Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, 9/13/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026

Location: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Falcons +3.5

Total-Over-Under: 41.5

Acrisure Stadium is the site where the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7 last year) will try to defeat the Atlanta Falcons (8-9 last season) on Sunday. Atlanta opens this matchup as 3.5-point underdogs. The betting total is set at 41.5.

The Atlanta Falcons ended the season having produced a 8-9 mark. In their last contest, the Falcons played the New Orleans Saints and notched a win by a score of 19-17. Kirk Cousins went 18-32 with 180 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 69.8 and ended the game with 1 pick. Bijan Robinson was the rushing leader for the Falcons with 15 attempts for 33 yards (2.2 yards per carry). Drake London averaged 19.5 yds per catch by recording 78 yards on 4 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ended up rushing 25 different times and accumulated 49 yards, earning them an average of 2.0 yds per carry. On the day, they ran 57 plays which converted into 208 yards. Atlanta relinquished 23 completions on 35 attempts for a total of 232 yds, and a completion percentage of 65.7%. On the ground, the Falcons gave up 108 yards on 26 attempts, which is an average of 4.2 yards per rush allowed.

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When talking about getting in the endzone, the Atlanta Falcons held an average of 20.8 points per game. As a team, they were sitting at 125.8 rushing yards, which was 8th in the NFL. The Falcons earned 5,661 total yards last season. Atlanta earned 185 first downs as a unit, and they were called for 108 penalties for 819 total yards. They turned the football over 18 different times (8 INTs and 10 lost fumbles). Atlanta compiled 19 passing TD's and 17 rushing TD's.

If you look at passing yards, the Falcons yielded 3,407 yds which had them ranking 13th in pro football. They surrendered 200.4 yards per game via the pass, and surrendered a completion rate of 62.6%. Altogether, they allowed 2,146 yards on the ground through 17 games last season. They allowed 27 TD's through the air, as well as 12 via the rush. Altogether, they relinquished 326.6 per game, which was 15th in football. The opposition ran for an average of 4.6 yds per tote and 126.2 rushing yards per contest for the prior year. The Falcons sat 19th in football if you look at their defensive abilities, surrendering 23.6 points per game.

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The Steelers finished the season having a 10-7 record. When they last took the field, the Steelers took a loss by a score of 30-6 when they faced the Houston Texans. Jaylen Warren carried the ball 12 times for 43 yards, finishing the contest with 3.6 yds per carry for Pittsburgh. D.K. Metcalf was the best receiver for the Steelers, catching 2 passes for 42 yds (21.0 yards per catch). Aaron Rodgers walked away from the contest with 146 yards on 17-33 through the air while his quarterback rating was 50.8. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.4 yds. Pittsburgh conceded 31 attempts on the ground for 164 yds (5.3 yds per rush). The Steelers passing defense conceded a completion rate of 65.6%, relinquishing 244 yards on 21 out of 32 passing. The Steelers ended up finishing with 175 yards and they ran 52 plays (3.4 yds per play). Pittsburgh rushed the football for 3.5 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 63 yards on 18 attempts.

The Pittsburgh Steelers held an average of 305.6 total yards per contest, which was 25th in the NFL. They had an average of 103.3 rushing yds per outing, and rushed for 1,756 yds. They surrendered 9 interceptions while granting 6 fumbles, and had a total of 160 first downs offensively. The Pittsburgh offense allowed 803 total yards by way of 101 violations, which was 23rd in football concerning making mistakes. Last season, the Steelers had a previous total of 3,440 yards via the pass and held an average of 202.4 yards via the pass per contest, which was 22nd in football. If you're looking at putting points on the board, the Steelers sat 15th in the NFL, holding an average of 23.4 points per outing.

They allowed 30 touchdowns through the air along with 243.9 pass yards per outing, which ranked them 29th in professional football. Pittsburgh relinquished a total of 1,922 rushing yards (113.1 yards per game), along with 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game for last season. The D earned 27 turnovers (12 fumbles forced and 15 picks) last season. Overall, they conceded 387 points. The Steelers defense participated in 1,112 plays from the line of scrimmage, which ranked them 31st in professional football. The Steelers allowed 22.8 points per game, which ranked them at 17th in pro football.

Who will win tonight's Falcons-Steelers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Falcons +3.5

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