Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, 1/4/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Raiders (+5.5)

Total-Over-Under: 36.5

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-14) will try to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs (6-10) at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. Las Vegas is 5.5-point underdogs. The total is 36.5.

The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game holding a record of 6-10 over the course of the season. The last time they took the field, the Chiefs stepped onto the field against the Denver Broncos and ended up losing by a score of 20-13. Isiah Pacheco was the best rusher for the Chiefs with 9 totes for 32 yards (3.6 yards per carry). Travis Kelce averaged 7.2 yds per reception by notching 36 yards on 5 catches. Chris Oladokun connected on 13-22 with 66 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 79 and ended the game with no picks. When it came to stopping the run, the Chiefs gave up 128 yards on 32 attempts, which calculates to 4.0 yards per run allowed. Kansas City allowed 26 pass completions on 38 attempts for 175 yds, and a completion percentage of 68.4%. When the final whistle blew, they had 41 plays which gave them a total of 139 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball 19 different times and compiled 82 yards, which came out to an average of 4.3 yards per tote.

The Chiefs have notched 5,283 yards for this campaign. Kansas City has earned 183 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 112 infractions for 906 total yards. When talking about getting the ball into the endzone, Kansas City has accumulated 23 touchdowns through the air and 15 ground TD's. They have surrendered the football 13 different times (12 interceptions and 1 fumble). Offensively, they're maintaining an average of 108.0 rush yards giving them a rank of 23rd in football. When examining putting points on the board, the Chiefs are sitting at 21.9 PPG.

The Chiefs are ranked 6th in the league concerning their opponents scoring, relinquishing 19.6 points per contest. The opposition is running for an average of 4.0 yards per run and 104.9 rushing yards per game over the course of the season. With reference to pass yards, the Chiefs have relinquished 3,243 yards, which ranks 13th in pro football. They have allowed 202.7 total yards per contest by way of the pass, and are allowing a completion% of 68.1%. In total, they are relinquishing 307.6 total yards per contest, giving them a rank of 10th in pro football. They have allowed 18 touchdowns through the air, in addition to 14 touchdowns via the ground game. Altogether, they have granted 1,679 yards via the running game in 16 outings on the campaign.

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The Raiders step on the gridiron with a record of 2-14 over the course of the season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Raiders took a defeat with a final score of 34-10 when they faced the New York Giants. Ashton Jeanty carried the football 16 times for 60 yards, finishing the contest with 3.8 yds per carry for Las Vegas. Michael Mayer was the best receiver for the Raiders, catching 9 balls for 89 yds (9.9 yards per catch). Geno Smith (1 touchdown) ended the game with 176 yds on 20-28 through the air while his QB rate was 69.9. He tossed 2 picks and his avg yards per attempt was 6.3 yards. Las Vegas relinquished 31 rush attempts for 155 yards (5.0 yds per rush). The Raiders pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 73.3%, relinquishing 188 yds on 22 for 30 through the air. The Raiders finished with 231 yards while running 50 plays (4.6 yards per play). Las Vegas ran the ball for 3.2 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 63 yards on 20 carries.

When analyzing the points being put on the board, the Raiders are ranked 32nd in the league, averaging 14.2 points per contest. On the year, the Raiders sit at 2,765 passing yards and are averaging 172.8 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 27th in football. They have an average of 74.9 running yards per outing, and have carried the football for 1,199 total yards. The Las Vegas Raiders have an average of 247.8 total yards per game, ranking this team at 32nd in football. The Las Vegas offense has relinquished 891 total yards on 106 infractions, which has them sitting 15th in professional football when it comes to giving up free yards. They have recorded 18 interceptions while granting 3 fumbles, and have been able to earn 156 1st downs offensively.

They have relinquished 23 touchdowns via the pass and 208.3 pass yards per outing, which ranks 15th in pro football. Las Vegas has granted a total of 1,902 rushing yds (118.9 yds per game), along with 22 touchdowns to runners over the course of this year. The defense has notched 14 takeaways (6 fumbles forced and 8 interceptions) on the year. Altogether, they have conceded 420 total points. The Raiders defense has taken part in 1,010 plays from the line of scrimmage, which ranks 24th in the league. The Raiders are giving up 26.3 PPG, giving them a rank of 25th in football.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs-Raiders NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Raiders +5.5

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