New England Patriots vs New York Jets Prediction, 12/28/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Jets (+13.5)

Total-Over-Under: 42.5

The New York Jets (3-12) are hosting the New England Patriots (12-3) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday. New York opens this contest as 13.5-point underdogs. The betting total comes in at 42.5.

The New England Patriots step onto the field holding a record of 12-3 on the campaign. When they last took the field, the Patriots played against the Baltimore Ravens and notched a win by a score of 28-24. Drake Maye finished 31-44 with 380 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 102.5 and ended the game with 1 pick. Stefon Diggs held an average of 15.3 yds per catch by accounting for 138 yds on 9 receptions. Drake Maye was the rushing leader for the Patriots with 10 carries for 25 yds (2.5 yds per carry). In the game, they had 67 plays which gave them 453 yards. The New England Patriots ran the rock 23 times and accumulated 79 yards, which is an average of 3.4 yards per attempt. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Patriots conceded 171 yds on 33 attempts, which averages out to 5.2 yards per run allowed. New England conceded 16 completions on 20 attempts for 159 yards, and a completion rate of 80.0%.

When examining putting the ball in the endzone, the team representing New England hold an average of 27.3 points per contest. As a team, they're sitting at 119.5 rushing yds ranking them 16th in the league. The Patriots have earned 5,552 yds for the season. New England currently has 182 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 93 infractions for 782 yards. They have turned the ball over 16 different times (8 interceptions and 8 fumbles lost). When examining scoring points, New England has attained 25 touchdowns through the air and 17 TD's via the ground game.

The Patriots are ranking 7th in the league in terms of the other team scoring points, yielding 20.0 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.2 yds per running attempt and 100.1 rushing yds per game this season. With reference to passing yards, the Patriots have surrendered 3,030 yards, which is good for 11th in the NFL. They have yielded 202.0 yds per outing by way of the pass, and are granting a completion rate of 67.1%. In total, they are yielding 302.1 yards per game, which has them sitting 7th in football. They have allowed 24 touchdowns by way of the pass, along with 10 touchdowns to rushers. On the whole, they have relinquished 1,502 running yards through 15 matchups for the season.

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The Jets come into this game with a record of 3-12 over the course of this year. In their last game, the Jets took a defeat with a final score of 29-6 against the New Orleans Saints. Breece Hall ran the football 16 times for 54 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.4 yds per attempt for New York. Stone Smartt was the top contributor in the passing game for the Jets, grabbing 5 throws for 34 yds (6.8 yards per catch). Brady Cook finished the contest with 188 yds on 22-35 through the air while his QB rate was 64.9. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.4 yards. New York surrendered 25 rushing attempts for 84 yds (3.4 yds per rush). The Jets pass defense conceded a completion rate of 66.0%, surrendering 328 yds on 33 for 50 through the air. The Jets finished the game with a total of 195 yards and they ran 55 plays (3.5 yards per play). New York rushed for 3.2 yards per carry, totaling 64 yds on 20 carries.

With reference to their ability to score points, the Jets are ranked 28th in the NFL, with an average of 18.8 points per outing. On the year, the Jets have thrown for 2,189 pass yards and have an average of 145.9 pass yards per game, which has them ranked 32nd in the league. They average 124.2 running yards per game, and have toted the ball for 1,863 yards. The New York Jets average 270.1 yards per game, which has them ranked 29th in the league. The New York offense has conceded 829 yds by way of 101 infractions, which has them sitting 14th in the league regarding helping out the opposition. They have allowed 12 interceptions while yielding 10 fumbles, and have been able to tally 125 first downs as an offense.

They have surrendered 27 touchdowns by way of the pass along with 208.7 passing yards per contest, which is good for 13th in the NFL. New York has surrendered a total of 2,005 rushing yds (133.7 yards per game), along with 18 touchdowns to rushers on the year. The defense has produced 4 turnovers (4 forced fumbles and 0 interceptions) for this campaign. Altogether, they have yielded 426 pts. The Jets defense has been on the field for 946 plays from the line of scrimmage, which has them ranked 24th in the league. The Jets are granting 28.4 points per contest, which has them ranking 30th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Patriots-Jets NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jets +13.5

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