Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, 10/19/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 7
Game: Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys
Date: Sunday, October 19, 2025
Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX
TV: FOX
Odds-Point Spread: Cowboys (+2)
Total-Over-Under: 54.5
AT&T Stadium is the site where the Dallas Cowboys (2-3) will attempt to defeat the Washington Commanders (3-3) on Sunday. Dallas opens this contest as 2-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 54.5.
The Washington Commanders step on the gridiron holding a record of 3-3 so far this year. The last time they took the field, the Commanders faced the Chicago Bears and went home with a loss by a final score of 25-24. Jayden Daniels finished 19-26 with 211 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 119.2 and finished the contest with 1 pick. Zach Ertz had an average of 7.2 yds per catch by notching 43 yards on 6 catches. Jacory Croskey-Merritt was the best rusher for the Commanders with 17 attempts for 61 yds (3.6 yards per carry). In all, they ran 57 plays which converted into 329 yds. The Washington Commanders ended up rushing 31 times and had 124 yards, earning them an average of 4.0 yards per attempt. Against the rush, the Commanders gave up 145 yds on 27 tries, which averages out to 5.4 yards per rush allowed. Washington relinquished 17 pass completions on 29 attempts for a total of 236 yds, and a completion percentage of 58.6%.

The Commanders have compiled 2,074 yds this year. Washington has a total of 56 1st downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 42 infractions for 311 yards. If you analyze scoring, Washington has accrued 10 passing touchdowns and 7 TD's via the ground game. They have surrendered the ball 6 different times (2 INTs and 4 fumbles). Offensively, they have an average of 151.0 rushing yards ranking them 3rd in professional football. When talking about scoring points, the NFC East representatives are sitting at 26.3 points per game.
When talking about passing yds, the Commanders have allowed 1,411 yds, which has them ranked 24th in pro football. They have conceded 235.2 yards per contest via the pass, and are surrendering a completion rate of 63.2%. Overall, they have conceded 730 yards via the running game in 6 games so far this season. They have relinquished 9 touchdowns through the air, and 4 touchdowns via the rush. All in all, they are allowing 356.8 yards per outing, ranking them 26th in pro football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per run and 121.7 rush yards per outing this year. The Commanders are ranking 13th in professional football if you examine the opposition scoring, yielding 21.0 PPG.
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The Cowboys step onto the field with a record of 2-3 on the campaign. The last time they took the field, the Cowboys went home defeated by a final of 30-27 when they faced the Carolina Panthers. Dak Prescott (3 touchdowns) finished the game with 261 yds on 25-34 through the air while his quarterback rate was 124.8. He didn't toss any picks and his Y-A was 7.7 yds. Javonte Williams carried the ball 13 times for 29 yds, ending the game with 2.2 yards per carry for Dallas. George Pickens was the best receiver for the Cowboys, hauling in 9 passes for 168 yards (18.7 yards per reception). Dallas ran for 1.6 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 31 yards on 19 attempts. The Cowboys finished the contest with a total of 292 yards and they ran 53 plays (5.5 yds per play). The Cowboys secondary gave up a completion percentage of 68.0%, relinquishing 194 yds on 17 out of 25 through the air. Dallas allowed 38 run attempts for 216 yds (5.7 yards per rush).
If you analyze their ability to score points, the Cowboys are ranking 3rd in football, scoring 29.7 points per outing. Over the course of this season, the Cowboys have racked up 1,622 yards through the air and average 270.3 yards through the air per outing, ranking them 2nd in the NFL. They maintain an average of 117.2 rushing yds per game, and have carried the football for 703 yds. The Dallas Cowboys maintain an average of 387.5 yards per game, which ranks 1st in the league. The Dallas offense has yielded 396 yards by way of 48 violations, which has them sitting 6th in the league when it comes to hurting your team. They have thrown 4 INTs while conceding 2 lost fumbles, and have been able to tally 82 first downs.
They have relinquished 15 touchdowns through the air and 269.5 pass yds per outing, ranking them 32nd in pro football. Dallas has surrendered a total of 853 rushing yds (142.2 yds per outing), and 6 touchdowns to runners on the campaign. The D has collected 4 takeaways so far this season. On the whole, they have yielded 184 total points. The Cowboys defense has taken the field for 400 plays from scrimmage, which has them sitting 31st in the league. The Cowboys are conceding 30.7 points per contest, which has them sitting 31st in the league.
Who will win tonight's Commanders-Cowboys NFL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Commanders -2
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Additional Resources:
Dallas Cowboys - Twitter
Washington Commanders - Twitter