Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets Prediction, 10/11/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Browns +2.5

Total-Over-Under: 39.5

The Cleveland Browns (3-1) are traveling to MetLife Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the New York Jets (1-3). Cleveland opens this matchup as 2.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over-under is 39.5.

The Cleveland Browns come into this game holding a record of 3-1 on the campaign. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Browns played the Pittsburgh Steelers and earned the victory with a final of 27-24. Deshaun Watson connected on 24-33 with 268 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 94 and ended the game with 1 interception. Denzel Boston had an average of 22.3 yards per catch by accumulating 89 yards on 4 receptions. Quinshon Judkins was the rushing leader for the Browns with 17 totes for 53 yards (3.1 yds per carry). When all was said and done, they ran 60 plays which converted into 372 yards. The Cleveland Browns ended up running the ball 27 different times and had 112 yds, which had them averaging 4.1 yards per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Browns conceded 92 yards on 19 attempts, which averages out to 4.8 yds per rush surrendered. Cleveland relinquished 22 completions on 40 attempts for a total of 269 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.0%.

The Browns have a total of 1,170 total yards this year. Cleveland has produced 40 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 43 infractions for 297 yds. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, Cleveland has a total of 6 touchdowns via the pass and 2 touchdowns via the run. They have given the ball away 5 times (2 interceptions and 3 lost fumbles). Collectively, they're averaging 93.8 running yards which has them ranked 23rd in the NFL. When talking about getting the ball into the endzone, the Browns are averaging 20.3 points per game.

The Browns are ranking 18th in pro football with reference to their opponents scoring, conceding 23.8 points per game. The opposition is running for an average of 4.6 yds per attempt on the ground and 113.3 running yds per contest so far this year. If you look at yards via the pass, the Browns have surrendered 941 yds, putting them 23rd in football. They have relinquished 235.3 yards per contest through the air, and are surrendering a completion rate of 60.0%. Altogether, they are giving up 348.5 total yards per contest, which is 23rd in professional football. They have yielded 9 touchdowns by way of the pass, and 0 touchdowns by way of the ground game. All in all, they have granted 453 yards via the ground game in 4 games this year.

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The Jets come into this matchup holding a record of 1-3 this year. In their last game, the Jets took a loss by a score of 23-12 against the Chicago Bears. Geno Smith (1 TD) ended the game with 119 yards on 8-15 passing while his quarterback rating was 101.8. He didn't toss any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.9 yards. Braelon Allen ran the ball 14 times for 59 yards, finishing the contest with 4.2 yards per attempt for New York. Isaiah Williams was one of the featured targets for the Jets, grabbing 2 passes for 73 yards (36.5 yards per reception). New York rushed the football for 4.2 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 59 yds on 14 carries. The Jets finished the contest with a total of 157 yards and they ran 29 plays (5.4 yds per play). The Jets pass defense conceded a completion rate of 73.5%, relinquishing 260 yards on 25 out of 34 through the air. New York gave up 54 rushing attempts for 232 yards (4.3 yds per rush).

The New York Jets maintain an average of 286.0 yards per contest, ranking them 24th in the league. They maintain an average of 84.0 rushing yds per game, and have run for 336 total yards. They have a total of no interceptions while relinquishing 1 fumble, and have been able to record 38 1st downs as a unit. The New York offense has yielded 310 total yards by way of 37 penalty flags, which has them ranked 5th in pro football with reference to helping out the opposition. For the year, the Jets have compiled 808 passing yards and have an average of 202.0 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 18th in the NFL. If you look at the points being put on the board, the Jets currently rank 24th in professional football, with an average of 19.0 points per game.

They have granted 5 touchdowns through the air as well as 193.3 pass yds per contest, which has them ranked 6th in pro football. New York has yielded a total of 494 rushing yds (123.5 total yards per contest), and 4 touchdowns by way of the ground game for this campaign. The D has produced 4 turnovers (3 forced fumbles and 1 interception) so far this season. Altogether, they have yielded 84 total points. The Jets defense has taken part in 252 plays from the line of scrimmage, which is 18th in professional football. The Jets are conceding 21.0 points per game, which has them ranked 12th in pro football.

Who will win tonight's Browns-Jets NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Browns +2.5

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