Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots Prediction, 11/8/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Patriots -3.0

Total-Over-Under: 46.5

The New England Patriots (5-3) are welcoming the Green Bay Packers (5-3) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday. New England is 3-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over-under comes in at 46.5.

The Green Bay Packers come into this game holding a record of 5-3 on the campaign. In their last game, the Packers played against the Carolina Panthers and earned the victory with a final of 27-19. Josh Jacobs was the rushing leader for the Packers with 21 totes for 39 yds (1.9 yards per carry). Christian Watson had an average of 14.1 yards per reception by accumulating 113 yds on 8 catches. Jordan Love finished 30-41 with 288 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rate of 106.6 and finished the contest with 1 pick. In the running game, the Packers conceded 82 yds on 23 attempts, which is an average of 3.6 yards per rush surrendered. Green Bay allowed 23 pass completions on 41 attempts for a total of 176 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.1%. In all, they had 67 plays which totaled 354 yds. The Green Bay Packers rushed the ball a total of 26 different times and compiled 66 yds, which had them averaging 2.5 yards per carry.

When you look at scoring points, the Packers hold an average of 21.4 points per game. As a team, they are averaging 60.6 rushing yds which ranks them 32nd in the league. The Packers have tallied 2,653 total yards so far this season. Green Bay has recorded 97 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 71 penalties for 591 yds. They have surrendered the football 11 different times (6 interceptions and 5 fumbles lost). Concerning scoring points, Green Bay has racked up 16 touchdowns through the air and 4 touchdowns on the ground.

Concerning passing yards, the Packers have conceded 1,632 yards, which has them ranked 12th in pro football. They have granted 204.0 total yards per game by way of the pass, and are allowing a completion percentage of 63.7%. Altogether, they have conceded 887 yards via the ground game in 8 outings over the course of this season. They have granted 10 touchdowns by way of the pass, plus 10 touchdowns to rushers. On the whole, they are giving up 314.9 total yards per game, which is good for 10th in the league. The opposition is running for an average of 3.9 yds per rushing attempt and 110.9 running yards per game so far this season. The Packers are sitting 10th in the league if you analyze their defensive abilities, granting 20.5 points per outing.

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The Patriots step on the gridiron with a record of 5-3 over the course of this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Patriots got the victory with a final of 24-19 when they faced the Miami Dolphins. Drake Maye (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 199 yards on 16-20 passing while his quarterback rating was 141.5. He didn't throw any picks and his Y-A was 10.0 yds. Rhamondre Stevenson carried the football 19 times for 82 yds, ending the game with 4.3 yds per carry for New England. Efton Chism III was one of the featured targets for the Patriots, hauling in 5 passes for 37 yards (7.4 yds per reception). New England ran for 3.6 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 131 yds on 36 carries. The Patriots finished the game with a total of 313 yds and they ran 56 plays (5.6 yards per play). The Patriots pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 65.6%, surrendering 195 yds on 21 for 32 passing. New England allowed 23 attempts on the ground for 74 yds (3.2 yds per carry).

When talking about this team's ability to score points, the Patriots are sitting 16th in the league, by tallying 23.0 points per outing. This year, the Patriots have compiled 1,953 passing yds and are averaging 244.1 passing yds per game, putting them 11th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 123.1 running yards per game, and have toted the ball for 985 yds. The New England Patriots have an average of 367.3 yards per outing, which has them ranked 8th in the league. The New England offense has granted 474 yds on 62 penalties, which ranks them at 6th in the NFL if you look at helping out the other team. They have a total of 8 picks while relinquishing 7 fumbles lost, and have been able to earn 89 first downs as a team.

The Patriots are yielding 20.3 points per contest, putting them 9th in the NFL. They have yielded 11 touchdowns through the air as well as 217.3 yards via the pass per outing, which has them ranked 13th in the league. New England has conceded a total of 741 rushing yards (92.6 yards per contest), as well as 6 touchdowns on the ground over the course of this season. The Patriots defense has participated in 472 plays from the line of scrimmage, which ranks them at 17th in the NFL. The D currently has 8 turnovers (3 fumbles forced and 5 INTs) so far this season. On the whole, they have granted 162 total points.

Who will win tonight's Packers-Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots -3.0

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