Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 9/13/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1
Game: Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
Location: EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL
TV: CBS
Odds-Point Spread: Browns +8.0
Total-Over-Under: 40.5
The Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4 last season) will go up against the Cleveland Browns (5-12 last year) at EverBank Stadium on Sunday. Jacksonville opens this game as 8-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under has been set at 40.5.
The Cleveland Browns wrapped up their year having accrued a 5-12 mark. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Browns took on the Cincinnati Bengals and walked away with a win by a score of 20-18. Shedeur Sanders went 11-22 with 111 yards passing. He had a QB rating of 64.8 and walked away from the contest with no interceptions. Cedric Tillman averaged 23.0 yards per reception by earning 23 yds on 1 catch. Dylan Sampson was the rushing leader for the Browns with 10 totes for 32 yds (3.2 yards per carry). When all was said and done, they had 46 plays for 200 yards. The Cleveland Browns ran the football 24 times and tallied 118 yds, which is an average of 4.9 yds per carry. In the running game, the Browns gave up 142 yds on 25 tries, which calculates to 5.7 yds per rush surrendered. Cleveland gave up 29 pass completions on 39 tries for a total of 222 yards, and a completion percentage of 74.4%.
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The Browns earned 4,456 total yards last season. Cleveland tallied 134 1st downs as an offense, and they were hurt by 108 infractions for 840 yards. Cleveland tallied 16 passing TD's and 10 touchdowns via the ground. They gave the ball to the opposition 25 times (18 picks and 7 lost fumbles). Offensively, they were averaging 97.0 rushing yds, ranking them 27th in the NFL. If you're looking at putting points on the board, the AFC representatives averaged 16.4 points per outing.
When analyzing pass yds, the Browns conceded 2,843 yards which was 3rd in football. They allowed 167.2 yards per contest by way of the pass, and conceded a completion rate of 63.2%. Overall, they allowed 1,979 running yards through 17 games for last season. They surrendered 25 passing touchdowns, and 14 on the ground. Altogether, they allowed 283.6 per contest, which had them ranking 4th in football. They gave up 4.2 yds per rushing attempt and 116.4 rushing yds per contest last season. The Browns ranked 14th in professional football when you look at their defensive abilities, conceding 22.3 points per game.
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The Jaguars wrapped up their season having produced a 13-4 mark. In their last game, the Jaguars went home defeated by a final of 27-24 when they faced the Buffalo Bills. Trevor Lawrence (3 touchdowns) finished the contest with 207 yds on 18-30 through the air while his QB rate was 86.4. He threw 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.9 yds. Parker Washington was one of the featured targets for the Jaguars, grabbing 7 balls for 107 yards (15.3 yards per catch). Travis Etienne carried the rock 10 times for 67 yds, finishing the game with 6.7 yards per carry for Jacksonville. The Jaguars finished the contest with 359 yds while they ran 53 plays (6.8 yards per play). Jacksonville rushed the football for 6.7 yards per attempt, finishing with 154 yds on 23 attempts. Jacksonville gave up 26 rushing attempts for 79 yards (3.0 yds per rush). The Jaguars secondary gave up a completion rate of 80.0%, relinquishing 261 yards on 28 for 35 passing.
The Jacksonville Jaguars had an average of 337.4 yards per contest, which had them ranked 11th in the NFL. They held an average of 115.1 rushing yds per outing, and toted the ball for 1,956 yds. They threw 12 picks while conceding 6 fumbles, and accrued 196 first downs offensively. The Jacksonville offense conceded 1,080 total yards on 128 penalties, which had them ranking 3rd in professional football with reference to helping out the other team. Over the course of last year, the Jaguars earned 3,779 pass yards and held an average of 222.3 pass yards per game, which ranked them 12th in professional football. If you're looking at this team's ability to score points, the Jaguars were sitting 6th in professional football, with 27.9 points per outing.
They allowed 25 touchdowns through the air as well as 218.1 pass yards per contest, which ranked them at 21st in pro football. Jacksonville allowed a total of 1,455 rush yards (85.6 yards per contest), and 13 touchdowns on the ground last season. Their defense compiled 31 takeaways (9 forced fumbles and 22 picks) last season. Altogether, they granted 336 points in total. The Jaguars defense was on the field for 1,036 plays from the line of scrimmage, which ranked them at 14th in pro football. The Jaguars granted 19.8 points per contest, ranking them 8th in the NFL.
Who will win tonight's Browns-Jaguars NFL game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Browns +8.0
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Additional Resources:
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