New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 11/9/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)

Total-Over-Under: 48.5

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2) will take on the New England Patriots (7-2) at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday. Tampa Bay is 2.5-point favorites. The over-under is set at 48.5.

The New England Patriots come into this game holding a record of 7-2 over the course of the season. When they last took the field, the Patriots faced the Atlanta Falcons and notched a win by a score of 24-23. Drake Maye went 19-29 with 259 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 102.5 and finished the game with 1 interception. Demario Douglas had an average of 25.0 yds per catch by recording 100 yards on 4 receptions. TreVeyon Henderson was the best rusher for the Patriots with 14 attempts for 55 yds (3.9 yards per carry). In all, they tallied 62 plays which gave them a total of 331 yards. The New England Patriots rushed the ball a total of 33 times and tallied 110 yds, which is an average of 3.3 yards per carry. Against the run, the Patriots gave up 71 yds on 16 tries, which averages out to 4.4 yds per run allowed. New England allowed 22 pass completions on 37 tries for a total of 217 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.5%.

If you're looking at scoring touchdowns, the AFC East representatives are averaging 26.3 points per contest. As a team, they hold an average of 112.3 running yards which ranks 17th in football. The Patriots have collected 3,156 yards for the year. New England has produced 108 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 67 infractions for 516 yards. They have turned the ball over 11 different times (4 interceptions and 7 fumbles lost). If you look at scoring points, New England has a total of 17 touchdowns through the air and 8 touchdowns via the ground.

If you examine yards via the pass, the Patriots have allowed 2,012 total yards, which ranks 25th in football. They have relinquished 223.6 total yards per outing by way of the pass, and are granting a completion% of 69.1%. On the whole, they have given up 679 yards via the running game in 9 matchups this season. They have given up 15 touchdowns by way of the pass, along with 3 touchdowns by way of the ground game. All in all, they are granting 299.0 yards per contest, putting them 9th in professional football. They are giving up 3.6 yards per tote and 75.4 running yards per contest over the course of this year. The Patriots are sitting 6th in the NFL regarding team defense, conceding 18.8 points per contest.

Get all of our Free NFL Picks

The Buccaneers head into this matchup 6-2 over the course of this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Buccaneers walked away with a victory by a final of 23-3 when they played the New Orleans Saints. Rachaad White ran the football 13 times for 35 yards, walking away from the game with 2.7 yards per carry for Tampa Bay. Emeka Egbuka was one of the featured targets for the Buccaneers, hauling in 3 balls for 35 yards (11.7 yds per catch). Baker Mayfield finished the contest with 152 yards on 15-24 passing while his QB rate was 80.6. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.3 yds. Tampa Bay allowed 15 running attempts for 48 yds (3.2 yards per rush). The Buccaneers pass defense conceded a completion rate of 62.7%, relinquishing 227 yards on 32 out of 51 through the air. The Buccaneers finished the game with a total of 212 yds while running 53 plays (4.0 yards per play). Tampa Bay rushed the football for 3.0 yards per tote, totaling 88 yds on 29 attempts.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold an average of 323.0 yards per contest, which has them sitting 17th in football. They have an average of 98.1 running yards per game, and have carried the ball for 785 total yards. They have tossed 2 INTs while relinquishing 3 fumbles lost, and have obtained 86 first downs. The Tampa Bay offense has allowed 397 total yards on 50 infractions, which ranks 28th in football if you look at giving up free yards. Over the course of this season, the Buccaneers have compiled 1,799 pass yards and average 224.9 pass yards per outing, which ranks them at 13th in football. If you examine their scoring prowess, the Buccaneers rank 15th in football, maintaining an average of 24.6 points per contest.

They have relinquished 11 touchdowns by way of the pass and 228.8 yards via the pass per contest, which has them sitting 22nd in football. Tampa Bay has granted a total of 741 rushing yards (92.6 yards per contest), and 7 touchdowns via the ground game over the course of the season. The defense has notched 12 takeaways (5 forced fumbles and 7 INTs) over the course of the season. Altogether, they have given up 178 points. The Buccaneers defense has taken the field for 495 plays from the line of scrimmage, putting them 11th in professional football. The Buccaneers are surrendering 22.3 PPG, which ranks them at 15th in football.

Who will win tonight's Patriots-Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots +2.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NFL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.