Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, 1/4/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026

Location: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: NBC

Odds-Point Spread: Steelers (+3.5)

Total-Over-Under: 41

Acrisure Stadium is the place where the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) will try to defeat the Baltimore Ravens (8-8) on Sunday. Pittsburgh opens this contest as 3.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under is 41.

The Baltimore Ravens step onto the field holding a record of 8-8 on the year. In their last game, the Ravens played the Green Bay Packers and walked away with a win by a score of 41-24. Tyler Huntley connected on 16-20 with 107 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 105.6 and walked away from the contest without throwing a pick. Derrick Henry was the rushing leader for the Ravens with 36 totes for 216 yds (6.0 yds per carry). Mark Andrews had an average of 7.0 yds per catch by totaling 28 yds on 4 receptions. The Baltimore Ravens ran the ball 53 different times and recorded 307 yds, which is an average of 5.8 yards per attempt. In all, they ran 73 plays which totaled 414 yards. Baltimore gave up 19 pass completions on 25 attempts for 284 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Ravens conceded 79 yds on 17 attempts, which is 4.6 yards per rush allowed.

When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Ravens are sitting at 25.0 points per contest. Offensively, they're maintaining an average of 157.8 rush yards giving them a rank of 1st in football. The Ravens have earned 5,288 total yards over the course of this season. Baltimore has tallied 136 first downs, and they have been hurt by 90 infractions for 668 yds. They have surrendered the ball 22 different times (10 INTs and 12 lost fumbles). In terms of scoring touchdowns, Baltimore has collected 20 passing TD's and 23 TD's via the ground game.

With reference to pass yards, the Ravens have relinquished 3,924 yards, which ranks 30th in pro football. They have yielded 245.3 yds per game through the air, and are granting a completion rate of 63.7%. Overall, they have allowed 1,713 yards via the running game in 16 matchups for this campaign. They have conceded 22 touchdowns via the pass, in addition to 16 touchdowns via the ground game. Overall, they are conceding 352.3 total yards per game, ranking this team at 25th in football. They are giving up 4.2 yards per attempt on the ground and 107.1 rush yds per outing over the course of the season. The Ravens are sitting 18th in football if you look at their defensive abilities, allowing 23.3 points per outing.

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The Steelers step on the gridiron with a record of 9-7 on the campaign. In their last game, the Steelers took a loss by a score of 13-6 against the Cleveland Browns. Aaron Rodgers ended the contest with 168 yards on 21-39 passing while his quarterback rating was 64.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.3 yds. Jaylen Warren ran the ball 12 times for 64 yards, ending the contest with 5.3 yards per carry for Pittsburgh. Jonnu Smith was featured in the passing game for the Steelers, hauling in 5 balls for 18 yds (3.6 yards per reception). Pittsburgh ran the ball for 5.5 yards per carry, totaling 131 yds on 24 carries. The Steelers finished the game with a total of 291 yds and they ran 63 plays (4.6 yards per play). The Steelers secondary allowed a completion rate of 73.9%, surrendering 184 yds on 17 for 23 passing. Pittsburgh allowed 25 run attempts for 78 yards (3.1 yds per rush).

The Pittsburgh Steelers average 300.4 yards per outing, which ranks 26th in pro football. They average 103.5 rush yds per outing, and have run for 1,656 yards. They have recorded 9 interceptions while surrendering 6 fumbles lost, and have been able to earn 146 first downs offensively. The Pittsburgh offense has conceded 758 total yards on 96 penalties, putting them 23rd in pro football regarding helping out the opposition. On the year, the Steelers have compiled 3,150 pass yards and are sitting at 196.9 pass yards per contest, giving them a rank of 22nd in pro football. In terms of their ability to score points, the Steelers currently rank 15th in football, averaging 23.2 PPG.

They have allowed 27 touchdowns by way of the pass along with 245.3 passing yds per contest, which has them ranking 29th in pro football. Pittsburgh has conceded a total of 1,785 rush yards (111.6 yards per outing), along with 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the campaign. Their defense has earned 26 takeaways (12 fumbles forced and 14 INTs) over the course of this season. In total, they have yielded 363 points. The Steelers defense has taken part in 1,064 plays from the line of scrimmage, which ranks 32nd in the league. The Steelers are conceding 22.7 points per outing, ranking this team at 15th in football.

Who will win tonight's Ravens-Steelers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Steelers +3.5

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