Baker Mayfield Best Prop Bets Today vs Carolina Panthers 1/3/2026
Game: Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pass Yards Prop: 233 - Over (-113) Under (-113)
Completions Prop: 21 - Over (-128) Under (Even)
Pass Attempts Prop: 31 - Over (-110) Under (-120)
Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will take on the Carolina Panthers at Raymond James Stadium on ABC on Saturday, January 3, 2026. Mayfield's prop bets open at 233 passing yards, 31 pass attempts, and 21 passing completions.
Baker Mayfield Season Stats
On the year, the quarterback averages 3.2 running attempts and 1.6 passing touchdowns per outing. On the season, Baker has accumulated 351 rushing yards and averages 218.1 passing yards per contest. The signal caller holds an average of 32.6 throwing attempts per outing on the campaign. Baker Mayfield has been pretty solid when you look at completion rate, averaging 62.8%. He has tallied 3,490 yards via the pass so far this season. Baker Mayfield is ranked 26th in pro football when it comes to touchdown rate with 4.8%, on top of accruing 327 passing completions. As well as throwing a pick on 1.9% of his throws, Baker Mayfield averages 20.4 pass completions per contest and has accumulated 25 touchdowns through the air.

Baker Mayfield Last 5 Games
Baker Mayfield averages 20.4 pass completions per outing and has had a total of 162 throwing attempts. Baker has earned 66 1st downs via the pass. The quarterback has been mediocre if you examine getting yards through the air, with an average of 216.8 passing yards per game. Baker has earned 7 passing TD's in his last five matchups and is averaging 1.0 INT per outing. As well as producing 5 INTs, Baker is getting intercepted on 3.1% of his attempted passes while having earned an average of 13.3 1st downs by air per game.
| Opponent | Pass Yards | Completions | Pass Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 346 | 33 | 44 |
| CAR | 145 | 18 | 26 |
| ATL | 277 | 19 | 34 |
| NOR | 122 | 14 | 30 |
| ARI | 194 | 18 | 28 |
Baker Mayfield Last 10 Games
Along with accruing 1 ground TD's, he is throwing a pick on 2.8% of his attempted passes while having earned an average of 7.4% for sack rate. Baker has accumulated 13 touchdowns through the air in his last 10 outings and notched 134 1st downs through the air. Baker Mayfield has earned 198 pass completions. In terms of capability to hit a receiver en route to a score, Baker Mayfield has an average of 1.3 passing touchdowns and 195.1 passing yards per game. Baker has an average of 19.8 completions per game. Along with tallying 1,951 yards through the air, Baker holds an average of 60.7% when analyzing passes completed.
THIS WEEK'S TOP FOOTBALL GAMES VERNON CROY – 6-Unit NFL Play (8 p.m.) FRIDAY DOC’S SPORTS – 6-Unit College Football Play (4:30 p.m.) NOTE: Doc’s Sports and Spreitzer have opposing sides. SATURDAY SCOTT RICKENBACH – 7-Unit College Football Play (Noon) NOTE: George and Trapp have the same side. NOTE: Murphy and Esparza have the same side. SUNDAY GRIFFIN MURPHY – 7-Unit NFL Play (1 p.m.) NOTE: Menken and Trapp have opposing sides. TUESDAY RAPHAEL ESPARZA – 7-Unit College Football Total (9 p.m.) |
Baker Mayfield Career Stats
The signal caller is getting a completion on 63.4% of his attempted passes while having earned an average of 5.0% on touchdown passes. Baker has accumulated 11 rushing TD's when it comes to ability to run. Baker has contributed 3,916 pass attempts and notched 100 INTs so far in his NFL career. Baker Mayfield is averaging 232.1 yards via the pass per outing. The quarterback has an average of 2.6% if you examine INT rate.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense
The Buccaneers hold an average of 112.9 running yds per game, which is good for 21st in pro football, and have earned 335 pass completions. In terms of touchdown throws, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers rank 17th in the league with a 4.7% touchdown rate. When talking about offense, the Buccaneers are playing weak, accruing 5,109 total team yards. Over the course of this season, the Buccaneers hold an average of 1.9% when you look at getting picked off. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are averaging 206.4 yards through the air per outing regarding throwing. The Buccaneers are averaging 33.5 throwing attempts this year and 319.3 total team yards per game.
Carolina Panthers Defense
The Panthers are ranking 8th in the league when it comes to pick rate granted with 2.9% on the year. The Carolina Panthers are conceding 1.2 passing touchdowns per game when you look at preventing passing touchdowns. The Panthers have yielded 19 touchdowns via the pass and relinquish 122.3 rush yds per game. The Panthers yield 1.3 touchdowns on the ground per outing, have conceded 320 pass completions, and 27.3 rushing attempts per outing. The Panthers surrender 204.3 yards through the air per outing so far this season and have granted 1,956 rushing yds. Having a rank of 10th in the league, the Panthers are yielding 66.0% if you examine neutralizing completion%.
Tony Sink's Pick: Take the Under Pass Yards (-113)
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