Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, 10/16/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 7

Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Date: Thursday, October 16, 2025

Location: Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Prime Video

Odds-Point Spread: Bengals (+5.5)

Total-Over-Under: 43.5

The Pittsburgh Steelers (4-1) are on their way to Paycor Stadium on Thursday where they will try to beat the Cincinnati Bengals (2-4). Pittsburgh opens this contest as 5.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 43.5.

The Pittsburgh Steelers head into this matchup 4-1 on the campaign. In their last contest, the Steelers stepped onto the field against the Cleveland Browns and notched a win by a score of 23-9. Aaron Rodgers went 21-30 with 235 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 115.3 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Kenneth Gainwell averaged 2.3 yds per reception by notching 14 yards on 6 catches. Jaylen Warren was the best rusher for the Steelers with 11 carries for 52 yards (4.7 yds per carry). At the end of the game, they had 58 plays for 335 yards. The Pittsburgh Steelers rushed the ball a total of 28 times and totaled 100 yds, which is an average of 3.6 yards per carry. Against the run, the Steelers conceded 65 yards on 17 attempts, which is an average of 3.8 yds per rush allowed. Pittsburgh relinquished 29 completions on 52 attempts for a total of 183 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.8%.

The Steelers have a total of 1,389 yards this year. Pittsburgh has attained 42 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 29 infractions for 194 total yards. With reference to putting the ball in the endzone, Pittsburgh has tallied 10 passing TD's and 3 TD's via the ground game. They have given the ball to the opposition 3 different times (3 INTs and 0 fumbles). As a team, they are averaging 84.0 rushing yds which has them ranked 29th in pro football. If you're looking at getting in the endzone, the Pittsburgh Steelers have an average of 23.8 PPG.

The Steelers sit 16th in pro football when you look at their defensive abilities, conceding 21.4 points per game. They are allowing an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 110.6 rush yards per game so far this season. If you analyze pass yards, the Steelers have surrendered 1,225 yards, which ranks 13th in the league. They have conceded 245.0 yards per contest via the pass, and are surrendering a completion rate of 65.8%. Overall, they are conceding 355.6 yards per contest, which has them sitting 25th in the league. They have yielded 7 touchdowns via the pass, plus 4 touchdowns via the rush. All in all, they have given up 553 rushing yards through 5 contests so far this season.

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The Bengals step onto the field with a record of 2-4 on the campaign. In their last contest, the Bengals went home defeated by a final of 27-18 when they played the Green Bay Packers. Joe Flacco (2 TDs) finished the contest with 219 yds on 29-45 passing while his QB rating was 90.9. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.9 yards. Chase Brown ran the ball 9 times for 42 yards, ending the contest with 4.7 yds per attempt for Cincinnati. Ja'Marr Chase was one of the featured targets for the Bengals, snagging 10 balls for 94 yards (9.4 yds per catch). Cincinnati rushed the ball for 3.4 yards per attempt, totaling 55 yards on 16 attempts. The Bengals finished the game with a total of 268 yds and they ran 61 plays (4.4 yds per play). The Bengals passing defense conceded a completion rate of 73.1%, surrendering 256 yards on 19 out of 26 passing. Cincinnati conceded 33 run attempts for 153 yards (4.6 yards per carry).

The Cincinnati Bengals have an average of 235.2 yards per game, which has them ranked 31st in football. They average 56.7 rushing yds per outing, and have rushed for 340 yards. They have a total of 8 interceptions while giving up 3 lost fumbles, and have been able to earn 57 first downs as a unit. The Cincinnati offense has conceded 219 yards by way of 34 violations, ranking them 29th in pro football if you look at hurting your team. On the season, the Bengals sit at 1,071 pass yds and are averaging 178.5 pass yds per outing, ranking them 30th in pro football. If you're looking at the points being put on the board, the Bengals are ranking 29th in professional football, averaging 17.2 PPG.

The Bengals are surrendering 30.5 PPG, ranking them 30th in the NFL. They have conceded 13 touchdowns via the pass as well as 258.5 passing yds per contest, which has them sitting 31st in the league. Cincinnati has relinquished a total of 814 rushing yds (135.7 total yards per contest), plus 8 touchdowns via the rush over the course of this season. The Bengals defense has taken part in 400 plays from scrimmage, ranking them 30th in football. Their defense has racked up 7 takeaways over the course of this season. All in all, they have given up 183 total points.

Who will win tonight's Steelers-Bengals NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Steelers -5.5

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