Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, 12/15/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Date: Monday, December 15, 2025

Location: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: ESPN

Odds-Point Spread: Steelers (-3.5)

Total-Over-Under: 42

The Miami Dolphins (6-7) are traveling to Acrisure Stadium on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6). Miami is 3.5-point underdogs. The total has been set at 42.

The Miami Dolphins head into this game 6-7 this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Dolphins faced the New York Jets and walked away with a win by a score of 34-10. Tua Tagovailoa went 13-21 with 127 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 94.7 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Jaylen Waddle averaged 10.0 yards per reception by accumulating 50 yards on 5 receptions. Jaylen Wright was the rushing leader for the Dolphins with 24 totes for 107 yds (4.5 yards per carry). At the end of the game, they ran 62 plays for 358 yds. The Miami Dolphins ended up running the ball 41 times and totaled 239 yards, which is an average of 5.8 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Dolphins conceded 65 yards on 17 attempts, which is an average of 3.8 yds per rush allowed. Miami relinquished 15 pass completions on 34 attempts for a total of 142 yds, and a completion rate of 44.1%.

The Dolphins have recorded 3,960 yards this season. Miami has earned 132 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 75 penalties for 631 yards. When analyzing scoring points, Miami has recorded 18 passing TD's and 11 ground TD's. They have surrendered the ball 18 different times (14 INTs and 4 fumbles lost). Collectively, they're maintaining an average of 126.5 rush yds giving them a rank of 8th in the league. Regarding scoring touchdowns, the squad representing Miami are averaging 21.6 points per outing.

In terms of passing yards, the Dolphins have yielded 2,634 total yards, putting them 12th in professional football. They have surrendered 202.6 yards per contest by way of the pass, and are yielding a completion% of 69.9%. Altogether, they have allowed 1,715 running yards through 13 games on the campaign. They have conceded 20 touchdowns by way of the pass, as well as 10 touchdowns via the rush. Altogether, they are surrendering 334.5 yards per game, which has them ranked 19th in football. They are allowing 4.8 yards per rush and 131.9 rushing yds per outing on the season. The Dolphins sit 15th in football when examining the opposition scoring, relinquishing 22.8 points per outing.

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The Steelers head into this matchup 7-6 for this campaign. The last time they took the field, the Steelers went home victorious with a score of 27-22 when they played the Baltimore Ravens. Aaron Rodgers (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 284 yds on 23-34 passing while his QB rate was 103.1. He didn't throw any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.4 yards. D.K. Metcalf was featured in the passing game for the Steelers, grabbing 7 footballs for 148 yards (21.1 yards per catch). Jaylen Warren carried the ball 8 times for 13 yds, finishing the game with 1.6 yds per carry for Pittsburgh. The Steelers finished the game with 318 yards on 51 plays (6.2 yards per play). Pittsburgh ran for 2.0 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 34 yards on 17 attempts. Pittsburgh surrendered 40 rush attempts for 217 yds (5.4 yds per carry). The Steelers pass defense gave up a completion rate of 54.3%, surrendering 203 yards on 19 out of 35 passing.

The Pittsburgh Steelers hold an average of 284.5 yards per game, which has them ranked 27th in professional football. They average 89.2 rush yards per contest, and have run for 1,160 yds. They have allowed 9 interceptions while granting 5 fumbles, and have been able to obtain 112 1st downs offensively. The Pittsburgh offense has granted 610 yards by way of 80 infractions, which has them ranked 24th in professional football concerning hurting your team. For the season, the Steelers have compiled 2,538 passing yards and average 195.2 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 23rd in pro football. When analyzing putting points on the board, the Steelers sit 14th in the league, maintaining an average of 23.7 points per game.

They have conceded 21 touchdowns through the air as well as 244.0 pass yds per contest, which ranks them 28th in the league. Pittsburgh has relinquished a total of 1,629 rushing yds (125.3 yards per game), and 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the campaign. The defense has recorded 23 takeaways (12 forced fumbles and 11 picks) on the season. All in all, they have yielded 311 points. The Steelers defense has participated in 897 plays from the line of scrimmage, which ranks them 32nd in the NFL. The Steelers are granting 23.9 points per outing, which ranks them 19th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins-Steelers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Steelers -3.5

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