New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, 11/23/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

Game: New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals

Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025

Location: Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Bengals (+7.5)

Total-Over-Under: 49.5

Paycor Stadium is the site where the Cincinnati Bengals (3-7) will try to beat the New England Patriots (9-2) on Sunday. New England is 7.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 49.5.

The New England Patriots step on the gridiron holding a record of 9-2 this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Patriots played the New York Jets and earned the victory with a final of 27-14. Drake Maye connected on 25-34 with 281 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 107.6 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. Stefon Diggs averaged 11.7 yards per catch by totaling 105 yds on 9 catches. TreVeyon Henderson was the leader on the ground for the Patriots with 19 carries for 62 yards (3.3 yards per carry). In all, they tallied 61 plays which gave them a total of 336 yds. The New England Patriots ran the football 27 times and totaled 65 yds, which earned them an average of 2.4 yards per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Patriots gave up 140 yards on 28 attempts, which averages out to 5.0 yards per run allowed. New England relinquished 15 completions on 27 tries for 105 yds, and a completion rate of 55.6%.

Concerning putting points on the board, the team representing New England are averaging 26.5 PPG. As a unit, they hold an average of 112.9 rush yds which is good for 20th in the league. The Patriots currently have 3,927 yards so far this year. New England has collected 133 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 74 penalties for 585 yds. They have surrendered the ball 12 times (5 interceptions and 7 fumbles). Concerning putting points on the board, New England has tallied 20 touchdowns via the pass and 12 TD's via the ground game.

Concerning pass yards, the Patriots have given up 2,375 yds, which has them sitting 25th in football. They have granted 215.9 yards per contest through the air, and are relinquishing a completion rate of 67.6%. On the whole, they have relinquished 932 yards via the ground game in 11 contests so far this season. They have allowed 19 touchdowns via the pass, as well as 4 touchdowns on the ground. Overall, they are allowing 300.6 yards per contest, giving them a rank of 8th in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.9 yds per rush and 84.7 rushing yds per game so far this year. The Patriots are ranked 5th in football if you analyze their defensive prowess, surrendering 18.7 points per outing.

Get all of our NFL Picks

The Bengals come into this game with a record of 3-7 this year. In their last game, the Bengals walked away with a loss by a score of 34-12 when they played the Pittsburgh Steelers. Joe Flacco (1 TD) finished the game with 199 yards on 23-40 passing while his quarterback rate was 68.6. He tossed 1 pick and his Y-A was 5.0 yards. Chase Brown was the top contributor in the passing game for the Bengals, snagging 6 footballs for 28 yds (4.7 yds per reception). Chase Brown ran the ball 18 times for 99 yards, ending the contest with 5.5 yds per attempt for Cincinnati. The Bengals finished the game with 297 yds while they ran 62 plays (4.8 yards per play). Cincinnati rushed the ball for 4.8 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 105 yards on 22 carries. Cincinnati gave up 28 run attempts for 111 yds (4.0 yds per carry). The Bengals secondary conceded a completion percentage of 67.7%, relinquishing 232 yds on 21 out of 31 passing.

When examining this team's ability to score points, the Bengals are 18th in the league, by scoring 22.8 points per contest. On the campaign, the Bengals have compiled 2,257 passing yards and have an average of 225.7 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 14th in the league. They average 81.4 rush yds per contest, and have carried the football for 814 total yards. The Cincinnati Bengals average 307.1 yards per game, giving them a rank of 23rd in the league. The Cincinnati offense has conceded 385 total yards on 55 penalties, putting them 30th in pro football when it comes to helping out the opposition. They have recorded 11 INTs while surrendering 5 fumbles lost, and have recorded 115 first downs as an offense.

The Bengals are relinquishing 33.4 PPG, giving them a rank of 32nd in the league. They have allowed 25 touchdowns through the air as well as 257.3 yards via the pass per game, which has them ranking 31st in football. Cincinnati has surrendered a total of 1,609 rushing yds (160.9 yds per contest), and 12 touchdowns on the ground on the season. The Bengals defense has taken the field for 660 plays from the line of scrimmage, ranking this team at 27th in pro football. The defense has earned 9 turnovers (1 fumble and 8 INTs) so far this year. On the whole, they have relinquished 334 total points.

Who will win tonight's Patriots-Bengals NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots -7.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NFL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.