Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, 9/13/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Dolphins +3.5

Total-Over-Under: 39.5

The Miami Dolphins (7-10 last year) are hitting the road to Allegiant Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Las Vegas Raiders (3-14 last season). Las Vegas is 3.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 39.5.

The Miami Dolphins culminated the year having produced a 7-10 mark. In their last contest, the Dolphins took the field against the New England Patriots and ended up losing by a score of 38-10. Quinn Ewers connected on 16-23 with 137 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 81.2 and finished the game with 1 interception. Jaylen Wright was the best rusher for the Dolphins with 13 carries for 23 yards (1.8 yards per attempt). Theo Wease averaged 14.7 yds per reception by totaling 44 yards on 3 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ended up rushing 25 times and recorded 63 yards, which earned them an average of 2.5 yards per tote. When the final whistle blew, they had 50 plays which gave them 180 yds. Miami conceded 17 completions on 22 tries for 214 yds, and a completion rate of 77.3%. In the running game, the Dolphins conceded 243 yards on 34 tries, which calculates to 7.1 yds per run surrendered.

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If you're looking at getting the ball into the endzone, the group repping Miami had an average of 20.4 points per contest. As a team, they had an average of 120.2 rushing yards, which ranked them at 13th in pro football. The Dolphins earned 5,112 yards last season. Miami tallied 174 1st downs as an offense, and they were hurt by 101 infractions for 811 yards. They turned the ball over 24 times (18 INTs and 6 lost fumbles). Miami collected 23 passing touchdowns and 14 running touchdowns.

The Dolphins sat 24th in football if you look at their defensive abilities, surrendering 24.9 points per game. They allowed 4.8 yards per running attempt and 132.4 rushing yds per outing for last year. If you examine pass yards, the Dolphins granted 3,678 total yards which was 18th in the NFL. They allowed 216.4 yds per game by way of the pass, and yielded a completion% of 72.0%. On the whole, they conceded 348.8 per outing, which ranked them 22nd in professional football. They granted 29 passing TD's, and 18 via the rush. Altogether, they conceded 2,251 running yards through 17 games for last season.

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The Raiders finished the season having a 3-14 record. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Raiders went home victorious with a score of 14-12 when they faced the Kansas City Chiefs. Aidan O'Connell ended the contest with 102 yards on 10-22 passing while his QB rate was 59.3. He didn't toss any picks and his Y-A was 4.6 yds. Michael Mayer was the best receiver for the Raiders, bringing in 3 passes for 47 yards (15.7 yds per catch). Ashton Jeanty ran the football 26 times for 87 yards, ending the contest with 3.3 yards per carry for Las Vegas. The Raiders finished with a total of 204 yds while running 58 plays (3.5 yards per play). Las Vegas ran the football for 3.7 yards per attempt, totaling 118 yards on 32 carries. Las Vegas allowed 23 rushing attempts for 84 yds (3.7 yds per carry). The Raiders secondary allowed a completion percentage of 58.1%, relinquishing 84 yds on 18 out of 31 through the air.

The Las Vegas Raiders held an average of 245.2 total yards per game, which was 32nd in football. They held an average of 77.5 rush yards per game, and carried the football for 1,317 total yards. They surrendered 19 INTs while giving up 4 fumbles lost, and had a total of 161 first downs offensively. The Las Vegas offense conceded 901 total yards on 108 penalties, which had them ranking 17th in professional football with reference to helping out the other team. Over the course of last year, the Raiders earned 2,851 pass yards and held an average of 167.7 pass yards per contest, which ranked them 28th in professional football. When talking about the points being put on the board, the Raiders sat 32nd in football, averaging 14.2 points per game.

The Raiders conceded 25.4 PPG, which was 25th in football. They allowed 23 touchdowns through the air and 201.0 passing yards per contest, which had them ranking 14th in professional football. Las Vegas conceded a total of 1,986 rushing yds (116.8 yds per game), as well as 22 touchdowns via the ground game for last year. The Raiders defense participated in 1,072 plays, which had them ranking 25th in professional football. The D earned 16 turnovers (8 fumbles forced and 8 picks) last season. In total, they surrendered 432 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins-Raiders NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins +3.5

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