Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, 11/16/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

Date: Monday, November 16, 2026

Location: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD

TV: ESPN

Odds-Point Spread: Ravens -5.5

Total-Over-Under: 38

M&T Bank Stadium is the location where the Baltimore Ravens (4-5) will try to defeat the Los Angeles Chargers (0-8) on Monday. Baltimore opens this matchup as 5.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 38.

The Los Angeles Chargers come into this game holding a record of 0-8 for the year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Chargers took on the Houston Texans and ended up losing by a score of 44-22. Justin Herbert finished 13-23 with 193 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 80.5 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Omarion Hampton was the best rusher for the Chargers with 13 totes for 60 yds (4.6 yards per carry). Tre Harris had an average of 2.0 yds per reception by recording 6 yards on 3 catches. The Los Angeles Chargers rushed the ball a total of 30 different times and totaled 138 yards, earning them an average of 4.6 yds per attempt. In the game, they tallied 60 plays which gave them a total of 315 yards. Los Angeles allowed 22 completions on 37 attempts for a total of 381 yds, and a completion percentage of 59.5%. On the ground, the Chargers gave up 104 yards on 28 tries, which is 3.7 yds per run allowed.

If you look at getting the ball into the endzone, the AFC representatives are sitting at 15.1 PPG. As a unit, they're maintaining an average of 114.5 running yds which ranks 16th in football. The Chargers have earned 2,333 yards on the season. Los Angeles has racked up 71 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 66 infractions for 540 total yards. They have turned the football over 19 times (11 INTs and 8 lost fumbles). If you look at getting the ball into the endzone, Los Angeles has earned 7 touchdowns through the air and 4 touchdowns via the ground.

If you examine pass yds, the Chargers have surrendered 1,770 total yards, putting them 8th in pro football. They have conceded 221.3 yards per contest through the air, and are allowing a completion% of 65.7%. On the whole, they have conceded 976 yards on the ground through 8 games over the course of the season. They have relinquished 13 touchdowns by way of the pass, and 11 touchdowns via the rush. In total, they are allowing 343.3 yards per game, which has them ranked 21st in football. They are giving up 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 122.0 rush yds per outing so far this season. The Chargers are ranked 28th in football in terms of team defense, conceding 27.4 points per game.

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The Ravens come into this game with a record of 4-5 for the season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Ravens went home defeated by a final of 33-10 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Derrick Henry carried the rock 17 times for 57 yds, finishing the game with 3.4 yards per attempt for Baltimore. Zay Flowers was featured in the passing game for the Ravens, catching 3 balls for 6 yards (2.0 yards per reception). Joe Fagnano finished the game with 60 yards on 10-18 through the air while his quarterback rating was 22.7. He had 2 interceptions and his Y-A was 3.3 yds. Baltimore allowed 30 rush attempts for 77 yards (2.6 yds per rush). The Ravens pass defense conceded a completion rate of 61.5%, surrendering 242 yards on 16 out of 26 passing. The Ravens finished with a total of 227 yards while they ran 53 plays (4.3 yds per play). Baltimore rushed the ball for 5.1 yds per carry, finishing with 172 yards on 34 carries.

The Baltimore Ravens have an average of 326.2 total yards per contest, which is good for 18th in professional football. They maintain an average of 137.8 running yards per game, and have carried the football for 1,240 yards. They have thrown 5 INTs while conceding 6 lost fumbles, and have obtained 90 first downs as an offense. The Baltimore offense has yielded 539 yds by way of 74 penalty flags, which is good for 4th in the league when analyzing helping out the opposition. On the season, the Ravens have earned 1,696 passing yards and average 188.4 passing yards per contest, which ranks 23rd in football. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Ravens are sitting 22nd in the league, holding an average of 21.0 points per outing.

The Ravens are relinquishing 26.2 points per game, which is good for 26th in professional football. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns by way of the pass along with 229.8 passing yards per game, which is 23rd in football. Baltimore has yielded a total of 899 rush yds (99.9 yds per outing), as well as 12 touchdowns to rushers so far this season. The Ravens defense has taken part in 553 plays from the line of scrimmage, which is 24th in football. Their defense has racked up 9 takeaways (5 fumbles forced and 4 picks) for the season. Overall, they have conceded 236 points.

Who will win tonight's Chargers-Ravens NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Ravens -5.5

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