New York Giants vs New England Patriots Prediction, 12/1/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: New York Giants vs New England Patriots

Date: Monday, December 1, 2025

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: ESPN

Odds-Point Spread: Patriots (-7.5)

Total-Over-Under: 46.5

The New England Patriots (10-2) will try to defeat the New York Giants (2-10) at Gillette Stadium on Monday. New England opens this matchup as 7.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 46.5.

The New York Giants head into this matchup 2-10 this season. The last time they took the field, the Giants faced off with the Detroit Lions and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 34-27. Tyrone Tracy Jr. was the rushing leader for the Giants with 20 totes for 62 yds (3.1 yards per carry). Wan'Dale Robinson had an average of 17.3 yards per catch by accumulating 156 yards on 9 receptions. Jameis Winston finished 18-36 with 366 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 93.1 and finished the game with 1 pick. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Giants conceded 237 yards on 20 tries, which averages out to 11.9 yds per run allowed. New York allowed 28 pass completions on 42 tries for 257 yards, and a completion rate of 66.7%. On the day, they had 76 plays for 517 yds. The New York Giants ran the rock 39 different times and accumulated 122 yds, which had them averaging 3.1 yards per tote.

The Giants have compiled 4,182 total yards for the year. New York has accumulated 120 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 92 infractions for 788 yards. When examining getting in the endzone, New York has accumulated 16 touchdowns via the pass and 16 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 13 times (8 INTs and 5 lost fumbles). As a team, they're maintaining an average of 124.5 running yds which ranks 9th in professional football. When examining getting in the endzone, the Giants are averaging 22.0 points per contest.

When examining yards through the air, the Giants have granted 2,734 total yards, which is good for 27th in professional football. They have given up 227.8 yds per outing by way of the pass, and are surrendering a completion rate of 64.3%. Altogether, they have surrendered 1,886 yards on the ground through 12 outings this season. They have surrendered 21 touchdowns via the pass, and 17 touchdowns on the ground. On the whole, they are relinquishing 385.0 yds per outing, which ranks 30th in professional football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.9 yds per rush on the ground and 157.2 rushing yards per outing for this campaign. The Giants are 30th in the NFL if you're looking at the other team scoring points, surrendering 27.8 points per outing.

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The Patriots step onto the field with a record of 10-2 on the year. In their last contest, the Patriots walked away with a victory by a final of 26-20 when they played the Cincinnati Bengals. Drake Maye (1 TD) finished the contest with 294 yards on 22-35 through the air while his QB rating was 87.1. He had 1 pick and his Y-A was 8.4 yards. TreVeyon Henderson carried the rock 18 times for 66 yards, finishing the contest with 3.7 yards per carry for New England. Hunter Henry was featured in the passing game for the Patriots, hauling in 7 footballs for 115 yards (16.4 yds per reception). New England ran for 3.5 yds per attempt, totaling 107 yards on 31 attempts. The Patriots finished with 392 yards on 66 plays (5.9 yds per play). The Patriots secondary allowed a completion percentage of 52.6%, surrendering 187 yards on 20 for 38 through the air. New England allowed 23 run attempts for 120 yds (5.2 yards per carry).

When examining the points being put on the board, the Patriots are 7th in pro football, by scoring 26.5 points per contest. So far this season, the Patriots have thrown for a total of 2,970 pass yds and are sitting at 247.5 pass yds per contest, which has them sitting 6th in the NFL. They average 112.4 rush yards per contest, and have carried the ball for 1,349 yards. The New England Patriots maintain an average of 359.9 yds per game, which has them sitting 8th in the league. The New England offense has allowed 637 yds by way of 78 penalty flags, which has them sitting 11th in the NFL if you're looking at helping out the other team. They have recorded 6 interceptions while yielding 7 fumbles lost, and have obtained 145 1st downs as an offense.

They have surrendered 20 touchdowns via the pass and 213.5 passing yds per game, which has them sitting 17th in the league. New England has conceded a total of 1,052 running yards (87.7 total yards per outing), along with 4 touchdowns via the rush for the year. The D has produced 13 takeaways (5 forced fumbles and 8 interceptions) on the year. Overall, they have allowed 226 points. The Patriots defense has taken the field for 682 plays from scrimmage, which is 17th in professional football. The Patriots are relinquishing 18.8 points per outing, which has them sitting 6th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Giants-Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots -7.5

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