Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 10/18/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026

Location: Wembley Stadium in London, England

TV: NFL Network

Odds-Point Spread: Jaguars -3.0

Total-Over-Under: 42.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-1) will play the Houston Texans (1-4) at Wembley Stadium on Sunday. Jacksonville opens this matchup as 3-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over-under has been set at 42.5.

The Houston Texans come into this game holding a record of 1-4 over the course of this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Texans faced the Tennessee Titans and walked away with a win by a score of 26-3. C.J. Stroud finished 26-34 with 261 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 107.6 and walked away from the game with no picks. Xavier Hutchinson had an average of 16.3 yards per catch by tallying 65 yards on 4 catches. Woody Marks led the offense in rushing for the Texans with 15 totes for 62 yds (4.1 yds per carry). When the final whistle blew, they had 61 plays which gave them a total of 329 yds. The Houston Texans ended up running the ball 27 times and recorded 79 yds, which earned them an average of 2.9 yards per attempt. On the ground, the Texans gave up 57 yards on 18 attempts, which calculates to 3.2 yards per run allowed. Houston relinquished 23 completions on 36 attempts for 130 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.9%.

The Texans have recorded 1,704 yards for the season. Houston has recorded 60 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 42 infractions for 388 yards. If you look at notching touchdowns, Houston has a total of 6 touchdowns via the pass and 5 rushing TD's. They have given the ball away 2 times. As a team, they have an average of 79.0 rush yds giving them a rank of 31st in football. If you look at getting the ball into the endzone, the AFC representatives hold an average of 22.0 points per contest.

Regarding yards through the air, the Texans have relinquished 1,170 total yards, ranking this team at 23rd in football. They have allowed 234.0 yards per contest via the pass, and are conceding a completion percentage of 67.2%. In total, they have relinquished 392 yards via the running game in 5 contests on the year. They have relinquished 6 touchdowns by way of the pass, in addition to 5 touchdowns via the rush. In total, they are surrendering 312.4 total yards per outing, which has them ranked 11th in the league. They are giving up an average of 3.3 yds per rush on the ground and 78.4 rush yds per contest for the season. The Texans currently sit 16th in the league when it comes to opponents scoring, yielding 22.4 points per contest.

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The Jaguars step onto the field with a record of 4-1 over the course of this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Jaguars walked away with a victory by a final of 19-17 when they faced the Philadelphia Eagles. Trevor Lawrence (2 TDs) finished the contest with 331 yds on 24-39 passing while his quarterback rating was 95.1. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.5 yards. Bhayshul Tuten carried the rock 22 times for 72 yds, ending the game with 3.3 yards per attempt for Jacksonville. Parker Washington was a featured target for the Jaguars, snagging 6 passes for 124 yards (20.7 yards per catch). Jacksonville ran for 3.8 yds per carry, totaling 102 yds on 27 carries. The Jaguars finished the game with a total of 408 yards while running 66 plays (6.2 yards per play). The Jaguars secondary gave up a completion rate of 52.5%, surrendering 210 yds on 21 out of 40 passing. Jacksonville conceded 18 rushing attempts for 22 yds (1.2 yds per rush).

Regarding their ability to score points, the Jaguars are sitting 12th in the league, with 24.6 points per game. For the season, the Jaguars have a total of 1,103 passing yds and hold an average of 220.6 passing yds per contest, which has them ranking 17th in pro football. They have an average of 114.2 rush yards per game, and have run for 571 yds. The Jacksonville Jaguars have an average of 334.8 yards per contest, which ranks 15th in the league. The Jacksonville offense has surrendered 346 yards by way of 41 violations, ranking them 9th in pro football when you look at helping out the other team. They have recorded 3 interceptions while giving up no fumbles, and have been able to record 54 1st downs offensively.

The Jaguars are yielding 14.0 points per outing, ranking this team at 2nd in football. They have relinquished 4 touchdowns through the air in addition to 266.2 yards through the air per contest, ranking this team at 30th in football. Jacksonville has allowed a total of 319 rushing yds (63.8 total yards per contest), in addition to 3 touchdowns via the ground game for the season. The Jaguars defense has taken part in 298 plays from scrimmage, which ranks them 11th in the NFL. Their defense has accumulated 8 turnovers (2 forced fumbles and 6 interceptions) for the season. All in all, they have yielded 70 pts.

Who will win tonight's Texans-Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jaguars -3.0

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