Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 10/11/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Dolphins +7.0

Total-Over-Under: 42

Hard Rock Stadium is the location where the Miami Dolphins (0-4) will take on the Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) on Sunday. Cincinnati opens as 7-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under comes in at 42.

The Cincinnati Bengals head into this game 2-2 this season. The last time they took the field, the Bengals played the Jacksonville Jaguars and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 22-17. Joe Burrow went 39-54 with 428 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 86 and ended the game with 2 interceptions. Chase Brown was the leader on the ground for the Bengals with 9 totes for 10 yds (1.1 yds per carry). Tee Higgins averaged 14.3 yds per catch by accumulating 157 yards on 11 catches. The Cincinnati Bengals ran the ball a total of 15 times and amassed 23 yds, which had them averaging 1.5 yds per carry. In the game, they ran 69 plays for 437 yards. Cincinnati relinquished 18 pass completions on 23 attempts for 212 yards, and a completion rate of 78.3%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Bengals conceded 111 yds on 27 attempts, which averages out to 4.1 yds per run surrendered.

If you analyze getting in the endzone, the Bengals are averaging 24.3 points per outing. Collectively, they average 74.3 rushing yds which has them ranking 31st in pro football. The Bengals have attained 1,407 total yards on the season. Cincinnati has attained 58 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 36 penalties for 273 yds. They have surrendered the football 5 different times (3 picks and 2 lost fumbles). With reference to scoring, Cincinnati has produced 7 touchdowns through the air and 2 TD's on the ground.

The Bengals currently rank 13th in the NFL regarding their defensive abilities, surrendering 21.3 points per contest. The opposition is running for 4.5 yds per running attempt and 99.5 rush yds per contest this year. If you look at pass yds, the Bengals have allowed 992 total yards, which is 26th in professional football. They have allowed 248.0 total yards per contest via the pass, and are conceding a completion rate of 63.8%. Overall, they are giving up 347.5 total yards per game, giving them a rank of 22nd in the league. They have yielded 4 touchdowns by way of the pass, along with 3 touchdowns via the rush. Altogether, they have yielded 398 rushing yards through 4 outings this year.

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The Dolphins step on the gridiron with a record of 0-4 for this campaign. The last time they took the field, the Dolphins took a defeat with a final score of 15-10 when they faced the Minnesota Vikings. Ollie Gordon carried the football 9 times for 100 yards, ending the contest with 11.1 yds per carry for Miami. Malik Washington was featured in the passing game for the Dolphins, catching 5 balls for 67 yds (13.4 yards per catch). Malik Willis ended the game with 85 yards on 9-17 through the air while his quarterback rating was 67. He didn't toss any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 5.0 yds. Miami surrendered 31 run attempts for 123 yds (4.0 yards per rush). The Dolphins secondary gave up a completion rate of 73.0%, surrendering 213 yds on 27 for 37 passing. The Dolphins finished the contest with 198 yards while running 35 plays (5.7 yds per play). Miami ran the football for 6.7 yards per attempt, totaling 121 yards on 18 carries.

The Miami Dolphins have an average of 267.5 yards per game, which is good for 30th in the league. They maintain an average of 104.0 rushing yds per game, and have run for 416 total yards. They have a total of 2 interceptions while relinquishing 3 fumbles, and have been able to record 27 1st downs as a unit. The Miami offense has yielded 230 yards on 32 infractions, ranking them 9th in the league when talking about making mistakes. In this season, the Dolphins have earned 654 pass yds and are averaging 163.5 pass yds per contest, ranking them 30th in the league. When talking about their ability to score points, the Dolphins are ranking 32nd in pro football, scoring 11.5 points per game.

They have yielded 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 226.5 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 19th in the NFL. Miami has surrendered a total of 436 rush yards (109.0 yards per contest), in addition to 4 touchdowns to rushers for the season. The defense has earned 3 takeaways so far this season. Overall, they have relinquished 101 points. The Dolphins defense has participated in 237 plays from scrimmage, which has them ranked 8th in pro football. The Dolphins are surrendering 25.3 PPG, which is good for 21st in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bengals-Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Dolphins +7.0

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