Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 9/24/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers

Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: Prime Video

Odds-Point Spread: Falcons +6.5

Total-Over-Under: 43.5

Lambeau Field is the place where the Green Bay Packers (1-1) will compete against the Atlanta Falcons (0-2) on Thursday. Green Bay opens as 6.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is 43.5.

The Atlanta Falcons head into this matchup 0-2 over the course of this year. In their last contest, the Falcons faced the Carolina Panthers and ended up losing by a score of 34-3. Cooper Rush finished 10-17 with 86 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 32.6 and finished the game with 2 picks. Bijan Robinson was the best rusher for the Falcons with 16 carries for 72 yds (4.5 yards per carry). Drake London averaged 12.8 yards per catch by totaling 51 yards on 4 catches. The Atlanta Falcons ended up running the ball 32 times and amassed 157 yards, which had them averaging 4.9 yards per attempt. In the game, they had 64 plays which gave them a total of 286 yards. Atlanta surrendered 23 pass completions on 36 attempts for a total of 272 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.9%. On the ground, the Falcons conceded 68 yards on 22 attempts, which is an average of 3.1 yds per run allowed.

The Falcons have compiled 524 yards on the year. Atlanta has amassed 14 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 15 penalties for 135 total yards. Concerning scoring points, Atlanta has produced 1 passing touchdown and no TD's via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 7 different times (5 picks and 2 fumbles lost). Collectively, they average 138.5 rushing yards putting them 7th in the league. Regarding scoring, the Atlanta Falcons are averaging 8.0 points per contest.

The Falcons are ranked 23rd in the NFL when you look at their opponents scoring, granting 27.0 points per game. They are allowing 2.9 yards per tote and 63.0 rushing yards per outing so far this season. Regarding pass yds, the Falcons have conceded 478 yards, which ranks 23rd in the NFL. They have given up 239.0 yards per outing by way of the pass, and are allowing a completion rate of 61.0%. In total, they are granting 302.0 total yards per contest, which is 12th in the league. They have yielded 4 touchdowns through the air, and no TD's by way of the ground game. All in all, they have granted 126 yards via the ground game in 2 outings over the course of this season.

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The Packers step onto the field with a record of 1-1 over the course of the season. In their last contest, the Packers took home the win by a final score of 20-17 against the New York Jets. Kaleb Johnson carried the football 8 times for 32 yds, finishing the game with 4.0 yards per attempt for Green Bay. Matthew Golden was featured in the passing game for the Packers, bringing in 4 passes for 58 yards (14.5 yards per catch). Jordan Love (2 TDs) finished the game with 145 yds on 16-29 through the air while his QB rate was 91.9. He didn't throw any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 5.0 yds. Green Bay surrendered 27 rushing attempts for 67 yards (2.5 yards per carry). The Packers passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 65.9%, relinquishing 218 yds on 27 for 41 through the air. The Packers finished the contest with a total of 199 yards and they ran 47 plays (4.2 yards per play). Green Bay ended up running for 3.5 yards per attempt, totaling 63 yds on 18 carries.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Packers are ranked 19th in the NFL, with an average of 21.0 points per game. For the season, the Packers have compiled 489 pass yards and are averaging 244.5 pass yards per contest, which has them sitting 9th in football. They hold an average of 64.5 rushing yards per game, and have run for 129 yards. The Green Bay Packers maintain an average of 309.0 total yards per contest, giving them a rank of 17th in the NFL. The Green Bay offense has yielded 231 yds by way of 26 penalty flags, giving them a rank of 1st in football when examining hurting your team. They have allowed 1 interception while yielding 2 fumbles lost, and have earned 24 first downs as an offense.

They have given up 4 touchdowns via the pass and 175.0 passing yards per contest, which is 10th in the league. Green Bay has conceded a total of 174 rushing yards (87.0 total yards per outing), along with 3 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. Their defense has a total of 1 turnover so far this year. All in all, they have granted 56 pts. The Packers defense has been on the field for 133 plays from scrimmage, which is good for 25th in the league. The Packers are yielding 28.0 points per contest, which has them sitting 25th in football.

Who will win tonight's Falcons-Packers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Falcons +6.5

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