New York Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction, 11/13/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Date: Thursday, November 13, 2025

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: Prime Video

Odds-Point Spread: Patriots (-11.5)

Total-Over-Under: 43.5

The New York Jets (2-7) are headed to Gillette Stadium on Thursday where they will compete against the New England Patriots (8-2). New England is 11.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under comes in at 43.5.

The New York Jets step on the gridiron 2-7 this season. In their last contest, the Jets faced the Cleveland Browns and earned the victory with a final of 27-20. Breece Hall led the offense in rushing for the Jets with 21 carries for 83 yds (4.0 yards per carry). Isaiah Davis held an average of 1.0 yds per reception by earning 1 yds on 1 catch. Justin Fields went 6-11 with 54 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 60.4 and walked away from the game with 1 interception. Against the run, the Jets conceded 158 yards on 32 tries, which is an average of 4.9 yds per run surrendered. New York relinquished 17 completions on 32 tries for a total of 120 yds, and a completion percentage of 53.1%. When the final whistle blew, they had 44 plays which gave them 169 yds. The New York Jets ran the football 33 different times and amassed 127 yards, earning them an average of 3.8 yds per attempt.

When examining scoring points, the team who plays in New York average 21.7 points per game. As a unit, they have an average of 141.8 rushing yds ranking them 4th in professional football. The Jets have collected 2,570 yards over the course of this season. New York has notched 77 1st downs, and they have been called for 60 penalties for 479 yards. They have coughed up the ball 11 different times (4 interceptions and 7 fumbles). If you analyze scoring touchdowns, New York has recorded 10 passing TD's and 6 rushing TD's.

When analyzing passing yds, the Jets have allowed 1,717 total yards, which has them ranking 6th in the league. They have given up 190.8 yards per outing through the air, and are conceding a completion% of 62.3%. All in all, they have yielded 1,244 running yards through 9 contests over the course of this season. They have surrendered 17 touchdowns by way of the pass, in addition to 8 touchdowns to rushers. All in all, they are allowing 329.0 yards per contest, which ranks them at 19th in pro football. They are giving up 4.5 yards per run and 138.2 rushing yards per contest over the course of this season. The Jets are sitting 26th in football if you're looking at their defensive abilities, allowing 26.8 PPG.

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The Patriots step on the gridiron with a record of 8-2 over the course of the season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Patriots got the victory with a final of 28-23 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Drake Maye (2 TDs) finished the game with 270 yards on 16-31 passing while his QB rate was 89.4. He tossed 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 8.7 yards. Stefon Diggs was one of the featured targets for the Patriots, snagging 5 passes for 46 yards (9.2 yds per catch). TreVeyon Henderson ran the football 14 times for 147 yards, ending the contest with 10.5 yards per carry for New England. The Patriots finished the game with 435 yards while running 58 plays (7.5 yds per play). New England ran for 6.1 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 166 yds on 27 attempts. New England relinquished 21 rush attempts for 113 yards (5.4 yards per rush). The Patriots secondary allowed a completion rate of 65.1%, surrendering 258 yds on 28 out of 43 passing.

If you analyze their scoring prowess, the Patriots are sitting 8th in the NFL, scoring 26.5 PPG. On the season, the Patriots have compiled 2,414 pass yards and average 241.4 pass yards per outing, which ranks them at 8th in football. They hold an average of 117.7 running yards per outing, and have run for 1,177 total yards. The New England Patriots have an average of 359.1 total yards per contest, which ranks them at 10th in the NFL. The New England offense has relinquished 565 yards on 72 infractions, which ranks them at 8th in the league when talking about giving up free yards. They have compiled 5 INTs while relinquishing 7 fumbles, and have been able to tally 117 first downs.

They have allowed 18 touchdowns by way of the pass along with 227.0 pass yards per outing, which ranks them at 21st in football. New England has surrendered a total of 792 rushing yds (79.2 yds per contest), in addition to 3 touchdowns to rushers this season. The D has attained 11 takeaways (4 fumbles forced and 7 picks) over the course of the season. In total, they have allowed 192 total points. The Patriots defense has taken part in 563 plays from the line of scrimmage, ranking this team at 15th in the NFL. The Patriots are allowing 19.2 PPG, which ranks them at 6th in pro football.

Who will win tonight's Jets-Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Jets +11.5

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