Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, 11/8/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Chargers +4.5

Total-Over-Under: 40.5

The Houston Texans (2-5) are en route to SoFi Stadium on Sunday where they will compete against the Los Angeles Chargers (0-7). Houston opens this contest as 4.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 40.5.

The Houston Texans step on the gridiron 2-5 for the season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Texans faced the New York Giants and took a loss by a score of 27-21. C.J. Stroud connected on 17-28 with 153 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 99.3 and finished the contest with no interceptions. Dalton Schultz had an average of 9.0 yds per reception by accumulating 45 yds on 5 catches. Woody Marks was the best rusher for the Texans with 19 carries for 66 yds (3.5 yards per attempt). Overall, they had 53 plays which converted into 237 yds. The Houston Texans ran the rock 25 times and amassed 84 yds, which came out to an average of 3.4 yards per tote. On the ground, the Texans conceded 188 yards on 34 tries, which is an average of 5.5 yds per run surrendered. Houston surrendered 20 pass completions on 28 tries for 232 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.4%.

The Texans have accumulated 2,367 yards so far this season. Houston has recorded 83 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 58 penalties for 508 yds. In terms of getting in the endzone, Houston has recorded 11 touchdowns via the pass and 6 TD's on the ground. They have coughed up the ball 3 times (1 interception and 2 fumbles lost). Offensively, they are sitting at 84.7 running yards which ranks them at 29th in the NFL. Regarding getting the ball into the endzone, the AFC South members average 23.6 points per contest.

The Texans are ranked 18th in football when it comes to their defensive abilities, surrendering 24.3 points per game. They are giving up 3.8 yards per rush on the ground and 98.0 rush yds per contest for the season. When you look at yards through the air, the Texans have conceded 1,708 yards, which has them ranking 18th in football. They have yielded 244.0 yards per outing through the air, and are relinquishing a completion% of 66.3%. On the whole, they are yielding 342.0 yards per game, putting them 19th in the NFL. They have surrendered 10 touchdowns by way of the pass, and 9 touchdowns to runners. On the whole, they have surrendered 686 rushing yards through 7 matchups for this campaign.

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The Chargers head into this matchup 0-7 so far this year. In their last contest, the Chargers took a loss by a final score of 24-9 when they played the Los Angeles Rams. Justin Herbert finished the game with 257 yds on 24-32 passing while his quarterback rating was 72. He had 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.0 yards. Kimani Vidal carried the ball 8 times for 23 yards, ending the contest with 2.9 yards per carry for Los Angeles. Oronde Gadsden II had the best day in terms of receiving for the Chargers, bringing in 5 throws for 52 yards (10.4 yards per reception). Los Angeles rushed for 2.6 yards per carry, totaling 64 yards on 25 carries. The Chargers ended up finishing with 295 yds while running 57 plays (5.2 yds per play). The Chargers secondary gave up a completion rate of 68.0%, relinquishing 152 yds on 17 for 25 passing. Los Angeles allowed 27 rushing attempts for 129 yds (4.8 yards per carry).

The Los Angeles Chargers maintain an average of 288.3 total yards per outing, which ranks them at 28th in the league. They maintain an average of 111.1 running yards per game, and have toted the ball for 778 yds. They have tossed 10 interceptions while relinquishing 7 lost fumbles, and have obtained 64 1st downs offensively. The Los Angeles offense has conceded 461 total yards on 57 penalties, which ranks them at 15th in the league if you analyze helping out the other team. Over the course of this season, the Chargers have thrown for 1,240 passing yards and hold an average of 177.1 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 26th in pro football. If you're looking at putting points on the board, the Chargers currently rank 32nd in the league, scoring 14.1 PPG.

They have allowed 8 touchdowns via the pass and 198.4 passing yds per game, putting them 7th in the NFL. Los Angeles has granted a total of 872 rush yds (124.6 yds per contest), and 11 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The defense has notched 11 turnovers (5 fumbles forced and 6 picks) over the course of this season. On the whole, they have allowed 175 total points. The Chargers defense has participated in 420 plays from the line of scrimmage, putting them 6th in the NFL. The Chargers are yielding 25.0 points per contest, putting them 20th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Texans-Chargers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Chargers +4.5

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