 matchups over the course of this season. They have surrendered 20 touchdowns via the pass, as well as 10 touchdowns to rushers. All in all, they are giving up 345.2 yds per contest, which is good for 23rd in pro football. The opposition is running for 4.8 yards per rushing attempt and 137.5 running yards per game for the season. The Dolphins currently sit 19th in the NFL with reference to their defensive prowess, granting 23.8 PPG.

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The Jets come into this game with a record of 3-9 for the season. The last time they took the field, the Jets walked away with a victory by a final of 27-24 against the Atlanta Falcons. Breece Hall ran the football 19 times for 68 yds, ending the game with 3.6 yards per carry for New York. Adonai Mitchell was a featured target for the Jets, catching 8 throws for 102 yards (12.8 yds per catch). Tyrod Taylor (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 172 yards on 19-33 through the air while his quarterback rate was 81.9. He didn't toss any picks and his Y-A was 5.2 yds. New York surrendered 32 attempts on the ground for 167 yds (5.2 yards per carry). The Jets secondary gave up a completion percentage of 63.6%, surrendering 222 yards on 21 out of 33 through the air. The Jets ended up finishing with 269 yards while running 61 plays (4.4 yds per play). New York ran the ball for 3.9 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 110 yds on 28 carries.

The New York Jets hold an average of 280.5 yds per contest, which is good for 28th in pro football. They maintain an average of 133.7 running yards per contest, and have toted the ball for 1,604 yds. They have tossed 5 INTs while allowing 9 fumbles lost, and have tallied 100 1st downs as a team. The New York offense has conceded 681 yds on 82 violations, which is 15th in the NFL with reference to making mistakes. This season, the Jets have earned 1,762 passing yds and have an average of 146.8 passing yds per game, which is 32nd in the NFL. When you look at their scoring prowess, the Jets are ranked 25th in pro football, scoring 20.5 points per contest.

They have surrendered 19 touchdowns by way of the pass and 196.1 passing yards per contest, ranking this team at 10th in pro football. New York has yielded a total of 1,574 rush yds (131.2 yds per contest), in addition to 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this season. The D has tallied 2 turnovers (2 forced fumbles and 0 interceptions) over the course of this year. In total, they have surrendered 315 total points. The Jets defense has participated in 746 plays from scrimmage, which is 18th in the NFL. The Jets are granting 26.3 points per contest, ranking this team at 27th in pro football.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins-Jets NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Jets +2.5

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