Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, 10/4/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Raiders +4.0

Total-Over-Under: 47.5

Allegiant Stadium is the location where the Las Vegas Raiders (3-0) will meet the Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) on Sunday. Kansas City opens this matchup as 4-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 47.5.

The Kansas City Chiefs step onto the field holding a record of 3-0 on the season. In their last game, the Chiefs went up against the Miami Dolphins and notched a win by a score of 24-10. Kenneth Walker III led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 18 carries for 70 yards (3.9 yards per attempt). Rashee Rice had an average of 12.6 yards per reception by accumulating 88 yards on 7 receptions. Patrick Mahomes connected on 20-24 with 246 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 119.8 and finished the contest with 1 pick. In the running game, the Chiefs gave up 119 yds on 31 tries, which is 3.8 yards per rush surrendered. Kansas City surrendered 20 completions on 36 tries for 210 yds, and a completion rate of 55.6%. On the day, they tallied 49 plays which totaled 334 yds. The Kansas City Chiefs ended up rushing 25 times and had 88 yards, which had them averaging 3.5 yards per carry.

The Chiefs have recorded 1,249 total yards on the season. Kansas City has notched 37 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 23 infractions for 196 total yards. When you look at scoring touchdowns, Kansas City has accumulated 7 passing TD's and 3 touchdowns via the ground. They have coughed up the ball 2 different times. As a team, they're maintaining an average of 153.3 rush yards ranking this team at 5th in pro football. Concerning getting the ball into the endzone, the Chiefs are averaging 29.3 points per game.

Concerning yards through the air, the Chiefs have granted 535 total yards, which ranks them 6th in football. They have surrendered 178.3 yards per contest through the air, and are giving up a completion percentage of 62.1%. In total, they have surrendered 299 yards via the ground game in 3 matchups over the course of the season. They have surrendered 2 touchdowns through the air, plus 3 touchdowns to runners. In total, they are granting 278.0 yards per contest, which has them sitting 4th in football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per rush on the ground and 99.7 rushing yards per outing so far this season. The Chiefs are 5th in the league in terms of the other team scoring points, allowing 16.7 points per outing.

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The Raiders come into this game with a record of 3-0 for the season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Raiders walked away with a victory by a final of 35-27 when they faced the New Orleans Saints. Kirk Cousins (3 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 248 yds on 22-33 through the air while his QB rating was 119.3. He didn't throw any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 7.5 yards. Ashton Jeanty carried the ball 19 times for 56 yds, ending the game with 2.9 yds per attempt for Las Vegas. Brock Bowers was one of the featured targets for the Raiders, snagging 10 passes for 116 yds (11.6 yds per reception). Las Vegas ran for 4.2 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 113 yards on 27 attempts. The Raiders finished the contest with a total of 340 yds while running 60 plays (5.7 yds per play). The Raiders pass defense gave up a completion rate of 69.0%, surrendering 233 yards on 29 out of 42 through the air. Las Vegas surrendered 28 run attempts for 148 yards (5.3 yards per rush).

The Las Vegas Raiders hold an average of 311.7 yards per contest, which ranks them 19th in football. They hold an average of 100.0 rushing yds per contest, and have toted the ball for 300 total yards. They have thrown 3 picks while conceding 1 fumble, and have earned 37 1st downs. The Las Vegas offense has relinquished 90 yards on 17 infractions, which has them sitting 27th in football regarding helping out the opposition. This season, the Raiders have compiled 635 yards through the air and are averaging 211.7 yards through the air per contest, which ranks them 16th in football. If you look at their scoring prowess, the Raiders currently rank 8th in professional football, with an average of 29.3 points per contest.

The Raiders are relinquishing 18.0 points per contest, ranking this team at 8th in professional football. They have allowed 5 touchdowns via the pass along with 200.3 pass yards per game, ranking this team at 10th in professional football. Las Vegas has relinquished a total of 349 rush yards (116.3 yds per outing), as well as 2 touchdowns to rushers over the course of this season. The Raiders defense has participated in 184 plays, ranking this team at 15th in professional football. The defense has a total of 9 takeaways (5 forced fumbles and 4 INTs) so far this year. In total, they have granted 54 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs-Raiders NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Raiders +4.0

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