Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Prediction, 1/4/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Giants (+3.5)

Total-Over-Under: 50

The New York Giants (3-13) will try to defeat the Dallas Cowboys (7-8) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday. Dallas opens this contest as 3.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under comes in at 50.

The Dallas Cowboys step on the gridiron 7-8 so far this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Cowboys went up against the Washington Commanders and earned the victory with a final of 30-23. Malik Davis led the offense in rushing for the Cowboys with 20 totes for 103 yards (5.2 yards per carry). CeeDee Lamb had an average of 9.2 yards per reception by recording 46 yds on 5 catches. Dak Prescott finished 19-37 with 307 yards through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 97.5 and finished the contest with no interceptions. In the running game, the Cowboys gave up 138 yds on 16 tries, which is 8.6 yards per rush allowed. Dallas allowed 15 pass completions on 23 attempts for a total of 190 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.2%. For the game, they had 81 plays which converted into 480 yards. The Dallas Cowboys ran the football 44 times and had 211 yards, which had them averaging 4.8 yards per attempt.

The Cowboys have racked up 6,377 yards over the course of the season. Dallas has notched 221 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 124 infractions for 1042 total yards. When examining scoring touchdowns, Dallas has amassed 31 touchdowns via the pass and 16 touchdowns via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 19 times (11 INTs and 8 fumbles). As a unit, they're holding an average of 124.6 rushing yards giving them a rank of 9th in pro football. Regarding scoring points, the Dallas Cowboys hold an average of 28.4 points per outing.

The Cowboys are sitting 32nd in pro football when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 29.8 PPG. They are giving up an average of 4.7 yards per attempt on the ground and 123.3 rushing yards per outing so far this year. When talking about passing yds, the Cowboys have yielded 4,057 yds, which ranks 32nd in professional football. They have granted 253.6 total yards per outing through the air, and are giving up a completion% of 68.6%. Overall, they are conceding 376.8 yards per contest, which has them ranking 30th in pro football. They have granted 33 touchdowns through the air, and 23 touchdowns to rushers. Altogether, they have granted 1,972 yards via the running game in 16 outings on the campaign.

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The Giants come into this matchup holding a record of 3-13 over the course of this year. In their last contest, the Giants went home victorious with a score of 34-10 when they faced the Las Vegas Raiders. Jaxson Dart ended the game with 207 yards on 22-30 passing while his quarterback rating was 91.9. He didn't throw any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 6.9 yds. Wan'Dale Robinson was the top contributor in the passing game for the Giants, grabbing 11 balls for 113 yds (10.3 yds per reception). Tyrone Tracy Jr. ran the football 14 times for 62 yds, finishing the game with 4.4 yds per carry for New York. The Giants finished with a total of 343 yards while running 61 plays (5.6 yards per play). New York ran the football for 5.0 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 155 yds on 31 attempts. New York conceded 20 rush attempts for 63 yards (3.2 yds per carry). The Giants passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 73.3%, relinquishing 168 yds on 22 out of 30 passing.

The New York Giants average 330.6 yards per outing, which ranks 15th in pro football. They have an average of 127.1 rushing yards per game, and have rushed for 2,034 total yards. They have recorded 10 interceptions while granting 6 fumbles, and have been able to earn 146 1st downs offensively. The New York offense has relinquished 1,012 total yards on 121 infractions, which has them sitting 5th in professional football when it comes to giving up free yards. In this season, the Giants have racked up 3,255 pass yards and have an average of 203.4 pass yards per game, which has them sitting 21st in professional football. When examining their ability to score points, the Giants are sitting 21st in pro football, maintaining an average of 21.7 PPG.

The Giants are granting 26.4 PPG, which has them sitting 26th in professional football. They have allowed 25 touchdowns through the air in addition to 218.7 yards through the air per game, ranking this team at 20th in football. New York has yielded a total of 2,327 rushing yards (145.4 total yards per contest), plus 19 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the year. The Giants defense has taken the field for 1,000 plays from scrimmage, putting them 22nd in pro football. The defense has accumulated 13 takeaways (5 fumbles forced and 8 interceptions) over the course of this season. Overall, they have allowed 422 pts.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys-Giants NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Giants +3.5

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