Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 11/1/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 8

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Chiefs -1.0

Total-Over-Under: 41

The Denver Broncos (5-2) will go up against the Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday. Kansas City is 1-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under has been set at 41.

The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game holding a record of 5-1 over the course of the season. The last time they took the field, the Chiefs played the Seattle Seahawks and took a loss by a final of 20-3. Kenneth Walker III led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 14 totes for 36 yds (2.6 yds per attempt). Noah Gray held an average of 14.7 yards per catch by notching 44 yds on 3 catches. Patrick Mahomes connected on 19-33 with 165 yds passing. He had a QB rate of 58.3 and finished the game with 1 interception. In the running game, the Chiefs gave up 153 yds on 41 attempts, which is an average of 3.7 yards per rush allowed. Kansas City surrendered 20 completions on 28 tries for 257 yds, and a completion rate of 71.4%. At the end of the game, they ran 49 plays which gave them a total of 213 yds. The Kansas City Chiefs ended up running the ball 16 times and totaled 50 yards, which came out to an average of 3.1 yards per attempt.

The Chiefs have accumulated 2,283 yards over the course of this season. Kansas City has racked up 65 first downs, and they have committed 41 penalties for 359 yds. When it comes to scoring, Kansas City has attained 9 passing touchdowns and 7 ground TD's. They have turned the ball over 5 times (4 interceptions and 1 fumble). As a unit, they're maintaining an average of 141.5 rushing yds which is 5th in the NFL. If you analyze scoring touchdowns, the squad representing Kansas City hold an average of 23.8 points per contest.

If you analyze pass yds, the Chiefs have yielded 1,343 yards, which ranks them at 8th in football. They have allowed 223.8 yds per game by way of the pass, and are allowing a completion rate of 62.3%. Altogether, they have conceded 597 rushing yards through 6 matchups so far this year. They have conceded 5 touchdowns via the pass, plus 4 touchdowns via the rush. Altogether, they are conceding 323.3 total yards per game, which has them sitting 14th in pro football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.6 yds per rush on the ground and 99.5 rushing yds per game on the campaign. The Chiefs are ranking 2nd in pro football when analyzing their defensive prowess, relinquishing 17.2 points per outing.

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The Broncos step on the gridiron with a record of 5-2 on the campaign. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Broncos got the victory with a final of 30-16 against the Arizona Cardinals. Bo Nix ran the ball 7 times for 74 yds, ending the game with 10.6 yds per attempt for Denver. RJ Harvey was a featured target for the Broncos, snagging 2 throws for 54 yards (27.0 yds per reception). Bo Nix (1 touchdown) ended the game with 222 yds on 15-29 through the air while his quarterback rating was 88.6. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.7 yards. Denver gave up 24 attempts on the ground for 94 yds (3.9 yards per rush). The Broncos pass defense gave up a completion rate of 56.3%, surrendering 259 yards on 27 out of 48 through the air. The Broncos finished with 378 yards while running 55 plays (6.9 yards per play). Denver ran the ball for 6.2 yds per carry, finishing with 160 yds on 26 attempts.

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Broncos are ranking 24th in the league, with an average of 20.6 PPG. On the season, the Broncos have racked up 1,226 pass yards and average 175.1 pass yards per outing, which is 27th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 95.0 running yards per contest, and have carried the football for 665 total yards. The Denver Broncos average 270.1 total yards per game, ranking them 30th in the league. The Denver offense has surrendered 383 yards by way of 55 penalties, which ranks them at 7th in football if you examine making mistakes. They have recorded 3 INTs while surrendering 3 fumbles lost, and have recorded 58 first downs as an offense.

The Broncos are yielding 20.1 points per contest, which is good for 7th in football. They have relinquished 8 touchdowns via the pass along with 215.7 yards via the pass per contest, which is good for 12th in football. Denver has granted a total of 933 rush yds (133.3 yards per contest), along with 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game over the course of this season. The Broncos defense has taken part in 489 plays from scrimmage, which has them sitting 32nd in pro football. Their defense has attained 10 turnovers (3 forced fumbles and 7 picks) this year. Altogether, they have conceded 141 total points.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs-Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chiefs -1.0

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