New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 9/14/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 2

Game: New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Dolphins (-1.5)

Total-Over-Under: 44

Hard Rock Stadium is where the Miami Dolphins (0-1) will compete against the New England Patriots (0-1) on Sunday. New England opens this game as 1.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 44.

The New England Patriots head into this matchup 0-1 on the year. In their last contest, the Patriots took on the Las Vegas Raiders and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 20-13. Rhamondre Stevenson was the best rusher for the Patriots with 7 carries for 15 yds (2.1 yards per carry). Kayshon Boutte averaged 17.2 yards per catch by tallying 103 yds on 6 catches. Drake Maye finished 30-46 with 287 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 80.6 and ended the game with 1 interception. In the running game, the Patriots gave up 56 yards on 24 tries, which is an average of 2.3 yds per run allowed. New England gave up 24 completions on 34 attempts for 333 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.6%. Overall, they tallied 64 plays for 336 yards. The New England Patriots ended up rushing 18 times and totaled 60 yards, which is an average of 3.3 yards per attempt.

If you're looking at getting the ball in the endzone, the AFC members average 13.0 points per game. Collectively, they maintain an average of 60.0 running yards putting them 27th in pro football. The Patriots have collected 336 yards for this campaign. New England has notched 15 1st downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 9 infractions for 70 yards. They have coughed up the ball 1 time. When talking about notching touchdowns, New England has notched 1 passing touchdown and 0 running touchdowns.

The Patriots currently sit 16th in the league when it comes to the opposition scoring, relinquishing 20.0 points per game. They are giving up an average of 2.3 yds per running attempt and 56.0 rushing yds per contest on the year. If you analyze yards via the pass, the Patriots have yielded 333 yds, which ranks them 31st in the NFL. They are granting a completion rate of 70.6%. In total, they are relinquishing 389.0 yards per outing, which ranks 26th in professional football. They have relinquished 1 touchdown via the pass, along with 1 touchdown via the ground game.

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The Dolphins step onto the field with a record of 0-1 over the course of this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Dolphins went home defeated by a final of 33-8 against the Indianapolis Colts. De'Von Achane carried the ball 7 times for 55 yards, ending the contest with 7.9 yards per attempt for Miami. Tyreek Hill was the leading receiver for the Dolphins, hauling in 4 balls for 40 yds (10.0 yds per catch). Tua Tagovailoa (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 114 yards on 14-23 passing while his QB rate was 51.7. He threw 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.0 yds. Miami allowed 40 rush attempts for 156 yds (3.9 yds per carry). The Dolphins pass defense gave up a completion rate of 75.9%, surrendering 262 yards on 22 out of 29 passing. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 211 yards and they ran 43 plays (4.9 yards per play). Miami rushed for 6.5 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 78 yds on 12 carries.

The Miami Dolphins maintain an average of 211.0 yards per game, putting them 30th in the NFL. They have carried the ball for 78 total yards. The Miami offense has relinquished 15 yards on 3 penalty flags, which has them ranking 32nd in the league when it comes to helping out the other team. On the campaign, the Dolphins sit at 133 pass yards which ranks 29th in football. If you're looking at the points being put on the board, the Dolphins are 31st in the NFL, averaging 8.0 points per game.

They have surrendered 1 touchdown through the air in addition to 262.0 pass yards per contest, putting them 25th in pro football. Miami has relinquished a total of 156 running yds. The defense has produced 0 turnovers. The Dolphins defense has been on the field for 70 plays from the line of scrimmage, putting them 27th in the NFL. The Dolphins are surrendering 33.0 points per outing, ranking them 29th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Patriots-Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins -1.5

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