Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 12/20/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025

Location: Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Commanders (+6.5)

Total-Over-Under: 44.5

The Philadelphia Eagles (9-5) are headed to Northwest Stadium on Saturday where they will compete against the Washington Commanders (4-10). Philadelphia opens this matchup as 6.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under comes in at 44.5.

The Philadelphia Eagles step on the gridiron holding a record of 9-5 on the campaign. In their last game, the Eagles went up against the Las Vegas Raiders and notched a win by a score of 31-0. Jalen Hurts finished 12-15 with 175 yds passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 154.9 and finished the contest with no picks. Saquon Barkley was the best rusher for the Eagles with 22 carries for 78 yds (3.5 yards per attempt). Dallas Goedert held an average of 11.7 yds per catch by earning 70 yds on 6 receptions. The Philadelphia Eagles rushed the ball a total of 47 different times and totaled 183 yards, earning them an average of 3.9 yards per attempt. In the game, they ran 65 plays which gave them a total of 387 yds. Philadelphia relinquished 15 completions on 25 tries for a total of 29 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. In the running game, the Eagles gave up 46 yds on 13 tries, which is an average of 3.5 yards per run allowed.

When you look at scoring touchdowns, the Eagles have an average of 22.9 points per game. Offensively, they hold an average of 115.6 rushing yards which has them ranked 19th in professional football. The Eagles have notched 4,409 yards on the campaign. Philadelphia has recorded 136 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 100 infractions for 853 total yards. They have coughed up the ball 13 times (6 INTs and 7 fumbles). If you analyze notching touchdowns, Philadelphia has accrued 22 touchdowns through the air and 14 touchdowns on the ground.

The Eagles currently sit 6th in the league if you're looking at their defensive prowess, allowing 19.4 points per game. The opposition is running for 4.5 yds per rushing attempt and 125.9 rush yards per contest this year. If you're looking at passing yards, the Eagles have granted 2,754 total yards, ranking this team at 10th in football. They have relinquished 196.7 yds per outing through the air, and are granting a completion% of 56.0%. Altogether, they are surrendering 322.6 yards per game, ranking this team at 14th in pro football. They have relinquished 13 touchdowns through the air, in addition to 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game. Altogether, they have given up 1,762 yards on the ground through 14 outings on the year.

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The Commanders step onto the field with a record of 4-10 on the campaign. The last time they took the field, the Commanders went home victorious with a score of 29-21 when they faced the New York Giants. Marcus Mariota (1 TD) finished the game with 211 yds on 10-19 through the air while his QB rating was 109.8. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 11.1 yards. Jacory Croskey-Merritt ran the football 18 times for 96 yards, walking away from the game with 5.3 yards per attempt for Washington. Terry McLaurin was the top contributor in the passing game for the Commanders, grabbing 3 passes for 69 yds (23.0 yards per catch). Washington ended up running for 3.9 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 145 yds on 37 carries. The Commanders finished the game with a total of 340 yds while they ran 56 plays (6.1 yds per play). The Commanders secondary allowed a completion percentage of 54.1%, relinquishing 238 yds on 20 for 37 through the air. Washington relinquished 29 attempts on the ground for 146 yds (5.0 yards per rush).

When examining how much they score, the Commanders sit 24th in the league, by scoring 20.8 points per outing. This season, the Commanders have racked up 2,678 passing yards and are averaging 191.3 passing yards per contest, ranking this team at 24th in football. They maintain an average of 137.1 running yards per game, and have carried the ball for 1,919 yards. The Washington Commanders maintain an average of 328.4 yards per game, ranking this team at 18th in pro football. The Washington offense has granted 779 total yards by way of 98 penalty flags, giving them a rank of 12th in football when analyzing making mistakes. They have tossed 10 INTs while yielding 10 fumbles lost, and have earned 133 first downs offensively.

They have relinquished 28 touchdowns via the pass along with 246.3 yards via the pass per outing, giving them a rank of 29th in the league. Washington has allowed a total of 1,908 rushing yards (136.3 yds per contest), plus 14 touchdowns via the ground game for this campaign. The D has recorded 8 takeaways (1 fumble and 7 INTs) over the course of this year. Overall, they have allowed 375 total points. The Commanders defense has been on the field for 871 plays from scrimmage, which ranks 19th in the league. The Commanders are relinquishing 26.8 PPG, ranking this team at 26th in football.

Who will win tonight's Eagles-Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Eagles -6.5

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