Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, 12/14/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

Game: Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys

Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025

Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX

TV: NBC

Odds-Point Spread: Cowboys (-6)

Total-Over-Under: 48

AT&T Stadium is where the Dallas Cowboys (6-6) will compete against the Minnesota Vikings (5-8) on Sunday. Dallas opens this contest as 6-point favorites. The betting total is set at 48.

The Minnesota Vikings head into this game 5-8 over the course of the season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Vikings stepped onto the field against the Washington Commanders and went home with a win by a final score of 31-0. J.J. McCarthy went 16-23 with 163 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 129.2 and finished the game with no interceptions. Aaron Jones was the leader on the ground for the Vikings with 14 totes for 76 yards (5.4 yds per carry). Jordan Addison averaged 15.5 yards per reception by totaling 62 yds on 4 receptions. The Minnesota Vikings ended up running the ball 34 different times and accrued 162 yds, which earned them an average of 4.8 yards per carry. In all, they tallied 57 plays which gave them a total of 313 yards. Minnesota surrendered 11 pass completions on 24 tries for 99 yds, and a completion rate of 45.8%. In the running game, the Vikings conceded 107 yards on 23 attempts, which is an average of 4.7 yards per rush surrendered.

When examining scoring points, the NFC representatives hold an average of 19.6 points per outing. Collectively, they average 104.2 rushing yds putting them 24th in professional football. The Vikings have tallied 3,584 total yards over the course of the season. Minnesota has earned 122 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 92 penalties for 739 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 26 times (19 interceptions and 7 lost fumbles). In terms of putting points on the board, Minnesota has accumulated 16 touchdowns via the pass and 9 rushing touchdowns.

The Vikings are sitting 12th in the NFL when it comes to opponents scoring, conceding 21.6 points per outing. They are giving up 4.1 yards per running attempt and 126.8 rushing yds per outing over the course of the season. Concerning yards through the air, the Vikings have relinquished 2,240 yards, which has them ranked 4th in professional football. They have yielded 172.3 yds per game via the pass, and are surrendering a completion percentage of 63.2%. All in all, they are conceding 299.1 total yards per outing, putting them 8th in professional football. They have allowed 14 touchdowns through the air, and 11 touchdowns by way of the ground game. On the whole, they have surrendered 1,648 yards via the ground game in 13 matchups this year.

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The Cowboys head into this matchup 6-6 on the season. In their last contest, the Cowboys took a loss by a final score of 44-30 against the Detroit Lions. Dak Prescott (1 touchdown) finished the game with 376 yds on 31-47 passing while his QB rating was 79.7. He had 2 interceptions and his Y-A was 8.0 yds. Ryan Flournoy was one of the featured targets for the Cowboys, snagging 9 balls for 115 yards (12.8 yds per reception). Javonte Williams carried the ball 17 times for 67 yards, finishing the contest with 3.9 yds per carry for Dallas. The Cowboys ended up finishing with 417 yards and they ran 71 plays (5.9 yds per play). Dallas ran the ball for 3.8 yards per carry, finishing the game with 91 yds on 24 carries. Dallas surrendered 22 attempts on the ground for 109 yards (5.0 yards per carry). The Cowboys secondary allowed a completion rate of 73.5%, relinquishing 299 yds on 25 for 34 through the air.

When analyzing putting points on the board, the Cowboys sit 3rd in the league, maintaining an average of 29.3 points per game. On the campaign, the Cowboys have thrown for 3,581 pass yards and average 275.5 pass yards per outing, which ranks them 1st in the NFL. They hold an average of 119.5 rush yds per game, and have rushed for 1,553 yards. The Dallas Cowboys have an average of 394.9 yards per contest, which ranks them 1st in the NFL. The Dallas offense has granted 855 yards on 101 infractions, giving them a rank of 3rd in the league if you're looking at giving up free yards. They have thrown 11 INTs while conceding 7 fumbles lost, and have obtained 183 1st downs.

The Cowboys are surrendering 29.7 points per outing, which has them ranked 31st in football. They have yielded 29 touchdowns via the pass as well as 255.2 passing yds per game, which is good for 32nd in the league. Dallas has yielded a total of 1,605 rushing yards (123.5 yds per game), as well as 17 touchdowns to runners on the season. The Cowboys defense has participated in 819 plays from the line of scrimmage, which ranks them 23rd in the NFL. Their defense has accumulated 10 turnovers (5 forced fumbles and 5 interceptions) over the course of the season. All in all, they have allowed 386 pts.

Who will win tonight's Vikings-Cowboys NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Vikings +6

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