New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 12/7/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5)

Total-Over-Under: 42.5

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5) are hosting the New Orleans Saints (2-10) at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday. New Orleans opens as 8.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 42.5.

The New Orleans Saints step on the gridiron holding a record of 2-10 for the season. In their last game, the Saints faced the Miami Dolphins and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 21-17. Tyler Shough connected on 26-38 with 239 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 91.9 and ended the game with 1 interception. Devaughn Vele held an average of 11.6 yds per reception by accumulating 93 yards on 8 receptions. Devin Neal led the offense in rushing for the Saints with 14 attempts for 47 yards (3.4 yards per carry). When all was said and done, they ran 65 plays which gave them 294 yards. The New Orleans Saints ran the rock 27 times and compiled 81 yards, which earned them an average of 3.0 yds per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Saints gave up 164 yds on 32 tries, which averages out to 5.1 yds per rush allowed. New Orleans surrendered 12 pass completions on 23 tries for 134 yds, and a completion rate of 52.2%.

Concerning getting the ball in the endzone, the NFC members are averaging 15.2 PPG. As a team, they're sitting at 90.7 rush yds putting them 29th in pro football. The Saints have a total of 3,559 yards for the season. New Orleans has produced 122 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 84 penalties for 606 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 19 different times (10 INTs and 9 fumbles lost). When you look at getting in the endzone, New Orleans has tallied 13 touchdowns via the pass and 3 ground TD's.

If you look at yards through the air, the Saints have conceded 2,252 yards, putting them 7th in pro football. They have allowed 187.7 yds per outing through the air, and are allowing a completion rate of 67.3%. All in all, they have allowed 1,523 yards via the running game in 12 contests for the season. They have granted 20 touchdowns by way of the pass, in addition to 10 touchdowns via the ground game. Overall, they are yielding 314.6 yds per outing, which is 12th in professional football. The opposition is running for an average of 4.1 yards per running attempt and 126.9 rush yds per contest so far this season. The Saints are ranking 22nd in pro football when examining the other team scoring points, yielding 24.6 points per outing.

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The Buccaneers come into this matchup holding a record of 7-5 for the season. In their last game, the Buccaneers went home victorious with a score of 20-17 when they faced the Arizona Cardinals. Baker Mayfield (1 TD) ended the contest with 194 yards on 18-28 through the air while his quarterback rate was 96.4. He didn't throw any picks and his Y-A was 6.9 yds. Chris Godwin had the best day in terms of receiving for the Buccaneers, snagging 3 footballs for 78 yards (26.0 yards per catch). Bucky Irving ran the ball 17 times for 61 yards, walking away from the game with 3.6 yards per carry for Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers finished the game with a total of 279 yds and they ran 55 plays (5.1 yds per play). Tampa Bay rushed the ball for 3.5 yards per carry, finishing with 95 yds on 27 attempts. Tampa Bay relinquished 19 attempts on the ground for 95 yards (5.0 yds per carry). The Buccaneers pass defense allowed a completion rate of 72.5%, relinquishing 291 yds on 29 for 40 through the air.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold an average of 316.2 yds per contest, which is good for 21st in pro football. They average 109.8 rushing yards per outing, and have toted the ball for 1,318 yds. They have recorded 5 picks while relinquishing 4 lost fumbles, and have been able to earn 119 first downs as a unit. The Tampa Bay offense has surrendered 517 total yards on 65 penalty flags, which has them ranked 30th in pro football when examining making mistakes. For the season, the Buccaneers have compiled 2,476 passing yds and are averaging 206.3 passing yds per game, which ranks them 19th in pro football. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Buccaneers are 17th in professional football, scoring 23.3 points per contest.

The Buccaneers are granting 25.1 points per contest, ranking this team at 23rd in pro football. They have surrendered 21 touchdowns by way of the pass and 247.5 passing yards per contest, ranking this team at 29th in pro football. Tampa Bay has yielded a total of 1,169 running yards (97.4 yds per contest), as well as 12 touchdowns to rushers over the course of this season. The Buccaneers defense has participated in 723 plays from the line of scrimmage, ranking this team at 8th in pro football. The D has produced 18 turnovers (7 fumbles forced and 11 INTs) this year. All in all, they have allowed 301 pts.

Who will win tonight's Saints-Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Saints +8.5

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