Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, 12/7/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings

Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025

Location: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Vikings (-1.5)

Total-Over-Under: 42

The Minnesota Vikings (4-8) are hosting the Washington Commanders (3-9) at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday. Minnesota opens this matchup as 1.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over-under is set at 42.

The Washington Commanders step on the gridiron holding a record of 3-9 for the season. When they last took the field, the Commanders stepped onto the field against the Denver Broncos and ended up losing by a score of 27-26. Marcus Mariota went 28-50 with 294 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 78.2 and ended the game with 1 interception. Marcus Mariota was the rushing leader for the Commanders with 10 totes for 55 yards (5.5 yds per carry). Zach Ertz had an average of 10.6 yards per catch by accounting for 106 yards on 10 catches. The Washington Commanders ended up running the ball 33 different times and recorded 143 yds, which came out to an average of 4.3 yards per carry. In all, they had 83 plays which gave them 419 yards. Washington relinquished 29 pass completions on 45 tries for a total of 315 yds, and a completion percentage of 64.4%. Against the run, the Commanders gave up 87 yards on 23 attempts, which is an average of 3.8 yards per run surrendered.

The Commanders have tallied 4,051 yds this year. Washington has notched 117 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 83 penalties for 678 yds. When you look at getting in the endzone, Washington has tallied 17 touchdowns via the pass and 13 ground TD's. They have given the ball to the opposition 15 different times (8 INTs and 7 fumbles lost). As a team, they have an average of 138.9 rushing yards which is 3rd in professional football. When talking about getting the ball in the endzone, the squad representing Washington are averaging 21.8 points per game.

When examining passing yards, the Commanders have allowed 3,059 total yards, which has them ranked 31st in pro football. They have granted 254.9 yds per outing by way of the pass, and are granting a completion% of 67.6%. Overall, they have surrendered 1,600 running yards through 12 outings this season. They have allowed 23 touchdowns through the air, in addition to 12 touchdowns to runners. All in all, they are conceding 388.3 total yards per game, which has them ranked 31st in pro football. They are giving up an average of 4.7 yards per rushing attempt and 133.3 rushing yards per outing over the course of this year. The Commanders are 28th in the league when analyzing the opposition scoring, relinquishing 26.9 PPG.

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The Vikings head into this matchup 4-8 for the season. In their last contest, the Vikings went home defeated by a final of 26-0 when they faced the Seattle Seahawks. Jordan Mason carried the football 6 times for 47 yards, ending the contest with 7.8 yards per carry for Minnesota. T.J. Hockenson was featured in the passing game for the Vikings, grabbing 6 throws for 59 yds (9.8 yards per reception). Max Brosmer ended the contest with 126 yards on 19-30 passing while his QB rate was 32.8. He threw 4 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.2 yds. Minnesota allowed 32 attempts on the ground for 125 yds (3.9 yds per rush). The Vikings passing defense conceded a completion rate of 53.8%, relinquishing 94 yards on 14 out of 26 passing. The Vikings finished the game with 162 yards and they ran 46 plays (3.5 yards per play). Minnesota ran the ball for 4.1 yds per attempt, totaling 66 yards on 16 carries.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Vikings are 28th in professional football, scoring 18.7 points per contest. In this season, the Vikings have thrown for 2,078 passing yards and hold an average of 173.2 passing yards per outing, which is 29th in professional football. They maintain an average of 99.4 running yds per outing, and have rushed for 1,193 yards. The Minnesota Vikings average 272.6 yards per game, which ranks them 29th in pro football. The Minnesota offense has allowed 715 yards by way of 89 violations, which has them ranking 9th in the NFL when you look at giving up free yards. They have allowed 19 interceptions while allowing 7 fumbles, and have obtained 109 first downs as a unit.

They have allowed 14 touchdowns through the air in addition to 178.4 yards via the pass per outing, which has them ranked 5th in the NFL. Minnesota has relinquished a total of 1,541 rushing yards (128.4 yards per game), and 11 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The defense has recorded 11 takeaways (8 fumbles forced and 3 picks) over the course of this season. Overall, they have surrendered 281 points. The Vikings defense has been on the field for 745 plays from scrimmage, putting them 17th in pro football. The Vikings are conceding 23.4 PPG, which is 18th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Commanders-Vikings NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commanders +1.5

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