Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, 10/4/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals

Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026

Location: Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Jaguars +2.5

Total-Over-Under: 51

The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) are hitting the road to Paycor Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Cincinnati Bengals (2-1). Jacksonville opens this contest as 2.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 51.

The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this game holding a record of 2-1 over the course of the season. In their last contest, the Jaguars faced the New England Patriots and earned the victory with a final of 35-6. Bhayshul Tuten was the leader on the ground for the Jaguars with 15 totes for 73 yds (4.9 yards per attempt). Jakobi Meyers had an average of 9.1 yds per reception by tallying 64 yards on 7 catches. Trevor Lawrence connected on 19-29 with 182 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 102.9 and finished the game with 1 pick. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Jaguars gave up 83 yards on 26 tries, which is an average of 3.2 yards per rush allowed. Jacksonville conceded 18 pass completions on 31 tries for a total of 234 yds, and a completion rate of 58.1%. On the day, they had 59 plays which gave them 315 yards. The Jacksonville Jaguars ran the ball 30 times and tallied 137 yards, which is an average of 4.6 yds per carry.

If you look at putting the ball in the endzone, the Jaguars are averaging 27.3 points per contest. As a team, they're holding an average of 119.3 running yds putting them 10th in the league. The Jaguars have racked up 943 yards over the course of this year. Jacksonville has earned 31 1st downs, and they have committed 15 infractions for 121 yards. They have surrendered the ball 2 different times. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, Jacksonville has attained 7 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing TD's.

If you look at pass yards, the Jaguars have allowed 707 yards, ranking this team at 24th in professional football. They have surrendered 235.7 yds per contest through the air, and are granting a completion percentage of 66.7%. On the whole, they have relinquished 274 rushing yards through 3 outings for the season. They have relinquished 2 touchdowns via the pass, in addition to 1 touchdown via the rush. In total, they are allowing 327.0 total yards per game, ranking this team at 17th in pro football. They are giving up 3.6 yards per run and 91.3 rush yards per contest on the campaign. The Jaguars rank 1st in pro football if you analyze their defensive prowess, conceding 12.0 points per game.

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The Bengals head into this matchup 2-1 on the season. In their last contest, the Bengals went home defeated by a final of 30-27 when they faced the Pittsburgh Steelers. Joe Burrow (3 TDs) ended the contest with 282 yards on 28-37 through the air while his QB rating was 123.9. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y-A was 7.6 yards. Ja'Marr Chase was one of the featured targets for the Bengals, catching 9 throws for 98 yds (10.9 yds per reception). Chase Brown carried the rock 13 times for 61 yards, ending the contest with 4.7 yds per attempt for Cincinnati. The Bengals finished the game with 352 yds while running 55 plays (6.4 yards per play). Cincinnati ran the ball for 4.6 yds per carry, finishing the game with 83 yds on 18 attempts. Cincinnati allowed 23 rush attempts for 138 yards (6.0 yds per carry). The Bengals pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 55.9%, relinquishing 273 yds on 19 out of 34 through the air.

If you look at the points being put on the board, the Bengals are 12th in the league, scoring 26.7 points per outing. This season, the Bengals have compiled 696 yards through the air and are averaging 232.0 yards through the air per contest, which ranks them 13th in football. They average 91.3 running yds per contest, and have run for 274 yds. The Cincinnati Bengals hold an average of 323.3 yards per contest, which ranks them 15th in football. The Cincinnati offense has relinquished 165 total yards by way of 25 penalties, which ranks 7th in pro football when analyzing giving up free yards. They have allowed 1 interception while allowing 2 fumbles lost, and have tallied 37 first downs as an offense.

They have surrendered 3 touchdowns through the air along with 260.0 pass yds per contest, ranking this team at 28th in professional football. Cincinnati has allowed a total of 287 rush yards (95.7 total yards per game), and 2 touchdowns to runners on the year. The defense has accrued 5 turnovers (4 forced fumbles and 1 interception) on the season. Altogether, they have surrendered 63 points in total. The Bengals defense has participated in 189 plays from scrimmage, which ranks 19th in pro football. The Bengals are conceding 21.0 points per outing, which ranks them 14th in football.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars-Bengals NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jaguars +2.5

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