Washington Commanders vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 10/27/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 8

Game: Washington Commanders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Monday, October 27, 2025

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: ABC

Odds-Point Spread: Chiefs (-12.5)

Total-Over-Under: 47

The Washington Commanders (3-4) are on their way to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday where they will meet the Kansas City Chiefs (4-3). Kansas City opens this game as 12.5-point favorites. The total is 47.

The Washington Commanders come into this game holding a record of 3-4 over the course of this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Commanders stepped onto the field against the Dallas Cowboys and took a loss by a score of 44-22. Jayden Daniels went 12-22 with 156 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 92.2 and finished the game with no picks. Robbie Chosen had an average of 9.0 yds per reception by notching 36 yds on 4 receptions. Jayden Daniels led the offense in rushing for the Commanders with 8 carries for 35 yds (4.4 yds per attempt). When all was said and done, they had 60 plays which gave them 341 yds. The Washington Commanders ran the ball 28 different times and recorded 136 yds, earning them an average of 4.9 yards per tote. When it came to stopping the run, the Commanders gave up 152 yds on 31 attempts, which is an average of 4.9 yards per rush allowed. Washington surrendered 21 completions on 30 tries for a total of 257 yds, and a completion rate of 70.0%.

The Commanders have recorded 2,415 yds over the course of this year. Washington has recorded 64 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 53 infractions for 429 total yards. When analyzing scoring touchdowns, Washington currently has 11 passing touchdowns and 9 running touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 8 different times (3 INTs and 5 fumbles lost). Collectively, they have an average of 148.9 rush yds which has them sitting 2nd in football. When you look at getting the ball in the endzone, the Washington Commanders average 25.7 points per game.

When examining passing yds, the Commanders have given up 1,668 yds, which has them sitting 27th in the league. They have relinquished 238.3 yards per contest through the air, and are surrendering a completion% of 64.2%. In total, they have yielded 882 running yards through 7 matchups for the year. They have given up 12 touchdowns through the air, and 5 touchdowns on the ground. In total, they are granting 364.3 yds per game, which has them sitting 27th in the league. The opposition is running for 4.3 yards per rush and 126.0 rushing yds per contest for the year. The Commanders are 21st in professional football with reference to their defensive abilities, relinquishing 24.3 points per outing.

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The Chiefs come into this game with a record of 4-3 over the course of this season. In their last contest, the Chiefs took home the win by a final score of 31-0 against the Las Vegas Raiders. Patrick Mahomes (3 TDs) finished the contest with 286 yds on 26-35 through the air while his QB rate was 126.6. He didn't throw any picks and his Y-A was 8.2 yards. Isiah Pacheco carried the ball 15 times for 57 yds, finishing the game with 3.8 yards per carry for Kansas City. Marquise Brown was the best receiver for the Chiefs, bringing in 2 balls for 14 yards (7.0 yards per catch). Kansas City ran for 3.7 yards per carry, finishing with 152 yards on 41 carries. The Chiefs finished the game with 434 yds and they ran 76 plays (5.7 yards per play). The Chiefs pass defense gave up a completion rate of 66.7%, relinquishing 70 yds on 12 out of 18 through the air. Kansas City conceded 11 attempts on the ground for 25 yards (2.3 yards per carry).

The Kansas City Chiefs average 370.6 yards per contest, which has them ranking 5th in the league. They hold an average of 123.4 rush yards per contest, and have toted the ball for 864 yds. They have compiled 2 interceptions while yielding 0 fumbles lost, and have been able to record 91 first downs. The Kansas City offense has surrendered 388 yds by way of 47 penalty flags, ranking them 18th in the league when analyzing making mistakes. In this campaign, the Chiefs have racked up 1,730 pass yds and are sitting at 247.1 pass yds per contest, which ranks them 6th in professional football. When you look at their scoring prowess, the Chiefs currently rank 6th in football, maintaining an average of 26.6 points per game.

They have given up 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 174.6 passing yds per game, which has them sitting 4th in the league. Kansas City has allowed a total of 740 rush yds (105.7 yds per outing), as well as 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game over the course of this year. The defense currently has 7 turnovers (3 fumbles forced and 4 picks) on the season. On the whole, they have relinquished 124 total points. The Chiefs defense has participated in 371 plays from the line of scrimmage, which is 6th in pro football. The Chiefs are surrendering 17.7 PPG, which is 3rd in pro football.

Who will win tonight's Commanders-Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Commanders +12.5

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