New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 11/30/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Dolphins (-6)

Total-Over-Under: 41.5

The New Orleans Saints (2-9) are headed to Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday where they will compete against the Miami Dolphins (4-7). New Orleans is 6-point underdogs. The over-under comes in at 41.5.

The New Orleans Saints step onto the field holding a record of 2-9 for this campaign. In their last game, the Saints took on the Atlanta Falcons and took a loss by a final of 24-10. Tyler Shough finished 30-43 with 243 yards through the air. He had a QB rating of 74.1 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. Tyler Shough was the best rusher for the Saints with 7 totes for 22 yds (3.1 yds per carry). Chris Olave left with an average of 7.8 yards per reception by notching 70 yds on 9 catches. The New Orleans Saints rushed the ball a total of 28 times and tallied 79 yards, which had them averaging 2.8 yards per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they had 73 plays for 293 yds. New Orleans relinquished 16 pass completions on 23 tries for a total of 181 yards, and a completion percentage of 69.6%. In the running game, the Saints conceded 121 yards on 29 attempts, which is an average of 4.2 yds per rush allowed.

The Saints have collected 3,265 yds over the course of this season. New Orleans has accumulated 110 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 78 infractions for 561 yards. When examining notching touchdowns, New Orleans has accumulated 11 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing TD's. They have given the ball away 17 different times (9 picks and 8 fumbles). Collectively, they hold an average of 91.5 rush yds which has them sitting 29th in football. If you analyze putting points on the board, the NFC South representatives average 15.0 points per contest.

The Saints sit 22nd in football when you look at team defense, granting 24.9 points per contest. They are giving up an average of 4.0 yds per rush and 123.5 running yds per outing over the course of this season. Regarding pass yds, the Saints have relinquished 2,118 yds, which has them sitting 9th in the NFL. They have granted 192.5 total yards per contest by way of the pass, and are allowing a completion percentage of 68.4%. On the whole, they are granting 316.1 yards per contest, which is 12th in pro football. They have conceded 20 touchdowns by way of the pass, as well as 9 touchdowns by way of the ground game. In total, they have given up 1,359 yards on the ground through 11 contests for this campaign.

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The Dolphins step on the gridiron with a record of 4-7 this season. In their last contest, the Dolphins walked away with a victory by a final of 16-13 when they faced the Washington Commanders. Tua Tagovailoa ended the game with 171 yards on 14-20 through the air while his QB rating was 96. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.6 yds. De'Von Achane was the leading receiver for the Dolphins, catching 5 passes for 45 yards (9.0 yds per reception). De'Von Achane ran the ball 21 times for 120 yards, finishing the contest with 5.7 yards per attempt for Miami. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 311 yds on 51 plays (6.1 yds per play). Miami ran the football for 5.5 yards per tote, finishing with 169 yards on 31 attempts. Miami allowed 33 run attempts for 172 yds (5.2 yards per rush). The Dolphins secondary gave up a completion rate of 66.7%, surrendering 207 yds on 20 for 30 through the air.

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Dolphins sit 24th in the league, averaging 20.5 points per outing. This season, the Dolphins have thrown for a total of 2,063 yards through the air and average 187.5 yards through the air per game, which is 26th in the league. They average 112.8 rush yds per contest, and have carried the ball for 1,241 total yards. The Miami Dolphins hold an average of 300.4 yds per game, which is 25th in the league. The Miami offense has conceded 562 total yards on 67 penalties, which ranks 25th in the league when you look at giving up free yards. They have thrown 13 INTs while granting 4 lost fumbles, and have tallied 116 first downs offensively.

They have allowed 18 touchdowns through the air along with 207.2 yards via the pass per contest, which is 12th in pro football. Miami has conceded a total of 1,569 rushing yards (142.6 yds per contest), as well as 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this year. The defense has compiled 12 turnovers (9 fumbles forced and 3 INTs) for the year. All in all, they have conceded 269 total points. The Dolphins defense has taken the field for 655 plays, which has them sitting 6th in the league. The Dolphins are yielding 24.5 points per outing, which has them sitting 21st in the league.

Who will win tonight's Saints-Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins -6

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